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What happens when a government ignores 50% of the populace? UKEXIT!!!!

The markets are in free fall due to the UKexit vote this morning as the thing that would never happen happened! The UK has voted to leave the EU by a 52-48 % vote. This is historic as now many of the other EU members are reconsidering and calling for exit votes. It could result in a cascade of leaves with the EU weakening substantially.

What’s remarkable to me is that Politicians never get it. How many leaders have been left on the wayside ignoring the populace? I would say this is a wake-up call however for politicians, however, there never seems to be one. Centrist is a bad word for most as they all feel they have to ram whatever ideology they believe in at the time down the populace’s throat.

Enough policy and these comments are no way to be construed as any representation of any political affiliation I have. As I have NONE! I am a pure independent with no beliefs except where logic leads me.

I dodged a bullet as I was looking to play the long side into the vote but the market never gave me the opportunity. The gap up and strong close yesterday negated my strategy. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good:) But most times not!

So where to from here? As always the market is going to overreact to the downside. This vote far from means the UK is leaving the EU. You will get a call for a new vote(already in the works). You also will get a massive propaganda machine rolling downplaying the vote(already has started). My opinion for what it is worth is that the leave is never going to happen. There is too much money committed into globalization to even begin to respect what over 50% of the voters want. Not a chance!

So if your long whatever you do do not panic! Since I have no idea what you’re holding you’re on your own but panic should not be a motivating factor. If your short congrats!!!

Myself I am flat and will be looking to get long gradually into this. When panic sets in there is an opportunity for swing trades. But I am not going to do anything on the open. It’s going to be a crap shoot. And remember the margin calls and liquidation of traders accounts will be in full force on the open. Not only for individual traders but also hedge funds. There is going to be a lot of people going bust on this one.

I will post more then usual this morning if I see any glimpse of sunlight to trade. In addition, one bright thing about all of this is I really doubt we will have to listen to the Fed call for rate hikes anytime soon!

Good Luck Today

RickJ
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MLB 2016

Season to date:
1 Unit
34-35 +9.65
1/2 Unit
30-65 -15.095
Totals: 2-2-1 -.09

Season to date total: -5.285 Units

June
1 Unit
8-10 +0.66

1/2 Unit
8-17 -3.335

Bet or Pass
0-4 -4.00

May
1 Unit
13-11 +6.28
1/2 Unit
8-29 -10.1
Bet or Pass
6-12 -5.56

April
1 unit
13-14 +2.71
1/2 unit
Side 12-19 -1.65
Totals 2-2-1 -.09

NBA 2015-2016

Regular Season
One Unit 13-10 +2.0 Units
1/2 Unit
Sides 16-14 +.3 Units
Totals 14-7 +3.15 Units

Season total +5.45 Units

Bet or Pass
Sides 12-15

May
1/2 Unit
Sides 2-1
Totals 4-3

April
One Unit
Sides 2-0
1/2 Unit
Totals 6-2
Sides 6-6

March
1 Unit
Sides
2-0
1/2 Unit
Sides
8-7
Totals
4-2
Setups
Sides
1-3
Totals
3-6

January
Away Dog
2-3

December
Away Dog
5-7

November
Away Dog
1-0

Bet or Pass
Home Dog 1-1
Away Dog 11-13
Road Fav 0-1

October
Away Dog 2-0

Preseason
12-9-1 57.14%

MLB 2015

World Series
2-1 +1.04

Playoffs

1-1 0.00

Bet or Pass
7-1 +6.56

September

Win Loss for Month -1.61

Home Dog 2-7 -5.12
Away dog 2-2 +3.49

August

Win Loss for Month -14.29

Home pick
1-0 +1.00
Home Fav
3-1 +1.92
Road Dog
9-17 -3.74
Home Dog
9-20 -5.19
Totals
Under
0-3 -3.18

July

Win Loss for Month -8.73

Home Fav
1-1 -0.33
Home Dog
2-6 -3.42
Away Dog
6-10 -1.71
Home Pick
0-1 -1.05
Totals
0-2 -2.22

June

Win Loss for Month +11.17

Home Pick
3-2 +1.28
Home Fav
3-1 +1.43
Road Fav
2-0 +2.00
Home Dog
4-5 +0.12
Away Dog
5-2 +4.30
Totals
2-0 +2.02

Bet or Pass
Away Dog
2-1 +2.04

May

Away Dog
6-16 -7.96
Home Dog
1-4 -2.86
Run Line
1-1 +.65
Pick Games
2-0 +2.00
Totals
1-1 -0.10

