Driving back from a few days on the ocean so baseball will be posted between 2 and 3
In the nba tonight the public is heavy on the favorite 63% and the over 76%.
Historically there is no edge either way on the side….but on the total history clearly favors the under by over 60%. The line opened at 192.5 and is now up to 195.5. I have 195 at about right for the game if it were not the finals…. The total is not high enough for me to wager on the under …..but for me it would be the under or a pass on the game.
As we saw in the semi finals. Things do not always go the way they have historically as the overs were around 60%. Bucking the 60% unders over the last 10 and 5 years. But still over the long haul is nice to have history at your back rather then trying to face it as a headwind.