Wednesday

April 23, 2014 7:54 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

Final update

Wedn NHL play
1/2 unit
St. Louis +132

3:30 update

Slight edge
Toronto -110

10:00 Update

Slight edge
MLB
Colorado -113

9:50 Update

Wednesday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Arizona +109

Tuesday we went 2-4 on our Half unit plays and the two we won were by a half point each. NBA went 1-1 on sides and 1-1 on totals. MLB 0-1 and NHL 0-1.

Slight edges went 1-1 winning with Colorado in MLB and Losing on our NBA total.

Today does not look like its going to be as busy as yesterday. Nothing looks very good in the NBA tonight. Several good prospects in the NHL. And perhaps a few in MLB.

I will update about 20 min before game times.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Tuesday

April 22, 2014 9:06 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

Final Update

I am heading out for the evening so here are the rest:

Tuesday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Arizona +104

Tuesday NBA Play
1/2 Unit
Chicago -5
Chicago U 180.5

Slight Edge
MLB
Colorado +115

3:30 Update

Tuesday NHL Play
1/2 Unit
tampa bay +152
Tuesday NBA Play
1/2 Unit
Toronto -4.5
Indiana U186.5

Slight Edge
NBA
Toronto U 190.5

Monday our 1 unit play on the Mets +109 won 2-0. Mejia went 6 2/3 innings and gave up only 4 hits…the bullpen came in and gave up only 2 hits. A great performance by the mets Monday.

Our slight edges went 0-3. Both totals in the NBA lost and Arizona +102 in MLB lost 5-1.

Today too early for plays or setups. But looking over the games tonight there are a lot of possibilities in all 3 sports if the numbers hold up.

I will post about 15 to 20 min before game times.

I received an email a few days ago about why I do not produce write ups on the games in more detail.

My methods are not really conducive to extensive write ups. My analysis is data driven along with high probability situations. I do not attempt to figure the games out based upon a more fundamental analysis as I do not know many handicappers that are successful using that technique. Matter of fact I know of none that are successful using that approach.

The best examples are the sports figures that handicap and lose money consistently. They have a knowledge of the players that most do not have and yet they cannot put it all together to produce winning results. Pete Rose is a good example along with several younger quarterbacks in the NFL that lost millions betting. Granted they may not be a good example as some clearly had gambling issues but it does serve up a good point.

The best approach I have found is to isolate variables that most handicappers do not use that have predictive value. An obvious example is the public sentiment (although this is getting more mainstream)and Reverse line moves. Once you get a handful of these types of variables then its a matter of incorporating them into a good solid handicapping method using models as a backup and situational analysis to confirm.

The problem is getting accurate data to use in backtesting. The other problem is that each sport has a different twist to it. So it takes a lot of work to get each sport down. And even then once you do its an absolute necessity to have solid money management. Even if you are a great handicapper you can go broke without solid money management. ( similar to great poker players that consistently play above their bankroll and stay broke)

Thats it for this morning. I was getting bored watching the stock market keep going up every day:)

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Monday

April 21, 2014 2:08 pm · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

4:15 Update

MLB
Slight Edge
Arizona +102

NBA
Slight edge
Okl City U190.5
Clippers U 212.5

Sunday was a busy day. We went 3-2 on our 1/2 unit plays. In Baseball 1-1, NBA 1-1 winning the total but losing the side, NHL 1-0

Today in Baseball:

Monday MLB Play
1 Unit
Mets +109

Might be more in the later games.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Sunday

April 20, 2014 7:02 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

3:30 update

Sunday NBA play
1/2 unit
Bulls -4.5

10:20 Update

Slight edge

San diego -110

Thats most likely it for baseball today

9:20 Update

Sunday MLB Plays
1/2 Unit
Cleveland +101
LA Angels +133

Slight Edge
Miami -105

9:00 Update

Sunday NBA Play
1/2 Unit
San Antonio U204.5

8:40 Update

Sunday NHL Play
1/2 Unit
Phil +146

Things were looking grim on Saturday. Toronto -3.5 never really had a chance as they were behind most of the game and never had the 3.5 pts covered. Then the Mets looked like they might have a chance scoring 2 in the bottom of the 8th but a 3 run homer in the top of the 9th took care of that.

Then onto the NHL where Pittsburgh scored 3 early and that game was looking grim. But miracles do happen. Columbus came back…tied the game in the 3rd period and in two overtimes won the game 4-3. Then San diego won also.

So a 2-2 day for our 1/2 Unit plays but Columbus +177 gave us a nice gain for the day.

Slight edges on the totals in the NBA went 2-1.

Today a bit early for plays or setups. I will update about 15 min before game times.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Saturday

April 19, 2014 8:12 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB,NBA,NHL

Final update

Saturday NHL play
1/2 unit
Columbus +177

Slight edge
NBA
Okl city U 190

3:20 update

Saturday MLB plays
1/2 unit
San Diego +111
Mets +117

12:00 update

Slight edge
Clippers U211

9:20 Update

Nothing in the early games in Baseball. A few games look good this evening.

Friday our 1/2 Unit plays in Baseball went 1-1. With Washington +101 winning and Houston +194 Losing.

Our Slight edge on Toronto -110 was a winner.

Today in the NBA

NBA
Plays
1/2 Unit
Toronto -3.5

Slight Edge
Toronto U 192.5

I will update the rest about 15 to 20 min before game times.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Friday

April 18, 2014

3:45 update Plays MLB 1/2 unit Wash +101 Houston +194 Slight edge Tb -110 Thursday we went 1-0 on our 1 unit play On Phil +130 and 0-1 on our 1/2 unit play with cleveland +135. So a +.8 unit day to start my baseball betting for this season. Today not much looks good right [...]

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Thursday

April 17, 2014

3:30 update Nothing looks very good for tonight so that is most likely it for today 9:45 Update Thursday MLB Play 1 Unit 951 A Wood 952 PHI-A Burnett +130 1/2 Unit 961 CLE-D Salazar +135 962 -J Verlander Wednesday we went 2-0 on our Leans with Washington +133 winning 6-3 in Baseball and Phoenix [...]

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Wednesday

April 16, 2014

3:40 update Leans MLB Washington+133 NBA Phoenix -2.5 Slight edge NHL Columbus +179 Dallas +142 Tuesday we won our lean on Miami +159 11-2 We lost our slight edge on Minn +114 A few early games today in Baseball. Slight Edge Baltimore -101 I will update with later games about 15 to 30 min before [...]

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Swing Trade

April 16, 2014

I exited the SSO Swing trade at 102.65 For a 2.65% gain with a holding period of 5 days. RickJ

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Tuesday

April 15, 2014

3:30 Update MLB Leans Miami +159 Slight Edge Minn +114 Our leans went 0-3 in the NBA on Monday. Our slight edge in Baseball won easily with Baltimore +103 7-1 Too early for setups but looks like nothing tonight in the NBA. I do have on a swing trade….500 sso at 100.00. 10 Min before [...]

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Monday

April 14, 2014

Sunday we went 1-1 on our leans winning toronto -7 and losing Colorado +145 in extra innings. Our slight edges went 2-1. Going 1-1 in the NBA and 1-0 in Baseball with San Diego. I am out for the evening so I am posting all of the setups now: Leans: NBA Boston -2 Toronto -11 [...]

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Swing Trade

April 14, 2014

Last friday I put on a swing trade in SSO at 100.00. This morning the market is gapping up about 3/4% I doubt we will be out of this swing today since the market was so oversold it might be a few days before I exit this position. We will see Rickjshandicappingpicks.com

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