Win Loss for Month -8.27
Totals Setups (for tracking only)
1-6-1 -5.07
Bet or Pass
Home Dog
1-1 0.00

April

Away Dog
18-21 +0.38
Home Dog
0-4 -4.0
Run Line
0-2 -2.00

Win Loss for Month -5.62

Totals Setups (for tracking only)
7-5-1 +1.83

MLB 2014

Playoffs

Slight Edge
1-2 -.90

2nd half of season

1 Unit
Home Dog 5-6 -.24
Road Dog 1-3 -2.21
Under 0-2 -2.00

1/2 Unit
Home Dog 17-15 +3.73
Home Fav 8-3 +2.37
Road Dog 10-18 +.32
Road Fav 0-1 -.585
Run Line 1-2 -.37
Under 6-5 + .265
over 4-3 +.525

Slight edge
Home Dog 1-3 -131
Road Dog 1-3 -138
Home Fav 2-0 +200
Road Fav 0-1 -118
Under 3-0 +300

First Half of Season
1 Unit Plays
Home Dog
11-21 -6.66 Units
Away Dog
6-6 +2.15 Units

1/2 Unit Plays

OVER
1-0 +.54
Under
2-3 -.56
Away Dog
3-9 -2.535 Units
Home Dog
7-4 +2.05 Units
Home Fav
1-3 -1.34
Home Pick
0-1 -.51

Leans:

Home Dog
5-1 +513

Road Dog
3-2 +164

Home Fav
0-1 -182

Home Pick
0-1 -105

Slight Edges

OVER
0-1 -100

Road Dog
8-7 +371

Home Dog
16-15 +283

Home Fav
9-10 -275

Pick H
2-1 +95

MLB 2013

Playoffs
all 1 unit plays
12-11 +2.66

2nd Half of season
1 Unit Plays
Home Dog <150 Home Fav 1/2 Unit plays Home Dog (<150) 12-24 -10.53 Sept Home Dog 5-4 +1.32 Home Fav (<-150) 4-5 -1.63 Tracking 11-12 -3.91 Road Dog C 2-9 -5.23 Tracking 5-4 +6.47 Totals: 5-8-3 -4.65 Tracking 1-2 -1.15 2nd Half -17.23 Road Dog Totals ALL Sides 1 Unit 1/2 Unit 2-0 +2.00 Totals Tracking Home Dog <=30% <+150 32-37 +0.69 Tracking Sept Home dog 8-6 +2.82 Tracking Road Dog Tracking setups Setups A : 50-44 +18.18 Setups B: Tracking Home Pick Setups 0-1 -104 Tracking Totals Setups I do not bet these SETUP A 0-1-1 -106 1st Half of season 1 Unit Plays Home Dog <150 4-5 +0.00 Home Fav 0-1 -1.11 1/2 Unit plays Home Dog (<150) 22-23 +1.41 Road Dog ( Under +150) 0-4 -4.00 Home Pick (-104 to +104) 4-1 +2.95 Home Fav <-150 7-5 +1.96 Away Fav <150 0-1 -1.12 Totals 1-0 +1.00 ALL Sides 1 Unit 4-6 -1.11 1/2 Unit 29-33 -1.50 Totals 1-0 +1.00 Tracking Sides Home setups: Setup A Home Fav 5-4 +0.11 Home Pick 0-3 -3.22 Tracking Sides Away Setups A : 4-6 -1.07 Setups B: 1-1 +0.29 Setups C 2-1 +3.52 Tracking Totals Setups I do not bet these SETUP A 27-26-2 -1.74 SETUP B 19-11 +7.17 Tracking RUN LINE Setups I do not bet these 1-0 +1.65

MLB 2012

2nd half of the season
+3.95 units
1st half of season
-.36 Units
2012 season
+3.59 Units
World Series
1-0 +1.50 units

Plays

1 Unit
Home
19-16 +6.09
Away

Totals
10-12-2 -3.79

1/2 Unit size
Home
1-0 +1.00
Away
9-8 +4.96
Total

Totals
31-27-4

System setups
SysX sides
27-23 +14.32

SysX totals
31-29-4

Sys 4
Sides
Home
34-30 +10.00
Away
28-26 +5.75

Totals
40-42-5

Sys Y
Home
18-25 -4.92
Away
25-35 -5.10

1st half of season
PLAYS (bet 1/2 unit size for the season)
HOME
26-32 -0.96
AWAY
8-18 -5.88
Total
34-50 -6.81
Totals:
14-7 +6.45
A system X subset....(backtests at 55%)
12-4 75%
First week....a different methodology(abandoned early)
2-3

