0

Westgate NFL Supercontest Picks along with the top 5 contest picks posted!

On Saturday in College football, we had 2 plays and split 1-1. We won with Iowa State and lost with UMass.

We also had 2 Bet or Pass games winning them both on Ilinois and Texas Tech.

Week 1 in the NFL was a Push week for me in the Westgate Supercontest going 2-2-1. Our plays in the NFL last week went 0-2 while our Bet or Pass games went 1-0.

My Westgate SuperContest picks this week are:

Buffalo +7

Pitt -4

Detroit +6

Raiders +6

Green Bay +7

Every once in awhile the lines come out early before the results of an injury are known. Here it was accepted pretty much that Rogers was out and the line was -7 according to the Westgate without him playing. I had thought it was 50/50 and even then the -7 might be overdone a little. As it turned out I guessed right.

The Westgate Supercontest had a rare good start last week going 4-1. Typically you can make a lot of money fading them the first half of the season. Nothing lasts forever:)

The Westgate top 5 this week are:

Houston

Giants

Pitt

New Eng

Phil

I am with Pitt and fading none of the top 5 this week. Not the place I want to be:)  Its amazing to me that Pitt is in the top 5. Perhaps this means the Westgate is shifting toward more “sharps” than “squares” finally. Too early to tell.

Its never too late to join us for the rest of the football season! Just go to the paypal menu and subscribe. Remember new subscribers can cancel at anytime within the first 14 days and get a full refund.

If you want to get an idea of the Road Map I put out for every football game played, here is the Thursday night road map for the NFL game I sent to subscribers:

NFL – 9/13/2018
13-Sep Model Edge Variable Edge Public % Edge
8:20 PM
101 BAL-J Flacco 0-113 -1-101  -2 -1-115 68%
102 CIN-A Dalton 43.5 43o-110  44.5u-121 43 No Edge Avg Edge Slight Edge 32%

First lets look at the public %. At 68% on Baltimore , that means Baltimore is out of the question. No matter how good the game looks you have to restrain yourself and stay away from betting Baltimore. In addition the Variables point to Cinci tonight. The problem is that the models are  neutral on the game. So that prevents the game from being a play. As far as a bet or pass, it is borderline. These +1 to +2 games need to have a bit more going for them for me to make it a Bet or Pass. Not enough here tonight. But, I would just pass on the game and avoid going with the public tonight.

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

Skype : riccja

 

0

RickJ’s Westgate NFL contest picks are now up on the site

 

NFL Week 1 is here and we started out the season winning our Bet or Pass on Phil Thursday Night.
 
I was feeling pretty good about the game when I got a message from a poker player telling me how Atlanta was a cinch:)
 
As most of you know from following me in the past when I was playing poker full time one of the best “tells” on a game was when Poker players loved one side.
 
And the more they were vocal about it the better the other side tended to be.
 
The virtual lock was when you told them you like the other side and they got mad:)
 
I finally decided to enter the Westgate NFL Contest after being on the fence until 10 days before kickoff.
 
My picks in the contest this week are:
 
Tampa Bay +9.5
Dallas +3
Seattle +3
Oakland +4
Bears +7.5
 
The Westgate is paying the top 100 spots this season, but even so, you have to be well over 60% to get in the money. To win it, I am not sure 68% would do the trick.
 
One thing I like to look at is the top 5 picks in the Contest. These usually do well under 50 against the spread. In recent years, they have started out at the 30% level and improved a bit later in the season.
 
This Week the Top 5 picks are:
 
Cinci
Rams
Balt
Min
Houston
 
I am fading 1 of these and am not on any of the rest. Not a bad spot to be:)
 
For subscribers, we have 2 plays pending and a Bet or Pass pending for today.
 
It’s not too late to join us for the NFL Season. Remember, new subscribers can cancel at any time within the first 14 days and get a full refund.
 
Subscribe now and you can get on board for the first 2 plays of the NFL Season.
Subscribers will get a roadmap of every NFL game played, a roadmap of every matchup in college football plays sent out when they become obvious, and a list of my top 5 NFL Matchups for the Weekend.
ALL PLAYS SENT OUT VIA MY PRIVATE TWITTER FEED, EMAIL, AND SMS.
Also, you get access to me via email to ask questions.
I have made it very easy to subscribe. Use the link below and I will have you signed on within minutes.
HTTP://PAYPAL.ME/RICKJSPORTS/49

 

Hope to see you join us.
Subscribe and I will have you signed on with minutes!!!
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Skype: riccja

 

Subscribe Via Paypal


Subscription Options
Includes Free Trial



Testimonials

RickJ's 1

NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

Categories

Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Assign a menu in the Left Menu options.
Assign a menu in the Right Menu options.