mlb

MLB Totals keeps steaming along with a 10-1 run!!!

2:00 Update

I went back and did a reconciliation of the plays with the spreadsheet I keep of all plays made with the lines and results. I added that to the site if you want to take a look. Since we were getting close to month end and the finalization of the promotion I wanted to make sure all numbers were accurate to avoid any mistakes.

It appears in reconciliation the plays that the numbers were off slightly. It appears that all transactions in MLB are +5.05 units. The spreadsheet has everything in detail with it broken down by day and month. You can also go back if you’re also keeping records and match everything up with the daily posts.

If anyone sees any difference just point it out and where the difference is and I will check it out. Hopefully, we will not get close enough for it to make a difference. But you never know:)

I will check back in before the 4:00 game.

 

Sunday we had a great day in MLB going 3-0 on 1 Unit plays and 1-0 on a half unit play. For 1 unit plays Angels +135 won 5-0, Oakland +165 won 7-4 and Dodgers +148 won 1-0. Also, Texas Under 9.5+109 won 2-1.

MLB Totals are on an amazing 10-1 run!!!

In the NFL Cinci +2.5 lost 16-21 as a 1/2 unit play. Our 4-0 streak in NFL preseason sides has ended:(

We also had 5 Big move games:

Tampa Bay +107

Baltimore +106

Oakland +165

Dodgers +148

Angels +156

Closing Lines:

Tampa Bay +103

Baltimore -118

Oakland +141

Dodgers +145

Angels +125

All 5 games moved our way with 3 of the games moving substantially!

Today I have sent out a 1/2 unit play along with 6 Big Move Games

You never know when lightning is going to strike but going into month end we are now +2.175 Units!

College football begins in earnest 9/1 and I have already started handicapping the first week. Nice to get back into the football groove. In addition despite my complaining about the Hilton NFL SuperContest 8%. I have entered again this year. The 1,000 that was available is now taken.

For those interested in joining us for the football season the minimal subscription amount is listed under the Paypal menu on the upper right. All options have a 3-day free trial.

If you are still thinking about entering  the Westgate “Super Contest” and live out of Las Vegas, you need a proxy to make your weekly picks for you.  I recommend “lasvegascontestproxy.com“.  I get no remuneration for this, but know the owner (larry k) personally & he is one of the best in the business. He is also a proxy for All the contests in Las Vegas.

 

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

 

 

Can the Stock Market rebound after the Clinton Yellen 1 2 punch?

Last week Clinton and Yellen both did a number on the Stock Market. First Clinton took care of Biotech and then Yellen finished the market off by some hawkish comments out of Jackson Hole.

This week, however, is a new one with the markets showing a small gain just 30 min before the open.

I am long a bit now with a 1/4 position in SPY, another medium term swing in a call, and still hanging onto my GLD position at break even after having a nice gain:(

As I see the markets this week they start with an upside bias. Quite a few of the methods I follow are pointing to a rebound here. If we get a pullback today I am going to consider adding another 1/4 position to my SPY trade.

All is quiet on the Geopolitical front with all that I have mentioned in earlier posts simmering in the background. Over the weekend I did not see anything new that has shown up to add or subtract from my list.

So today I plan on still taking short-term swings to the long side as they trigger. Once we get past September which tends to be the weakest month of the year I will consider longer swings.

One thing to note about stock picking and swing trading. A very high % of stocks move with the market. So it’s imperative to have a general view of the market in mind as a backdrop to consider in your swing trading individual stocks. Certainly, there are a few stocks that might defy the market as a whole but its similar to my analogy I use a lot…would you rather trade with a tailwind or a headwind.

There are many ways to view this but some of the best include swing longs when the market is oversold if you’re a mean reversion trader and swing longs when the index is greater than the 10-day moving average.

If you want to follow some of my trades along with my thoughts typically given after the open you can go to @rickjswings. It’s my private twitter feed for the stock market and its free. Sports Handicapping is the subscription-based part of this site. But considering the cost of joining it’s almost free:)

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

Categories

Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!