We are half way through the baseball season and we are -.36 units. To me it feels like down about 30 units:)
The home plays are down .96 units…the away plays are down -5.88 units. But our totals are plus 6.45 units.
This is the first year I have handicapped the totals and it is looking very promising. The plays on the totals are 14-7 or a rate of 66.6%. And System 4 totals are 59-44 or 57.28% while the system X subset for totals is 12-4 or 75%
The totals are clearly the bright spot of the first half of the season.
The big surprise to me is the system 4 sides. 55-92 for -29.12 units. The had been down as high as 38 units at one point. This is why I do not bet on system setups until I see some confirmation that they may have some value.
Everything has been tightened up on my plays and setups for the 2nd half of the season. So I would expect better results but as a caveat the 2nd half of baseball more often then not is much more challenging then the first half.
We get a few days off now….If anyone has any questions ask away.
RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade
{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }
Minor correction… 14-7 = 66.6%. Keep up the good work!
John,
Thanks…I was looking at the Sys X subset.
Rick
How would one back test an idea they thought might be +EV in MLB? For instance a team coming off a road trip of over a week, won their last game on the road trip, and was a home dog of over +120 on the home opener. I just made up those rules but you get the question….thanks!