Bet Or Pass
Tuesday Ncaa Hoop Play
Virg Tech +4.5
Monday we lost our 1/2 Unit play on Missouri St and it was a blow out but we won our setup on Oakland +2.5
Today not much looks good but perhaps 1 or two plays and setups. I will update in about 30 min.
I received an interesting email :
Long time follower, first time commenter. One of the things that I dislike hearing from cappers is something of the following…
“We one our 1 unit play today as we anticipated”
“We lost our 1 unit play because of a XYZ and not because we were obviously wrong (the ladder part never being mentioned)”
I wish capppers would say “today we won” or “today we lost”. Taking credit either way, and not blaming X factors, which are inevitable. No body ever says “we won today, the other team blew the game and we were actually on the wrong side, but won anyways”
Just wanted to rant, I see you blaming XYZ a lot for your lost plays and not because you were wrong.
Having said that, keep up the good work sir!! Thank you for your site
I am posting it because I think its instructive. I agree to the extent that woulda coulda shoulda is not the way to gamble. And I have commented about poker players that the way they act on occasion you would think having a losing session was not one of the potential outcomes.
So from that standpoint I agree. However……..I look at it like flipping a coin with a small edge. If you lose the flip is it really a loss? Since its just part of a larger sample size where the expected outcome is a small +ev (hopefully)
But its a point well taken.
One other comment I received was that if the lines are so strong now why all of a sudden 3 1 unit plays in one day. I admit that does look strange….but those were very strong setups that I felt warranted a one unit play. When your gambling for a long enough time strange things tend to happen. For me…..I never gave it a 2nd thought. Similar to the streak im om in Omaha 8…..I am on a 0-5 run holding aa23. A number of years ago when I was playing 60-120 holdem I went on a 17-0 run holding AA. You never know.
Good Luck Today