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NFL Week 15: Westgate NFL Picks, Westgate Top 5, Road Map for NE/Pitt game now posted

On Saturday we had 4 plays for +.30 Units

We went 1-1 in the NHL winning with Fla +135 and losing with  Phil +103. In College hoops, we won with Old Dom +9.5 as they won the game outright and lost with Utah +15.5 in a blowout.

I am running behind this morning so do not have the season to date breakdown for you. I think for the week we lost a few units keeping us at over 20 units for the season, not including baseball where we won 10+ units.

Heading into this weeks Westgate Contest I am sitting at 37-31-2 or 54.4%.

My picks this week in the order I like them at the time:

My Westgate NFL Picks (Not plays)In the order I liked them at the time.
Wash +7
TB +7.5
PHIL +11
Det +2.5
Car +5.5

The Westgate top 5 went 2-3 last week again. Seems like they are in that rut right now. Bringing their record to 36-34 which for them is excellent historically

The Westgate top 5 this week:

Indy

Tenn

Seattle

NE

GB

I am not fading nor am I with any of the top 5 this week. Usually, I am fading a few of them, but not this time.

My free NFL Roadmap for today is:

NE 68%      -1   -2.5-109    -1   -2.5-115

Pitt 32%                54

Models: Pitt No Edge + at 2.5  Avg Edge at +3

Variables:  NE  No Edge +

Public % :  Pitt: No Edge + at +2.5 Slight edge at +3

A mixed bag in this game tonight NE comes off a loss against Miami and is less than a field goal favorite at Pitt. A tough sport to fade Brady. But 68% of the public like NE and the books have the line at less than a field goal. Must be a reason. At +3 you have to consider Pitt. If you are thinking of jumping on the bandwagon with NE, you might want to reconsider.

For subscribers, I break down every NFL game this way along with every College Football Game.
 
 
Come join us NCAA FB Bowl games are about to start.
 
You get the benefit of not only getting all the NFL plays and Road Maps. But College football Plays and Roadmaps, NBA plays, NHL plays and College basket plays as part of your subscription.
 
The cost is only $49 a month, and for first-time subscribers, if before 14 days you want your money back, I will refund you the entire amount.
 
You can sign up via my website, rickjshandicappingpicks.com and picking the monthly option under the PayPal menu or you can sign up via this link:
 
 
Hope to see you join us for a fun NCAA FB Bowl Season
 
Good Luck Today
 
RickJ
 
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
 
rickjshandicappingpicks.com
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NFL WEEK 14: Westgate NFL Picks, Westgate Top 5, Road Map for PHIL/Dallas Game now posted

On Saturday we had 5 Plays and went 3-2 for +.86 Units
 
In College Hoops, we won a 1 unit play on California +6 89-83 and lost a 1/2 Unit play on Illinois Under by a hoop.
 
In the NBA we went 1-1 for one unit plays winning with Cleveland +7.5 116-101 and losing with Minn +3 105-113
 
Then in the NHL, we won a 1/2 Unit play on Phil +102 6-2.
 
After a winning 2018 MLB Season we have 4 sports active:
 
Season Record to date:
 
 
College Football
 
1 UNIT 24-9 +14.1 Units
 
1/2 Unit 1-0 +.5 Units
 
NFL
 
1 UNIT 13-7 +5.3 Units
 
1/2 Unit3-4 -.7 Units
 
NHL
 
1 Unit Sides
 
4-4 +.43 Units
 
1/2 Unit Sides
 
1-1 +.01 Units
 
1/2 Unit Totals
 
8-14 -3.86 UNITS
 
NCAA BB
 
1 Unit Sides
 
3-4 -1.35 Units
 
1/2 Unit sides
 
5-8-1 -1.9Units
 
1/2 Unit Totals
 
11-3 +3.35 Units
 
NBA
 
1 Unit Sides
 
13-6 +6.4 Units
 
1/2 Unit Totals
 
1-0 +.5 Units
 
That brings us to +22.78 Units Season to date in these sports after a 10+ Unit season in MLB. We won 2.21 Units last week.
 
We are heading into week 13 in the Westgate NFL Supercontest. I had a 3-2 week last week bringing my record to 34 -29-2. That is around 54%.
 
This week my Westgate NFL Contest Picks are:
 
wash +3.5
mia +7.5
jets +3
tampa +8
bears +3
 
 
The Westgate Top 5 went 2-3 again last week bring its record to 34-31-0 for the season.
 
The Westgate top 5 this week is:
 
Indy
 
KC
 
Rams
 
Buff
 
Giants
 
I am fading 3 of the top 5 this week and not with any of them. For me that a good place to be.
 
 
My free NFL Road Map for today is:
 
Phil 42%
 
45.5
 
Dallas 58% -4 -3.5+102 -4 -3-125
 
Models: Phil Avg Edge
 
Variables: No Edge
 
Public % No Edge
 
Let’s start out the game by saying my handicapping techniques in most sports is that one of the first things I look at is what the public is doing.
 
If there is over 50 % on a team its either the other side or pass for me.
 
That means Phil is the team I would be looking at.
 
In this game, there is 42% on Phil which is not low enough to consider them, In addition, I see no variables that support either side.
 
The models do give a nice edge to Phil but that alone is not enough to consider betting on the game. So for me, this game is a pass.
 
For subscribers, I break down every NFL game this way along with every College Football Game.
 
 
Come  join us NCAA FB Bowl games are about to start.
 
You get the benefit of not only getting all the NFL plays and Road Maps. But College football Plays and Roadmaps, NBA plays, NHL plays and College basket plays as part of your subscription.
 
The cost is only $49 a month, and for first-time subscribers, if before 14 days you want your money back, I will refund you the entire amount.
 
You can sign up via my website, rickjshandicappingpicks.com and picking the monthly option under the PayPal menu or you can sign up via this link:
 
 
Hope to see you join us for a fun NCAA FB Bowl Season
 
Good Luck Today
 
RickJ
 
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
 
rickjshandicappingpicks.com

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RickJ's 5

NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

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Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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