MLB Overnight Plays for 4/21 , Season to date MLB

As most of my subscribers know MLB season will be free for everyone, subscribers and guests alike. As I explained the reason was the transition from Slack to Discord, and I will be busy will some personal projects over the summer.

So in the event they interfere with the time I will be spending handicapping I thought it best just to make everything free until the beginning of College Football when things should be settled down on my end.

With that in mind I will be posting my overnight plays and all plays daily.

So lets start out with the overnight plays I sent out last night at 9:00 PM PST

MLB Overnights for 4/21
903    E CABRERA -R
904 CUB  K HENDRICKS -R -125

Season to date for these is:

2024 Season
March
Overnight Sides
1-4  -2.88
line change
3-1-1  +.046

April
Overnight Sides
17-15  +3.18
Line Change
22-9-1 +.054

The sides speak for themselves. The Line change is the advantage between the line we got early, and the closing line. Right now it is +.054 per wager.

This is about the minimum I would expect based upon historical numbers since I have been wagering on these.

I will start posting the top to bottom swing soon. Usually the avg swing is at a minimum of 10 units on up to 30 units.

Drawdowns using this method are much lower than day of the game betting, at least they have been in the past.

The last 3 seasons were all winning seasons for the overnight side plays. The typical season is about +10 to 15 units. That is where we were at last

season but I let it run past September which I usually do not do. And gave back about 8 units:(

So this season will end the end of October for MLB Overnights.

NBA and NHL playoffs are in full swing now. If any plays develop I will also post them here.

We had a good season in the NBA this year :

NBA 2023/2024 (All 1/2 Unit this season)
October
Sides 2-3-1
November
Sides 6-4
Dec
Sides 11-8
Jan
5-8
February
Sides 4-0
March
4-2

Season to date  32-25-1

So far there have been no plays in the playoffs

There were no plays in the NHL this season.

You can get more up to date timely plays by sending me an email to rickj@rickjshandicappingpicks.com

I will sign you up on the email list, and send you an invite to my two discord servers: RickJSports and RickJInvest

I post most of my trading and discussion of the markets on RickJInvest

Hope to see you join us. Or just check back here from time to time to see what the plays are.

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

Discord:

RickJSports

RickJInvest

MLB has arrived, we have 28 overnight plays under our belt, and its free!!!

MLB begins what is a very long season with a lot of plays and also tends to have a lot of swings.

I have concentrated on the overnight sides, which over the last 3 years have been very profitable for subscribers.

This season is no different as we are 15-13 for our overnight sides, +3.53 units, That is an ROI of around 12% based upon $100.00 unit plays.

Another metric I track daily is where the play line is in relation to the closing line at game time.  Our line that we wager has beat the closing line 18-8-2 with an avg difference of close to .04. The rate of beating the closing line is great. The .04 is fine, I like to see something closer to double that.

So, a solid start to these overnight sides.  The number of plays per day has been running from 0 to 3.

Baseball overnight sides is turning into one of the most profitable methods. In contrast to day of the game betting that has been break even at best over the years.

My view is when you find a method that works, stick to it and leave the under performing methods alone.

No in May totals kick in. Historically they have been solid. But they tend to have bigger swings than the overnight sides, and they are day of the game plays.

So we will have to wait and see how these come out this season.

As most of you know by now, all my plays and stock selections are free until the beginning of college football.

The reasons are that I am using a new database for MLB, and I will be fine tuning my Discord channels. I transferred everything over from slack. I will still post on both, but Discord keeps all prior posts for all to see from the beginning of when I started posting on Slack, years ago.

Finally, I am in the process of selling my house and buying another.

So, I have a lot on my plate, and I thought it best to convert everything to FREE this year until the first game of college football kicks off. Then it will be back to unusual

If you want an invitation to my discord channels , send me an email to rickj@rickjshandicappingpicks.com. I will send you an invite and also put you on the email list.

You will then get a chance to get a good look at what I have been doing successfully over the last 20+ years with RickJ’s Handicapping Picks.

I am always available for questions.

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

Discord:

RickJSports

RickJInvest

Slack:

Rickjsports

RickJInvest

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NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

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Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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