Only two games of interest in the remaining games of the day
San Diego Has 26% of the betting on them with a reverse line move from +170 to +156. However variables strongly favor Atlanta..so a pass
Texas has 12 % of the betting on them and so far no reverse line move but the line has moved with the action now +177. Variables point strongly in favor of texas. For me it would be texas or a pass. I am passing as there is one small variable that points to Oakland.
Oh yes one other game bears mentioning
Seattle has 27% of the betting on them and they are the home favorite. Variables and models favor Seattle. For me its Seattle or a pass. I am passing. If we had a reverse line move on Seattle I would be betting them. But the line has moved with the action.
Sunday MLB Play
Some games of interest
Boston has only 28% of the betting on them as a road dog but the betting has moved contrary to the betting from +147 to +126. With Webster going I have very little in the way of hints as to the right side. However for me it would be Boston or pass. I would not want to fade the road dog RLM on Boston
The cubs have 14% of the betting on them with a reverse line move from +156 to +143.
Minn has <50% of the betting on them but its close at 49. We have a move contrary to the betting from -121 to -127/ for me it would be Minn or pass.
Thats it for now.
In the three earliest games the one that stands out to me is Arizona -118. Variables strongly point to Arizona as the right side and this is supported by a 45% betting on Arizona with a reverse line move from +106 to -118. Historically this has been a very positive Ev set of events. The only thing keeping me from wagering on the game is my models point to Philadelphia. But as with the other sports models are the least predictive of the final result. Variables and % betting numbers along with analysis of line moves in relation to % betting numbers historically have had far more predictive results.
Friday we had a good day. 3-1 on our half unit plays with the only loss being Texas as a big dog. Colorado and colorado Under both won. Our run line play on Atlanta -1.5 +124 also won.
Our slight edge on the cubs lost.
Today does not look like yesterday where the morning showed quite a bit of possibilities. Today they are hard to find at least right now. Its only 8 and things certainly can change.
I will update shortly before the first morning games.
The Hilton NFL Contest starts soon and I have mentioned many times that if your an NFL handicapper either professionally or for fun you should really consider entering. Its a positive EV tournament as the Hilton takes nothing out of the pool but actually adds funds to the pool. Granted its not easy to cash as they only pay the top 20. But its hard to find something that is positive ev these days.
If you live out of Las Vegas there is no need to stay away from the tournament as there are Proxy services available for a reasonable fee that will allow you to enter and place picks with no difficulty.
I highly recommend lasvegascontestproxy.com . I know the owner personally and can you will get the highest degree of service at a reasonable cost. Also I have no interest financially in the company nor do I get any remuneration for recommending them.
Good Luck Today