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NFL Road Map for Chargers/Raiders , Updated results for all sports posted

On Saturday we had 4 NCAA FB PLAYS going 2-2. We lost our NHL play, and lost our NCAA BB Play.
 
 
At long last I have gotten the google sheets up to date with the exception of MLB and Bet or pass games.
 
In MLB we ended up the regular season on the plus side around 14 units. In the postseason we lost around 3 units.
 
NCAA Football to date is 22-8 (73%) for +13.2 Units
 
NFL Football to date is:
 
1 Unit plays 11-7 (61%) +3.3 Units
 
1/2 Unit plays 1-2 (33%) -.6Units
 
NHL To Date:
 
Sides
 
1 UNIT
 
3-2 +.91 Units
 
1/2 Unit
 
0-1  -.5 units
 
1/2 Unit Totals
 
7-7  -.45 Units
 
NBA Sides
 
1 UNIT 
 
9-2  +6.8 UNITS
 
NBA Totals
 
1/2 Unit
 
1-0  +.5
 
NCAA BB Sides :
 
1 UNIT
 
1-1   -.1 units
 
NCAA BB Totals
 
1/2 UNIT
 
0-1  -.55 UNITS
 
So, about a +28 unit upswing since the start of the MLB season. With the NBA, NFL and College football showing very solid results
 
 
You can take a look, as I will be updating again daily, now that I am caught up.
 
In the Westgate NFL SuperContest, my 2-8 last 2 weeks have brought my record down to 23-20-2. (53.4%)
 
A fast start, and now reversion has set in:)
 
This week picks for me are : (in the order I liked them at the time)
 
Tenn +6.5
Buffalo +6.5
Oakland +9.5
Miami +9.5
Seattle +9.5
 
The Westgate top 5 picks went 5-0 last week bringing their record to 26-19-0. Not much to say here. If you faded the first half of the year the top 5 would have given you a small loss.
 
Today the Westgate top 5 is:
 
Phil
Atl
Sea
NE
LAC
 
I am fading 3 of the top 5 and am with 1 of the top 5.
 
Also, we have two NFL 1 unit plays pending today.
 
Let’s see if I can get a monster rush going in the NFL, I am going to need it:)
 
My free NFL Breakdown for today is:
 
Chargers 80% -10+102 -10 +102 -10 -10-105
 
Oakland 20%
 
Models: Oakland Slight Edge
 
Variables: Avg Edge Oakland
 
Public %: Strong Edge Oakland
 
I know, Oakland has looked pathetic. And of course with 80% on the road favorite everyone and their brother feels the same way.
 
But if you remove the names of the two teams, and only look at the numbers it becomes clear that Oakland has EV this afternoon.
 
So if you thinking about joining the 80% you might want to reconsider:)
Come to join us for the 2nd half of the NFL Season. You get the benefit of not only getting all the NFL plays and Road Maps. But College football Plays and Roadmaps, NBA plays, NHL plays and College basket plays as part of your subscription.
 
The cost is only $49 a month, and for first-time subscribers, if before 14 days you want your money back, I will refund you the entire amount.
 
You can sign up via my website, rickjshandicappingpicks.com and picking the monthly option under the PayPal menu or you can sign up via this link:
 
 
Hope to see you join us for a fun 2nd half of the NFL season.
 
Good Luck Today
 
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Skype: riccja
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Westgate NFL Supercontest picks, Westgate top 5, and NFL Road map for GB/NE game posted

On Saturday we had two 1 unit plays and won them both. In college football, Missouri +6.5 won by two touchdowns and in the NBA Indiana +3.5 won the game by 1.
 
We also had 4 Bet or Pass games and went 2-2.
 
Going into today we won our 1/2 Unit play on San Fran Thursday night and have a unit play pending today.
 
In the Westgate NFL Supercontest, I bombed last weekend going 1-4 bring my record to 22-16-2. Just under 58%. Time to get going:)
 
Nothing a 5 -0 day will not take care of today.
 
My picks this week in the Westgate contest in the order I liked them at the time:
 
Cleveland +8
Buffalo +10
Jets +6
Wash -1.5
New Orleans -1.5
 
Also amazingly the Westgate top 5 went 5-0 last week bringing their record at the 1/2 way point to 21-19. I cannot remember when the Westgate top 5 has been over 50% at this point.
 
Usually, they are around 40%. I would not draw any conclusions from one year. But if it happens again next year, you might reconsider the strategy of fading these the first half of the season:)
 
This week the Westgate top 5 are:
Minn
Pitt
Tenn
KC
Hou
 
I am fading 2 of the top 5 this week. Let’s hope they cool off a bit.
 
My free roadmap for today is:
 
Green Bay 40%
 
New Eng 60% -6.5-101 -5.5-101 -7 -6-104
 
Models: Avg Edge New England
 
Variables: No Edge
 
Public % No Edge
 
A tough game. My rule is if the public is >50% on a side I either take the other side or pass on the game. Its an almost absolute rule. So it would be Green bay to handicap tonight.
 
The problem is the models show the edge to go to New England tonight. In addition, nothing else gives me any clues in the game. It’s a good game to stay away from and that is what I am doing. Passing on the game.
 
Should be a good game to watch with two of the best quarterbacks going against each other.
 
I have taken a completely different approach to the NBA this season and so far it has paid off. So far we are sitting at 6-1 on NBA Sides and 1-0 on NBA Totals. 
 
NHL also has been solid this season both sides and totals.
 
Football has been solid also. So we are in sync right now with the exception of last weeks NFL games. 
 
Also, as if things are not busy enough we have College hoops starting Tuesday.
 
Come to join us for the 2nd half of the NFL Season. You get the benefit of not only getting all the NFL plays and Road Maps. But College football Plays and Roadmaps, NBA plays, NHL plays and College basket plays as part of your subscription.
 
The cost is only $49 a month, and for first-time subscribers, if before 14 days you want your money back, I will refund you the entire amount.
 
You can sign up via my website, rickjshandicappingpicks.com and picking the monthly option under the PayPal menu or you can sign up via this link:
 
 
Hope to see you join us for a fun 2nd half of the NFL season.
 
Good Luck Today
 
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Skype: riccja

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RickJ's 2

NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

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Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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