Friday

October 24, 2014 6:34 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in NBA,NFL,NHL

4:25 update
Bet or pass
Troy +16.5

10:50 Update

Looking over the college football tonight not much stands out to me…at least before noon. Most likely no plays tonight…..and perhaps a bet or pass on one game. I want to see how things develop.

Thursday we had an easy win with Miami Fla -2. They won 30-6. Our slight edges in the NHL went 2-2 for a +.83 gain.

Also looking over the NHL and NBA unlikely anything will develop tonight in either sport.

Tonight a full schedule with Preseason NBA, NHL and 4 college football games.

I will update with comments on College football before I leave for poker today. NHL and NBA about 3:30 or so for an update.

A comment:

Explain the difference between “bet or pass”, slight edge, plays?

For all sports now I am categorizing into four categories. Bet or pass is that there are things that lead me to one side …slight edge is a bit stronger indication of the side. In relation to nba and nhl these would of been plays last year. I am going to need a solid year from these to bet these next year. Then plays are just another degree of what I consider stronger indications of a cover.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Thursday

October 23, 2014 7:57 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Football,NBA,NFL,NHL

Final update

Slight edge
NHL
Columbus +152

5:30 update

Slight edge
NHL
Carolina +137

Thursday ncaa football play
1/2 unit
Miami fla -2

4:30 update

Slight edge
NHL
Arizona +153
Vancouver +131

Wednesday we lost our two setups.San Fran in MLB and Brooklyn in the NBA both went down.

Today a bit early but three football games tonight:

San Diego
Denver

The line opened at -7.5 +106 and is now -8.5-109. 54% of the betting is on Denver. Variables lean slightly toward San Diego. Models lean slightly towards San Diego even less then the Variables. Public numbers do not give any clues to the game with the exception that the line move is quite strong relative to the 53% which would indicate sharps are on Denver tonight.

This game is a pass for me. I see no edge either way on the game. Although the line is going to move it looks like to -9. If it gets to -10 I might take another look at the game.

In College football:

Conn
E.Car

72% of the betting is on E.Car. The line has moved from -26.5 to -28.5. Nothing out of the ordinary there. Variables and Models are neutral on the game. A Pass

MIami Fla
Virg Tech

54% of the betting is on M/F. The line has moved from -1.5-108 VT to -2.5 M/F. This move would indicate sharps are on M/F tonight. Variables strongly favor M/F tonight. Models are Neutral.

Bet or Pass
Miami Fla -2.5

I will update later this afternoon with any NHL or NBA setups

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
twitter: Rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Wednesday

October 22, 2014 9:03 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

4:10 update

Slight edge

MLB
San Fran +118
NBA
Brooklyn +5

Tuesday our setups in the NHL went 2-2 for an almost 1 unit gain. The setups in the NBA and NHL are what were plays last season. I am putting them out as setups as I am not going to bet these this season. But for those of you that want to follow these or bet these I am posting them here. So far preseason NBA is 3-0 and NHL setups are 3-5 for -.69 units.

Today a bit early…but wanted to get up to date as have been busy the last few days. I have updated the results and will try to keep up daily again.

The NBA and NHL setups will be posted about 30 min before game time as they are dependent on public numbers in addition to line moves relative to the public numbers.

Looking over the games this morning however shows a few possibilities in both the NBA and NHL.

World Series starts tonight and in game 1

San fran
KC

The betting is 57% on KC with the line moving contrary to the action from -120+111 to -115+106. I see nothing there so a complete pass for me tonight.

Good LUck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Tuesday

October 21, 2014 3:04 pm · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in Miscellaneous

5:20 Update

NHL Setup
Slight Edge
Florida +152

4:50 Update

NHL Setup
Slight Edge
Arizona +137
Vancouver +118

NHL Setup

Slight Edge
Toronto +126

RickJ

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Monday

October 20, 2014 5:43 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in INVESTING,NBA,NFL,NHL

3:30 Update

Sunday was a disappointing day. 1-4 in the Hilton contest bringing my record to 20-15 or 57.14%. With over 1400 entrants there is no question that I will need to be over 60% to cash. So need to turn it around this week.

Hilton top 5 fades went 2-3.

Tonight one game in the NFL

Houston
Pitt

55% of the betting is on Pitt with the line moving from -4 to -2.5 -117. You can find a +3 at some books but will need to lay a bit more then -110. Variables favor Houston. Models favor Houston. Public is pretty much neutral.

At +3 the game for me would be a bet or pass on Houston. At +2.5 a complete pass.

In the NBA there is a setup tonight

Slight Edge:

Charlotte +6

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Swing Trade Update

Sold Position 4 of SSO at 109.24

Swing Trade Update

Sold Position 3 of SSO at 108.30

Swing Trade update:

Sold Position 2 of SSO at 107.88

RickJ

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Sunday

October 19, 2014

8:15 Update A few comments on todays games….. The poker player fade is Atlanta +6.5. Without exception players at the table are in love with Baltimore under a touchdown. Also if your in love with Seattle -6 as 82% of the bettors are I would temper that a bit. In the long run its very [...]

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Saturday

October 18, 2014

3:40 update Slight edge NHL Colorado +137 L NBA Dallas +5.5 W Miami +6 W 1:30 update Hilton nfl picks 1. Oakland +3.5 2. St. Louis +6.5 3. Cinci +3 4. Giants +6.5 5. Atlanta+6.5 12:30 update Slight edge Tcu -10.5 W Bet or pass Georgia -3 W 12:15 update Bet or pass Indiana +16 [...]

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Friday

October 17, 2014

Swing trade update I exited 1 of 4 positions in SSO at 107.70 Nothing developed on Thursday. Two college football games tonight Fresno Boise Betting is 53% on the road dog and the line has moved from -15-110 to -17-107. Models lean toward boise. Variables lean towards fresno. A Pass for me. Temple Houston Public [...]

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Thursday

October 16, 2014

Nothing at all Wednesday. Tonight we have three football games: Jets New England The betting is 67% on New England. The line has moved with the action from -8.5 to -9.5. Variables are split on the game but favor New England slightly. Models favor New england. Public numbers are Neutral for betting purposes. I am [...]

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Wednesday

October 15, 2014

Swing Trade Update…..Added postion #4 in SSO. I am now all in on this swing trade…just a question of seeing how it plays out. I added at 103.30. Tuesday we split on our slight edges. Losing on St Louis +113 in MLB but winning with Calgary +159 in the NHL. Looking over baseball nothing today. [...]

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Tuesday

October 14, 2014

4:00 Update One game tonight in College football Laf Texas st betting is on texas st 59%. The line is now -2.5 at most books. I am completely neutral on the game…Nothing that leads me to either side. NHL Slight Edge Calgary +159 Monday we won our slight edge in the NHL with Colorado +153 [...]

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Monday

October 13, 2014

3:20 Update One game tonight in the NFL SF St Louis The betting keeps pounding the road favorite tonight and it stands at 81%. The line has moved from -3.5 even to -3 -125 on Pinnacle. The line is -3 -120 to -130 at most books. St Louis +3.5 is a pick in the hilton [...]

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