Friday

November 21, 2014 8:39 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Basketball,College Football,NBA,NFL,NHL

5:30

Friday ncaa bb plays
1/2 unit
Duke u 148.5
Long beach at u141

3:30 update

Friday ncaa plays
1/2 unit
Mich st u133
Oregon u155

1:45 update
Friday ncaa be play
1/2 unit
W Virginia u141

10:15 Update

3 Football games tonight:

Utep
Rice

60 % of the betting is on the road dog with the line moving from -10 -8. Variables are neutral. Models are neutral..public betting slightly towards Rice…..A Pass

San Jose St
Utah St

83% of the betting is on the home favorite with the line moving from -11.5 to -14.5 -109. Variables are neutral. Models neutral on the game. Public betting strongly favors San Jose St.

Bet or Pass
San Jose St +14.5

Air Force
San Diego St

Betting is 72% on the road dog with a move contrary to the action from -3 to -6-111. Variables are neutral. Models favor San Diego st. Public betting favors San Diego st. The problem is the line has moved 3 pts. This is not as significant as in the NFL but still something to consider. I am going to also wait on this one to see how the numbers come out before game time.

8:45 Update
Slight Edge
NCAA BB
College Of Charleston +8

Thursday a good day for us. NHL setups went 1-1 for +.55 units

Ncaa BB 1/2 unit plays
Side 1-1
Totals 2-0

Setups in NCAA BB
Sides 2-0

Three college football games tonight…I will comment on them a bit later.

I will update baskets about 10 to 15 min before game times.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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Thursday

November 20, 2014 9:58 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Basketball,College Football,NBA,NFL,NHL

Final Update

Slight Edge
NCAA BB
N Arizona +3 W
NHL
Fla +154 W

5:50 Update

Thursday NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
Loyola MaryMount +12.5 L

4:55 Update

Slight Edge
NHL
Arizona +141 L

4:50 Update

Slight Edge
NCAA BB
Indiana +1 W

3:50 Update

Thurs NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
Iowa U147 W

11:50 Update

Slight Edge
NCAA BB
Drexel +10.5 L

11:15 Update

Getting caught up this morning. Trading the markets along with getting my handicapping going is getting to be a full time job:) I might have to give poker a break for awhile at least until after college basketball is over….we will see.

Wednesday we won our 1/2 unit play on Jacksonville st +14.5…it was a tight one as we won it by 1/2 a pt. Nice to win the close ones from time to time.

Three college football games tonight and 1 NFL Game:

Kansas St
W Virginia

59% of the betting is on the road dog (red flag if you like the dog) with the line moving from -1.5 to -2.5 -114. Variables are neutral on the game…..Models lean slightly to Kansas St. Public betting Leans toward West Virginia. This game is a pass for me.

North Carolina
Duke

Betting is 67% on Duke with the line moving contrary to the action -6.5 to -5.5. This is a reverse line move…but not the strongest. Variables are neutral. Models strongly favor Duke. Public betting slightly favors N. Carolina. Another Pass

Arkansas ST
Texas St

Betting is 72 % on the road favorite with the line moving from -6.5 to -6.5-111. Variables are neutral. Models slightly favor Texas St. Public betting no edge…at least not yet. A pass.

NFL

Kansas City
Oakland

Betting is 79% on the road Favorite and the line has moved from -6 to -7.5+106. Variables strongly favor Oakland. Public betting Moderately favors Oakland. Models however strongly favor Kansas City. I am passing completely on this game tonight.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Usually I would be looking for any excuse to bet Oakland tonight. But my models have been pretty accurate this year as I have made a few adjustments in the methodology.

Thursday NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
Coll Chareston+12.5 W

Rickjshandicappingpicks.com

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Wednesday

November 19, 2014 11:53 am · 0 comments

by RickJ · 0 comments

in College Basketball,College Football,NBA,NHL

3:50 Update

Slight Edge
NHL
Phil +136

3:40 Update

Wedn NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
Jacksonville st +14.5

A good day Tuesday with our 1/2 Unit plays on College hoop totals going 3-1. The game we lost missed by 1/2 a pt!