System setups
SysX sides
29-37 -0.18

SysX totals
34-31-4

Sys 4
Sides 55-92 -29.12
Totals
59-44-6 57.28%

Sys Y
1-2 -.78

MLB 2011

April 18-10 +11.64
May 8-14 -4.56
June 14-22 -5.09
July 14-16 +1.83
Aug 16-27 -7.47
Sept 11-18 -3.76
Postseason: 0-1 -1.00

Total: 81-109 -8.50

Other Sides( for tracking not wagering)
Home Favorite 22-19 +0.25
Home Dog 0-1 -1.00
Road Dog 6-6. +2.50
Total 28-24 +2.75

Totals: (for tracking not wagering)
9-9-1 -0.95

NFL 2015

Post Season

Side
2-1
Bet or Pass
Under 1-0
Over 0-1

Regular Season

9-12

Bet or Pass
Home Dog
5-2
Away Dog
5-2
Home Fav
1-0
Total U
16-9
Total Ov
1-0

Hilton Contest

42-38

Preseason

Bet or Pass
Sides 3-4
Totals 2-3

NFL 2014

Playoffs
1/2 Unit
2-1
Bet or Pass
1-1

Regular Season
1 Unit
Away Dog
2-3
Home Dog
4-2

1/2 Unit
Away dog
2-1-1
Home Dog
4-4

Slight Edge
Home Fav
1-2
Road Dog
1-2
Home Dog
4-2

Bet or Pass

Home Fav
1-2
Road Dog
5-6-1
Home Dog
7-3

Hilton NFL Contest Picks
49-31 61.25%
Hilton Contest top 5 Fade
31-40

Preseason
Sides
2-3

Totals
1/2 Unit
Over 0-2

NFL 2013

Hilton Contest
40-38-2

Plays
Sides
9-7-1
Totals
1-0

Totals Tracking setups

Totals
60+
1-1
55+
2-3

System 4
Sides:
1-1
Totals:
2-0

System X
Sides:
3-3-1
totals:
3-1

System 5
Sides
3-2-1
Totals
2-1

System 4 and X
Sides
1-1
Totals
1-0
System X and 5
Side
2-1-1
Totals
1-1
System 4 X and 5
Totals:
1-0

NFL Preseason

Sides 2-1
Totals 3-2

NFL 2012

Picks 15-15

Hilton Nfl Contest
40-42-3

Tracking plays:
System 1
1-0
System 2
3-3
System 3
3-3
System 4
31-23
System 5
21-9-1
System 6
3-2
system 7
6-0
Two system Matches
9-6
Three system match
1-0

NFL 2010

Picks 20-11 64.51%

NBA 2014

Playoffs

Home Favorite
1-0

Regular Season

Slight Edge 2
Home Fav
12-5-1
Road Fav
6-10-1

Slight Edge

Road Dog
13-5

Home Dog
1-5

PreSeason

Slight Edge
3-0

NBA 2013

Playoffs

Plays
1/2 Unit
Home Fav
4-7
Totals
Under
3-4
Over
1-2

Slight Edge
Sides
Road Dog
2-0
Home Fav
2-2
Totals
Under
2-4
Over
1-0

Last 3 weeks of the season:

Lean
Home Fav
4-2
Road Fav
5-6

Slight Edge
Road Fav
3-4
Road Dog
1-0

Home Fav
3-0

1 Unit Road Dog
9-15-1

1st Half(for tracking)
11-12

1/2 Unit Short Fav
1-0

Leans Totals
1-3

Leans Short Dog
0-2
Leans Road Dog
1-1
1st half
0-1
Leans Home Dog
1-0
1st Half
1-1
Leans Short Fav
1-2
1st half
1-0
Leans Home Fav
1-0

Leans combined
4-2

NBA 2012

Post Season Tracking Plays ( I do not bet these)
Sides 6-8
Totals 11-8

Regular Season
Betting

1 Unit
2-3

1/2 Unit
Sides 18-9-2
Totals 0-1

Money Line Tracking Setups ( I do not bet these)
0-1 -100

Totals tracking setups (I do not bet these)

2-2

Tracking
1 unit plays
6-2
1/2 unit plays
3-3

Preseason Tracking Plays ( I do not bet these)

Sides:
Favorites: 1-2
Dogs: 1-2

Totals: 1-2

NBA 2011

NBA Playoffs:

