Wednesday

October 22, 2014 9:03 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

4:10 update

Slight edge

MLB
San Fran +118
NBA
Brooklyn +5

Tuesday our setups in the NHL went 2-2 for an almost 1 unit gain. The setups in the NBA and NHL are what were plays last season. I am putting them out as setups as I am not going to bet these this season. But for those of you that want to follow these or bet these I am posting them here. So far preseason NBA is 3-0 and NHL setups are 3-5 for -.69 units.

Today a bit early…but wanted to get up to date as have been busy the last few days. I have updated the results and will try to keep up daily again.

The NBA and NHL setups will be posted about 30 min before game time as they are dependent on public numbers in addition to line moves relative to the public numbers.

Looking over the games this morning however shows a few possibilities in both the NBA and NHL.

World Series starts tonight and in game 1

San fran
KC

The betting is 57% on KC with the line moving contrary to the action from -120+111 to -115+106. I see nothing there so a complete pass for me tonight.

Good LUck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Tuesday

October 21, 2014 3:04 pm · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in Miscellaneous

5:20 Update

NHL Setup
Slight Edge
Florida +152

4:50 Update

NHL Setup
Slight Edge
Arizona +137
Vancouver +118

NHL Setup

Slight Edge
Toronto +126

RickJ

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Monday

October 20, 2014 5:43 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in INVESTING,NBA,NFL,NHL

3:30 Update

Sunday was a disappointing day. 1-4 in the Hilton contest bringing my record to 20-15 or 57.14%. With over 1400 entrants there is no question that I will need to be over 60% to cash. So need to turn it around this week.

Hilton top 5 fades went 2-3.

Tonight one game in the NFL

Houston
Pitt

55% of the betting is on Pitt with the line moving from -4 to -2.5 -117. You can find a +3 at some books but will need to lay a bit more then -110. Variables favor Houston. Models favor Houston. Public is pretty much neutral.

At +3 the game for me would be a bet or pass on Houston. At +2.5 a complete pass.

In the NBA there is a setup tonight

Slight Edge:

Charlotte +6

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Swing Trade Update

Sold Position 4 of SSO at 109.24

Swing Trade Update

Sold Position 3 of SSO at 108.30

Swing Trade update:

Sold Position 2 of SSO at 107.88

RickJ

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Sunday

October 19, 2014 6:54 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Football,NBA,NFL,NHL

8:15 Update

A few comments on todays games…..

The poker player fade is Atlanta +6.5. Without exception players at the table are in love with Baltimore under a touchdown.

Also if your in love with Seattle -6 as 82% of the bettors are I would temper that a bit. In the long run its very hard to fade NFL teams that have less then 20% of the betting on them no matter how good the other side looks. Also the better the favorite looks in this situation the better I have found the dog to be. I cannot bet on St Louis as my models point to Seattle. However St Louis is a bet or pass for me regardless what the models are saying.

A busy day yesterday with plenty of setups. As far as plays our 1 unit play on utsa +11 was a winner.

slight edges went….NHL 0-1 NBA 2-0 NCAAFB 2-0

Bet or Pass went…..NCAAFB 2-6

Now onto the NFL

Hilton Top 5

KC
IND
NYG
SEA
BAL

Top 5 fades are now 14-17 slowly moving toward 500 off a bad start for the faders.

PUBLIC Numbers:

Seattle 83
Arizona 76
Ind 76
Chicago 68
Buffalo 67
Balt 65
Cle 65
KC 58
NO 56
Was 56
GB 55
Dallas 54
SF 53

I am fading 4 of the top 5 and going with 1 of the top 5. That is encouraging for the day.

Going into week 7 I am 19-11. A respectable 63.33%

This week I think the best way to describe it is a mishmash. At least it was for me. My models disagreed on almost all the public number fades. So I had to decide which to put the most weight to and I decided to put the weight on variables and public numbers…and pretty much disregard the models. We will see If I made the right decision:)

As far as plays today……Maybe a play in the afternoon.

Bet or Pass

St Louis +6

Slight Edge

Oakland +3

I will update if anything develops for the day. Also Have not started looking at the NHL or NBA…maybe some setups there.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Saturday

October 18, 2014 7:38 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Football

3:40 update

Slight edge
NHL
Colorado +137 L

NBA
Dallas +5.5 W
Miami +6 W

1:30 update

Hilton nfl picks

1. Oakland +3.5
2. St. Louis +6.5
3. Cinci +3
4. Giants +6.5
5. Atlanta+6.5

12:30 update

Slight edge
Tcu -10.5 W

Bet or pass
Georgia -3 W

12:15 update

Bet or pass

Indiana +16 L
Kent st +3 W
Smu +12.5 L

8:59 UPdate

Sat NCAA FB Play
1 Unit
UTSA +11 W

Nothing again developed on Friday. Full slate of games today in College football

9:00 Games

Bet OR Pass

Tulsa +2 L
Oklahoma -7 L
W. Kent -3.5 L
Wake forest +6 L

Slight Edge
Tulane +18 W

I will update shortly before game times.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Friday

October 17, 2014

Swing trade update I exited 1 of 4 positions in SSO at 107.70 Nothing developed on Thursday. Two college football games tonight Fresno Boise Betting is 53% on the road dog and the line has moved from -15-110 to -17-107. Models lean toward boise. Variables lean towards fresno. A Pass for me. Temple Houston Public [...]

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Thursday

October 16, 2014

Nothing at all Wednesday. Tonight we have three football games: Jets New England The betting is 67% on New England. The line has moved with the action from -8.5 to -9.5. Variables are split on the game but favor New England slightly. Models favor New england. Public numbers are Neutral for betting purposes. I am [...]

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Wednesday

October 15, 2014

Swing Trade Update…..Added postion #4 in SSO. I am now all in on this swing trade…just a question of seeing how it plays out. I added at 103.30. Tuesday we split on our slight edges. Losing on St Louis +113 in MLB but winning with Calgary +159 in the NHL. Looking over baseball nothing today. [...]

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Tuesday

October 14, 2014

4:00 Update One game tonight in College football Laf Texas st betting is on texas st 59%. The line is now -2.5 at most books. I am completely neutral on the game…Nothing that leads me to either side. NHL Slight Edge Calgary +159 Monday we won our slight edge in the NHL with Colorado +153 [...]

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Monday

October 13, 2014

3:20 Update One game tonight in the NFL SF St Louis The betting keeps pounding the road favorite tonight and it stands at 81%. The line has moved from -3.5 even to -3 -125 on Pinnacle. The line is -3 -120 to -130 at most books. St Louis +3.5 is a pick in the hilton [...]

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Sunday

October 12, 2014

4:30 update Looks like a 2-2 day in the hilton contest with the rams +3.5 tomorrow night. One game tonight Giants Phil Phil has 49% of the betting and the line has moved from -3 to – 1.5 My models are split on the game with a slight edge on phil at 1.5. Variables favor [...]

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Saturday

October 11, 2014

Final update In the nhl i have decided i am not betting it this season. However i am going to put ou plays as slight edges. Slight edge Edmonton +166 L Hilton nfl contest picks ( in the order i liked them at the time) 1. Houston +3(lost) 2. Buffalo +3 3. St louis +3.5 [...]

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