Our slight edges on the Hoop sides went 2-1. Also our NHL setup won for +147.

Today another busy day as all will be with college hoops every day.

Two games tonight in College football:

Kent St
Buffalo

The betting is 83% on Buffalo with the line moving from -7 to -7.5. Variables moderately favor buffalo. Models are neutral. Public betting favors Kent St. This game is a clear cut pass for me. The variables that point to Buffalo are some of the strongest I look at but I cannot go with a team that has 83% of the betting on them.

Bowling Green
Toeldo

Betting is 54% on Toledo with the line barely moving from -6.5 to -6.5-108. Variables are neutral. Models slightly favor Bowling Green. Public betting is neutral……a pass for me.

I will update later this afternoon with any NHL and NBA setups along with college Hoops

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 0 comments }

Tuesday

November 18, 2014 10:54 am · 1 comment

by RickJ · 1 comment

in College Basketball,College Football,NBA,NHL

Final Update

Slight Edge
NCAA Baskets
Texas tech +8
Kansas +7

Tuesday NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
LSU U 143

4:45 Update

slight edge
NHL
Carolina +147

4:20 Update
Tues NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
Ohio St U 136

2:50 Update

Slight Edge
NCAA BB
Toledo +11.5

2:40 Update

Two Ncaa FB games tonight.

N Ill
Ohio

Betting is 73% on N Ill and the line has made quite a move from the open opposite the betting….-4 to -1even.
This is clearly a reverse line move. The problem with it however is the line has moved way to much off the open to consider taking Ohio. Variables are neutral. Models strongly favor Northern Ill. So…you have factors that argue for either side….A clear cut pass for me.

Mass
Akron

Betting is 71% on the road dog. A red flag if your considering taking the dog. Models are neutral with a slight bias towards Mass. Public betting favors Akron. Another unclear matchup….and another pass for me.

12:50 Update

Tuesday NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
714 San Diego St U 130.5

12:30 Update

You may have noticed on these college hoop totals that shortly before I put the play out today the line started dropping at a few sports books. I was approached by a few big sports bettors to give them the totals first. I worked out a reasonable compensation with them for the season. There is less then a handful of them but depending on which books they use you will most likely see some movement. I am spending more and more time on handicapping and this will help reimburse me for some of the costs I incur and give me back some compensation for my time. Just giving everyone a heads up.

Monday we won our 1/2 Unit Play on Tenn +7 in the NFL. Setups on sides in college baskets went 1-3.

Today another full schedule of games.

I will update a bit later with College football games.

Might be some seups in the NBA and NHL tonight…a number of games look promising.

Tuesday NCAA BB Play
1/2 U
Memphis U 142

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 1 comment }

Monday

November 17, 2014 11:34 am · 2 comments

by RickJ · 2 comments

in College Basketball,College Football,NBA,NFL,NHL

Final Update:

Slight Edge

Detroit +12
Tenn Tech +9

3:40 Update

Slight Edge
NCAA BB
519 Hofstra +12.5
526 Brown -2

3:10 Update

Does not look like we are going to get +7.5 so:

Monday NFL Play
1/2 Unit
Tenn +7

A busy day Sunday… Lets start with the NFL. Our 1 unit play on St Louis +9 was an easy winner as they won the game by 2 touchdowns! Our 1/2 unit play on the Giants +3.5. They had every chance to cover the number but in the end they lost by 6.

My hilton NFL picks went 3-2 keeping my at 60%. As I said before 3-2 out will not get there. I need a couple of more 4-1 or 5-0 days to cash…easier said then done:)

In the NHL we had 1 setup with Florida +166 and it was a 4-1 Winner.

In the NBA we had 1 setup and it also was a winner with Milwaukee +5..they won the game. This brings our road dog setups in the NBA to 8-1!

College hoops also was a good day. Our 1/2 Unit sides went 2-2. Totals 1/2 unit plays went 2-0.

Setups in college Hoops saw the slight edge on Totals go 1-0 Bet or Pass on the totals went 1-1.

