Thursday we lost our 1/2 unit play on Carolina +3. They were playing tough until the last few min before the half when they gave up two quick touchdowns. That was pretty much it for them. Our NBA slight edge also lost.
The bright spot was that as the Hilton contest had the line +2.5 I passed on the game.
Tonight two college football games.
The betting is 76% on the home favorite. The line has moved from -21.5 to – 24.5. Models slightly favor Tulsa. Variables strongly favor Memphis. Public number is neutral. This game is a pass for me.
The betting is 82% on Cincinnati. The line has moved from -4 to -6. Variables are neutral on the game. Model is neutral . Public betting strongly favors Tulane.
Bet or pass
Their will be some NBA setups tonight. I will post them about 30 min before game time.
Good luck today
One game tonight in the NFL
62% of the betting is on New Orleans. The line moved from pick to -3-123.
Variables favor Carolina. Public is neutral. Models strongly favor Carolina. I would of picked carolina in the Hilton contest but the line there was +2.5. At +3 Carolina is an easy pick for me.
Thursday NFL play
You can get +odds or even +3.5
Wednesday we went 1-4 on our slight edge setups in the NBA. Off to a slow start. When betting the NBA think baseball….a long arduous season.
Today most likely a setup in the NBA. Three football games tonight.
Betting is 76% on the home favorite. The line has moved with the action -24-110 to -24.5-104. My models are neutral on the game. Variables favor Ga Southern. Public betting does not really point to either side. This game is a pass for me.
Betting is 69% on Florida st. The line has moved contrary to the betting from -6.5-102 to -3.5. That is quite a move. Variables are neutral on the game. Public betting is neutral. Models strongly favor Florida st. This game is also a pass.
One game tonight in the NFL. Game time is 5:25. The numbers are jumping around quite a bit. I will comment on the game a bit later.
Good luck today
4:40 update slight edge
Ny Knicks +4.5
Tuesday we lost both our Slight Edge setups in the NBA and MLB…Neither was close.
Tonight most likely a few setups in the NBA and nothing else likely. I will update a bit later before game time.
San Fran +126
Another good day in the NFL on Monday. My final Hilton pick was an easy win as Washington won the game in OT as a 9.5 point dog! That was a pass or bet and a winner.
So after week 8 I am 25-15 in the Hilton contest or 62.5%. Not a bad place to be at the half way mark. I am in the top 100 of over 1400 contestants. Things should thin out pretty quick now over the next few weeks.
Not much happening tonight although the opening day of the NBA Season. I will post slight edges only for the NBA this year. Preseason their was not many SL Edges but they went 3-1.
We also have a baseball game tonight. I might have something on the game …numbers are close right now.
I will update a bit later this afternoon.
Good Luck Today
A great monday morning:) 4-0 in the Hilton contest picks. Our 1 unit play on Pitt +3.5 was an easy winner. Our 1/2 Unit play on Cinci 3+ looked like a rout but turned into a cliffhanger but cinci pulled it out with 4th and 1 at the goal line with 1 min left!
Our Bet or pass in the NFL both won. The only loss was our slight edge in the NHL.
That puts me up to 24-15 with Washington tonight +9 in the NFL as my remaining Hilton pick. I am again over 60% …at 61.5%!
One game tonight in the NFL:
Betting is 74% on Dallas with the line moving -7.5+100 to -10+111. Chris has a -9
Models are neutral on the game. Variables point to Washington. Public Numbers favor Washington.
Bet or Pass
Not much else today…if anything changes I will update a bit later
Good Luck Today