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Westgate NFL Supercontest at 57.77%, NFL and College football season to date, updated political odds

We are heading into week 10 in the Westgate SuperContest and I sit at 26-19 or 57.77%. I slipped last week going 2-3. Carolina let me down, with their last drive of the game ending at the 1-yard line:(

In College football, I went 2-1 for the weekend. Losing with Mich St +14 and winning with W. Virginia +14 and Utah -21.5. That brings my season record in College football to 23-16-1 or 58.9%.

In the NFL for plays last week I went 1-1 with Atlanta +14 with an easy win and Cinci +10.5 getting blown out. So I sit 9-8 for NFL plays season to date.

In the all spread contest, I sit at 87-62 or 58.3%. That is picking every game against the spread:) I send out all of my picks to subscribers. I am in 6th place in the contest 4 pts out of first.

My picks this week in the Westgate NFL Contest are:

Tampa Bay +5.5
Phil +3.5
Washington -1
Houston +4
Cinci +10.5

These are pretty much in the order I liked them at the time I placed them. Yes, I have Cinci again:) No doubt another blowout. I really do not pay attention to the names of the teams. I have noticed that it creates a bias that is hard to overcome. I just go with my methods.

The Westgate top 5 has been sinking finally. The went 1-3-1 last week and now stand at 22-26-2.

The top 5 this week are:

Arizona
Houston
NE
Jets
KC

I am with them on Houston and fading NE and the Jets.

The bottom 5 this week are:

San Fran
Cleve
Det
Cinci
Pit

I am on Cinci one of the bottom 5.

All in all, I like my picks:)

As to political odds:

I cashed out of my Louisiana Governors race last week for a nice gain. ( A good move since the Republican lost last night)

I laid 65/35 on the Republican winning the KY Governor’s race. The odds are now 72/28 ( I also cashed out of this one early with a gain. Republican lost there also)

I laid 87/13 on the Republican winning the MS Governor’s race. I won this race.

I made a wager on whether Giuliani will be federally indicated by 12/31/20. I got 40/60 on this wager. The odds right now are 39/61. About where I got in. I wanted to get a 10 to 20% gain and cash out. But so far have not had the opportunity. Once the IG report hits, and Durham gets moving I suspect I will get that opportunity.

Some of the odds to watch if your interested in Trump’s removal are:

Odds of Trump being impeached his first term: 77/23 ( I expect this will most likely happen). Although the way the hearings have been going I find it hard to believe Dems in states that Trump won are going to political suicide and go over the cliff with Schiff. We will see:)

Odds of a Senate Conviction: 17/83 against. This has been getting lower and lower. This is really the one to watch. If it starts shooting up its time to give it some consideration. As long as it stays this low, forget the media. Just watch the odds.

Trump to get the Republican Nomination: 80/20 It would not be this high if there was much of a chance the Senate would remove him. Another one to watch.

You know things are getting rough for the Dems when some of my die-hard liberal relatives are calling me and saying that maybe Trump is the correct choice:) Two years ago they all thought Trump was the Anti Christ!

Now that is not to say that the Republican Senate might snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in 2020. They are known for that. The Establishment Republicans in the Senate are some of the most pathetic bunch I have seen. The reason, no term limits. You cannot have lifers in the Senate.

They become corrupt, entitled, and as Barr put it so aptly in his speech yesterday, they are encroaching on the powers of the executive branch.

If you have not heard his speech take an hour out of your schedule or listen to it while you’re handicapping today. You will learn something.
https://youtu.be/MeMwdtbPR6g

I have neither an ideology to burden me, nor do I rely upon or listen to the mainstream media. And for that matter there are few at Fox News I rely on either. I have a handful of investigative journalists that have the highest integrity, are truth-tellers, and have no political agenda. They are not easy to find, but I have a handful that gets everything right on the money.

I also rely on several constitutional law experts of the highest integrity, and last but not least my analytical skills. Now, saying that I do not win every wager I make:) But my win rate is very high on political wagers and most wagers for that matter.

It’s still not too late to join us as we are in the middle stages of the NFL and College football with college hoops just beginning. All subscriptions have a 3-day free trial. Just go to the PayPal drop-down menu on this site and choose the monthly option. Hope to see you join us!

Good Luck Today:)

RickJ

http://rickjshandicappingpicks.com

Skype: riccja

0

Westgate Supercontest sitting at 60% , NFL, College Football Season to date record, updated political odds

We are heading into Week 10 in the Westgate NFL Supercontest and I sit at 27-18 or 60%. This is after a 3-2 week last week.

In College football, I went 2-1 this weekend bringing my season to date record to 23-16-1 or 58.9%. I lost with Alabama and won with Appalacian st and Utah state.

In the NFL last week for plays I went 2-0 bringing my season to date record for plays to 10-7 or 58.8%.

In the all spread contest where you pick every NFL game against the spread each week, I sit at 80-56 or 58.8%. I am tied for 6th place in that contest. I won my first game with Oakland Thursday night for this week. I give all my picks against the spread to subscribers.

A pretty solid wagering season for Football:)

Also, College Hoops has started and my first two plays were winners.

My picks this week in the Westgate NFL Supercontest are:

KC-3.5
Jets +2.5
Atlanta +10
Cinci +10
Carolina +5

The KC pick was simply based upon the line put out before the injury adjustment, the line is -6 now and has been as high as -6.5.

The Westgate top 5 went 0-4-1 last week bring its record to 21-23-1. It took a while but the are now below 500. This is more in line with what I would expect from them:)

The top 5 this week are:

KC
Sea
Rams
Dallas
Buff

I am with the top pick this week and am not fading any of the top 5:(

The bottom 5 this week are:

Tenn
Oak
Chargers
Jets
Atl

I am with one of the bottom 5 this week.

For those into political odds I have 1 wager going right now:

I cashed out of my Louisiana and Kentucky Governors races for a gain. I won the MS governors race wager.

I had also cashed out of the Netanyahu wager doubling my money in about 3 weeks.

The only wager I have left is whether Giuliani will be federally indicated by 12/31/20

I received 40/60 odds and the line now stands at 53/47 in favor of indictment. So, I have about a .07 cent gain or almost a 20% gain on the wager. I most likely will take the 20% when I can get it since the wager does not end for over a year.

It’s still a good wager, in my opinion, receiving 47/53 as I estimate the odds to be somewhere around 10 to 1 against. Barr’s DOJ is not going to indict Giuliani when they give Comey a pass on perjury and leaking. It is just not going to happen in my judgment. In addition, Giuliani has broken no laws. Now I know that is pretty much irrelevant these days but I thought I would throw that in:)

I have neither an ideology to burden me, nor do I rely upon or listen to the mainstream media. And for that matter there are few at Fox News I rely on either. I have a handful of investigative journalists that have the highest integrity, are truth-tellers, and have no political agenda. They are not easy to find, but I have a handful that gets everything right on the money.

I also rely on several constitutional law experts of the highest integrity, and last but not least my analytical skills. Now, saying that I do not win every wager I make:) But my win rate is very high on political wagers and most wagers for that matter.

It’s still not too late to join us as we are in the middle stages of the NFL and College football with college hoops just beginning. All subscriptions have a 3-day free trial. Just go to the PayPal drop-down menu on this site and choose the monthly option. Hope to see you join us!

Good Luck Today:)

RickJ

http://rickjshandicappingpicks.com

Skype: riccja

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NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

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Over an 8 year period:

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48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

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103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

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See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
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Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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