As most of you have noticed my basketball plays and setups are being released 1 to 10 min before game time. Its really the most predictive method as my techniques are contingent on a lot of moving parts. So I have found a snapshot of the moving parts during this time period is the most predictive for my methods in college hoops. Saying that…..the only way to assure yourself that you will not be missing out on these is to get my twitter posts…..and even then your going to have to be quick to get anything down. But I worked a lot on college hoops over the off season and this method seems the best for me.

If anyone has any questions or comments about this do not hesitate to send me an email. Its interesting that I have gone from putting out the plays the night before to now minutes before game time:) Its great sometimes to have a bit of OCD in my personality!

Now onto the NFL game tonight.

Pitt
Tenn

87% of the betting is on Pitt..with the line moving from -4.58 to -6.5-113. Its even -7 at some books. Variables favor Tenn…models favor tenn …and at +7 strongly favor tenn. Public betting strongly favors tenn.

I am going to wait until a bit later to decide to put this out as a play or not. But in the Mean time….Its at the very least a slight edge with Tenn….Even under 7. This is another one of those setups similar to Pitt vs Jets a few weeks ago and St louis vs denver yesterday. As far as where it stands with the other two games….right In between. What I do not like is how Pitt got trounced last week….It would be a much stronger setup if they won last week by 2 or 3 touchdowns….very counter intuitive…but thats what is required in the NFL to have a chance.

Good Luck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

{ 2 comments }

Sunday

November 16, 2014

4:40 update Slight edge NHL Fla +166 W 2:00 Update Slight edge NCAA BB Penn St U 147.5 W 1:50 Update Sunday NCAA BB Play 1/2 Unit 721 Fordham +12.5 L 1:24 Update Slight Edge NBA Milwaukee +5 W 12:55 Update Sunday NCAA BB Play 1/2 Unit 745 N Colorado +11.5 W 12:00 Update Sunday [...]

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Saturday

November 15, 2014

Final update Sat ncaa fb play 1/2 unit North Texas +7 Hilton contest picks St. Louis +9.5 ( yes joe…against Denver again) Giants +3.5 Kc -1.5 Arizona -2.5 Carolina -2 12:20 update Sat ncaa fb play 1/2 unit Alabama -9.5 9:50 Update Bet or Pass NCAA BB 545 manh +11 Sat NCAA BB Play 1/2 [...]

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Friday

November 14, 2014

Final Update Not much is showing up tonight in any of the sports. However in college hoops: Slight Edge College Hoops 854 Arizona -28.5 Thursday we went 1-1 on our NHL setups for +.58 units. Today a very busy day. In the NHL and NBA most likely no setups. Although there is 1 game in [...]

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Thursday

November 13, 2014

Final Update Slight Edge NHL Arizona +129 3:30 update Slight edge NHL Colorado + 158 A good day yesterday. Our 1/2 Unit play on Kent st +14 was a winner. Also our two setups in the NBA were easy winners bringing our road dog setups to 7-1. Looking over tonights NBA and NHL most likely [...]

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Wednesday

November 12, 2014

4:30 update Slight edge NBA Indiana +8.5 Tuesday setups went 2-2. NHL setups were 0-2. College football 1-0 and NBA 1-0. I am going to start waiting to put out college football setups. The numbers jump around quite a bit. Slight edge NBA Detroit +6.5 Two college football games tonight Ball state Mass Betting is [...]

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Tuesday

November 11, 2014

Final update Slight edge NHL Ottawa +137 Bet or pass Toledo +3.5 4:00 update Slight edge NBA Orlando +10.5 3:15 Update Nothing has changed in college football tonight….still a pass on both games. Slight Edge NHL Colorado +120 Monday we lost our NHL setup on NJ and that was all that we had. A slow [...]

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Monday

November 10, 2014

Sunday not so good day day in the NFL. My hilton picks went 2-3. Buffalo and St Louis could of gone either way but both went against me. Bringing my record to 30-20 or 60%. The slight edge on the Jets was a winner as they won the game. Perhaps the most reliable indicator of [...]

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