Friday

September 19, 2014 9:35 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Football,MLB

Thursday no plays. But the one variable that kept me away from Tampa Bay paid off as they were never in the game.

Today looking over baseball most likely no plays today. I will update if anything changes.

One Football game tonight:

Conn at S florida

The betting is on S. Florida 57% and the line has moved contrary to the betting from -3.5 to -3 +101. Everything I look at points to Connecticut tonight. Both models and Variables. However at 43% I am not going to make a wager on the game.

Slight Edge
NCAA FootBall
Connecticut +3

Good Luck Today

Rickj
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 0 comments }

Thursday

September 18, 2014 8:35 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Football,MLB,NFL

Wednesday nothing developed into a play and today in baseball only one game looks promising and its a 5:00 game. I will update with baseball a bit later.

Two football games tonight:

Auburn at Kansas St: 69% of the betting is on the road favorite Auburnand the line has moved contrary to the betting on Pinnacle from -9 to -7.5. Same on Cris from -7.5 -111 to -7.5 -105. All my variables point to Auburn tonight. I am going to pass on the game as I am not inclined to bet against home dogs that have a reverse line move even at 31%. So A clear cut pass for me tonight

Tampa at Atlanta: 76% of the betting is on the home favorite. The line has moved on Pinnacle -5.5 to -5.5-110. However this is a bit misleading as Cris -6.5-114 to -6-105 showing a clear cut reverse line move. So some conflicting signals. My models lean slightly towards Tampa bay. Also variables give the edge to Tampa tonight. However there is one variable that is extremely reliable that points to Atlanta tonight. So I am passing on the game. If it wasnt for this variable I would be betting Tampa. But this is keeping me away from the game completely. A Pass.

For those of you that like to bet as a contrarian to the public I have noticed a pretty significant trend. It used to be that waiting until game time to be these was almost assuredly going to get you the best number. However this has changed. The books are moving the lines with the sharps during the final few hours before the game. So the best time it looks to bet these is at least 4 hours before game time.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 0 comments }

Wednesday

September 17, 2014 9:29 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in MLB

Tuesday we won our 1/2 unit play on Milwaukee. Down 0-2 they tied it up in the 9th and went on to win in extra innings.

Looking over todays schedule their is not much I like so far. I will update a bit later

Not much to add today

Good Luck Today

Rickj
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 0 comments }

Tuesday

September 16, 2014 11:45 am · 1 comment

by RickJ · 1 comment

in INVESTING,MLB

Nothing has changed in the baseball game so I am going to go with it.

Tuesday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Milw +136

Our slight edge won with Phil +3 in the NFL last night as they won the game by 7. A great start in the Hilton NFL supercontest going 4-1 each of the first two weeks. Over 1400 entrants and after week 2 I find myself tied for 18th win 64 other entrants. Things should start to thin out soon. Hopefully it won’t be me.

Today in Baseball only 1 game that looks good to me. But the numbers are close enough that I am going to wait for another 45 min to put it out. It could easily turn into no play. Its a 5:00 game.

I will update in a bit

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Swing trade comments:

I purchased XME at 41.76 a week ago. The ETF continued to slide but had a nice rally today that triggered an exit today at 41.50 for a -.6% loss.

There was some confusion about my sds trade I posted awhile back. I had exited that trade a few weeks ago but did not post it on the blog. I did tweet it out. I also put on an sso trade a few days ago for a nice gain but kept that one to myself. I get pretty busy during the day with handicapping and watching the markets. So if I have time I post trades. If not I just pass on posting them. Very tough to do everything and keep current.

Another swing trade exit: Exit sso at 201

still too early for sports. But swing Trade update. I exited 1250 XME at 41.50 for a small loss on the swing trade.

I will update baseball a bit later

Rickj
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 1 comment }

Monday

September 15, 2014 10:20 am · 1 comment

by RickJ · 1 comment

in MLB,NFL

Sunday another 4-1 on my Hilton picks bringing me to 8-2 in the Hilton NFL Super Contest. Great to get out of the gate fast. Usually I am under 500 the first two weeks. Encouraging. My 1 unit picks in the NFL went 1-1 and my 1/2 unit pick pushed.

I am sure you are wondering about the 1 unit play on MInn +3.5. The line jumped to +6.5 after Peterson was out. There was a big move down about an hour before game time that actually pushed the line back to +3. It looked to me it was going to +3 when I put out the play. I really do not consider fundamental information about the players as that is beyond what I do. I use different techniques to find the right side. Minn for me was the right side from the start and this late move convinced me it was still the right side. They did jump in the lead 7-0. But that was the only bright spot in the game.

Looking over baseball nothing looks very good to me and since I am in free fall again in baseball that is a good thing. 0-1 on my 1 unit play and 0-1 on my 1/2 unit play Sunday.

Tonight 1 NFL game:

Phil at Indy

65% of the betting is on San Fran and the line has moved from -3-109 to -3 -101. Variables and Models all point to Phil +3 tonight. At 35% I cannot bring myself to make it a play. I will take another look at it before game time.

However.

Slight edge
NFL
PHIL +3

Good Luck Today

Rickj
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 1 comment }

Sunday

September 14, 2014

1:00 update Sunday NFL play 1/2 unit Jets +7 9:45 Update Sunday MLB plays 1 unit Colorado +170 1/2 Unit cubs +184 Maybe one more 8:00 Update An interesting observation…there are 6 home favorites in the early NFL Games and all six have the public on the dogs. You do not see that very often! [...]

Read the full article →

Saturday

September 13, 2014

4:00 update Sat mlb play 1/2 unit Colorado +180 3:30 update Sat ncaa football plays 1 unit Unlv +10 1/2 unit Wake forest +16.5 Utsa +12 Friday we won our 1/2 Unit Play on Boston +183 and lost our 1 unit Play on Houston +170. Might be something in baseball might be some plays…not done [...]

Read the full article →

Friday

September 12, 2014

Final update Friday MLB Play 1 unit Houston +170 1/2 unit Boston +183 Nothing showed up on Thursday. Tonight however there are several MLB baseball games that look pretty good to me. I will update later this afternoon. Two College football games tonight: Toledo is at cinci. 68% of the betting is on Cinci with [...]

Read the full article →

Thursday

September 11, 2014

Wednesday we lost our 1 unit play in baseball on boston and won our 1/2 Unit play on Cinci. Today only 1 game has possibilities and its a night game. Three football games today. In the NFL Pitt is at baltimore. The betting is on the road dog 66%. This should be a red flag. [...]

Read the full article →

Wednesday

September 10, 2014

Final update Wedn MLB play 1/2 unit Cinci +124 Tuesday we lost our 1/2 unit play on Arizona in MLB. Today a play in the 10:00 game Wednesday MLB Play 1 unit Boston +124 I will update a bit later Good Luck today Rickj Rickjshandicappingpicks.com Twitter: rickjsportplays Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Read the full article →

Tuesday

September 9, 2014

Final Update Tuesday MLB Play 1/2 Unit Arizona +150 4:30 Update The 5:00 game did not develop into a play but there is a late game that now has some possibilities. I will update if anything develops. Monday we lost our 1 unit play on Cinci +117 5-0. Also our slight edge on Boston -114 [...]

Read the full article →

Monday

September 8, 2014

Final Update The numbers have changed a bit on the arizona San diego game. The line is back to -3 with the betting increasing to 42% on Arizona. No play for me. 3:40 Update Monday MLB Plays 1 unit Cinci +117 slight Edge MLB Boston -114 Sunday was a weird day. If you would of [...]

Read the full article →