Plays:
Sides 3-0 +2.00
Totals 2-0 +2.00

System 4
Sides
1-0 +1.00
Totals
2-0 +1.00

System X
sides
Totals
1-0 +1.00

SysX
Sides 2-4
Totals 8-10

Sys 1A
1-2
Sys 1B
0-1

Sys 4
Before all star game
sides 14-9-1
totals 18-8-1
After all star game -5.0 units Lost
sides 17-16
Totals 22-31

Sys 5A
Sides: 0-2
Totals: 2-1

Sys 5B
Sides: 0-4
Totals: 6-1

sys 5C
Sides
2-1

Totals
3-4
sys7A
1-1

Sys 7B
10-5

NBA 2010

Sides 14-22 38.88%

Totals 24-22-1 52.17%

College Hoops 2015

Season 72-50 -2 59.01%
November 34-20-1 62.9%
December 19-21 47.5 %
January 19-9-1 67.8%

Sides:
Away Dog 9-6
Home Dog 10-1-1
Home Fav 0-2

Bet or Pass

17-22-2

December
Sides
Home Dog 3-2
Road Dog 5-5
Home Fav 0-1
Under
Totals 11-14

Bet or Pass
Road dog 2-2-2
Home Fav 1-0

November 34-20-1 62.9%

Sides
Road Dog 8-3-1 72.7%
Home Dog 0-1

Totals
Under 26-16 61.9%

College Hoops 2014

Post Season Tournaments
1 Unit
Fav
1-0
Dog
0-1

1/2 Unit
Fav
2-0
Dog
1-1
Bet or Pass
6-8

Post Season Conference Tournaments
1/2 Unit
3-3-1
Bet or Pass
3-2

1 Unit
Sides
6-3

1/2 Unit
Totals
25-17
Sides
Pick
1-0
Home Fav
3-5
Road Fav
2-0
Road Dog
34-26-3
Home Dog
19-12

Slight Edge
Sides
5-7
Totals
1-2

Bet or Pass
Road Dog
17-15
Home Dog
11-7
Neutral F
0-0-1
Home Fav
1-7-1
Road Favorite
2-1
Totals
Over
0-1
Under
2-1

College Hoops 2013

Plays
Sides
1 Unit
45-40-1

Totals
1 Unit
32-15

1st Half (for tracking) line =>+7
31-25-3

1/2 Unit
5-5
1st Half
6-3

Leans
7-9
Leans 1st HALF
5-6
Leans Totals
2-2

College Hoops 2012

Tournament Play
Sides
1/2 Unit
0-1
Totals
1/2 Unit
2-4

Money Line setups
1-0 +160

Conference Tournaments

Sides:
1 Unit Play
1-0
1/2 Unit Play
2-4

Totals 1/2 Unit

3-2

Conference Play
1 Unit
15-19
1/2 Unit
36-24-1

Totals
1/2 Unit
22-12

Short Dog Money line Tracking Plays
5-7 -0.62

PreConference play
1 Unit
15-18

1/2 Unit
Sides
18-20

Totals:
1 Unit
0-1
1/2 Unit
0-2

College Hoops 2011

March Madness
Sys X
4-2
SysX totals +.5 units
2-1
Sys 5B
2-5
Sys5A
1-2
Reg tr setups
2-1

Rest of Season
1 unit plays
34-20

1/2 unit plays
20-31-2

System X(1/2 unit)

Sides 44-33-2
Total 4-4-1
Totals while tracking 14-18-1 bets 1-1

Fav 9-12-2
Dog 30-12
Pick to 1.5 4-9

System 1A
6-6

system1B3

3-3-1

System 1C
1-0

System 4
1-1

Sys 5A
25-15
Totals
4-4

System 5B
13-28-2
Totals
6-9

System 5C
12-8
Totals
3-8

System7A
6-7
System 7B
4-2

Reg Tracking Plays(I do not bet these)
74-84-3

Pre Conference Play

1 unit plays
26-15-1 63.4%
Dogs
20-9
Fav
3-4
Short dogs:
1-4

1/2 unit plays
Dogs
4-3
Short Dogs
0-2
Fav
0-2

Tracking plays pre conference:

Sides
system 1A
4-2
system1B
4-0
System 4
13-13

System 5
1-1
system 5A
6-0
system 5B
15-11
system 5C
2-8-1

System 6
0-1

System 7
7-1
System 7A
0-1
System7B
0-1

Totals:

system 5A
1-1
system 5B
1-4

System 5C
6-3

College Hoops 2010

Total sides: 100-82-5 54.94%

NHL 2015

Season +13.41

January
Away Dog 9-11 +3.16
Home Fav 1-0 +1.00

December
Away Dog 13-10 +9.30

Bet or Pass
Away Dog 1-2 -.91

November -2.51

Away Dog
12-20 -1.51
Home Dog
0-1 -1.00

Totals
0-0-1

October +3.43

Away Dog
10-10 +5.79
Home Fav
1-1 -0.16
Home Dog
0-2 -2.00

NHL 2014

NHL 2014

Playoffs
Road Dog
3-4 +0.55

Slight Edge
25-45 -7.82

NHL 2013

Playoffs

Plays
1/2 Unit
Road Dog
2-5 -.895 Units

Slight Edge
side
1-3 -253
total
0-1 -125
1/2 Unit Plays
9-9 +318

Leans
3-3 +125

Slight edge
1-0 +128

NHL 2012

Plays: 22-29 -2.04
Fav:
Dog: 22-29 -2.04
1/2 unit plays (startng 3/5)
5-9 -.75

Tracking plays:

System 4
-140 to +140
Fav 8-11 -4.26
Dog 21-33 -8.44

Other

Fav 2-1 +0.53
dog 17-37 -7.36

System 5
-140 to +140
5-1 +5.54
System 5A
1-1 +0.12
System 5B
6-3 +3.36

Other
1-3 -1.39
Fav
dog
1-3 -1.61

sys 4 and 5 match

-140 to +140

Other:
1-1 +.61

NHL 2011

NHL Playoff Tracking setups
5-11 - 3.26

1/2 Unit Plays
Dogs
23-27 +3.85
Fav
3-5 -3.01

Total:
26-31 +0.85

Totals (Tracking Plays)
11-11-3 -1.97

NHL 2010

Picks 57-58 +5.45

NCAA FB 2015

Bowl Games

5-7

Bet or Pass

1-0

Season Plays
9-11-1

Home dog
5-5
Road Dog
2-5
Home Fav
1-1-1

Totals
Under
1-0

Bet or Pass
Road Fav 1-0
Road Dog 11-11-2
Home Dog 2-2
Home Fav 2-4
Totals 1-3

NCAA FB 2014

Bowl Games
1 Unit
1-0
1/2 Unit
1-0

Bet or Pass
4-1

1 Unit
Home Fav 2-0
Home Dog 1-2
Away Dog 0-1

1/2 Unit
Home Dog 3-0
Road Dog 5-4
Road Fav 3-0
Home Fav 0-2

Slight Edge

Bowl Games
1-0

Reg Season
Road Dog 6-1-1
Home Dog 3-0

Pass or Bet
Bowl Games
Sides
2-1

regular Season
Side
10-10-1
Total
5-4

NCAA FB 2012

1 unit plays
Sides
11-14-1
Totals
2-0

1/2 unit plays
Sides
4-8

Bowl Games

1 Unit
1-0

1/2 Unit
1-2

Totals
2-2

Sys 4
Sides
13-7
Totals
5-7

Sys X
Sides
11-7
Totals
2-3

Sys 5
Sides 6-4
Totals 6-4

Combo
Sys X sys 5
Sides
3-1
Totals
1-0

Sys X sys 4
Sides
8-6

Sys 4 Sys 5
Sides
5-2
Totals
1-3

Sys 4 sys5 sys X
Sides
0-1
Totals
1-0

NCAA FB 2011

Regular Plays
11-4

1/2 unit plays
Sides
5-6
Totals
0-1

Tracking plays

System 1
Sides: 3-3
Totals: 2-2
Fav: 1-3
Dog 2-0

System 2
Sides: 4-4
Totals:
Fav
Dog 4-4

System3
Sides: 1-1
Dog 1-1

System 4
Sides: 64-54-1
Fav: 33-27-1
Dog 31-26
Bowl games
0-2

Totals:
26-37-2
After week 7
26-21-1
Bowl Games:
3-2

System 5
Sides 19-12-1
Totals 19-15-2
Fav:
Dog: 19-12-1
Bowl Games 4-2

System 6
sides 1-1
totals 1-4

System 7
10-11
Bowl Games 5-1

2 System Match
Sides 12-9
Totals 8-9-2
3 system match
Sides: 3-2
Totals:
4 system match:
1-0

NCAA FB 2010

Picks 18-15-1 54.54%