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4-1 in the Westgate NFL Supercontest and 2-0 for one unit plays in the NFL Sunday!!!

A busy day on Sunday with 4 plays, going 3-1.  I went 4-1 in the Westgate NFL Supercontest with Jacksonville my only loser. That puts me at 16-9 or 64% heading into week 7!

We had two 1 unit plays in the NFL and both won easily with Minn +3 and the Giants +11.5 both winning outright!

In the NHL we had a 1/2 unit play on Buffalo +142 which won 3-1.

MLB continues to be in a postseason slump for plays losing with the Cubs +142  1-4. That was a 1 unit play.

Today so far I have sent out no plays.

It’s always fun to handicap during the NFL season especially when having to pick 5 teams for the Westgate NFL Supercontest. It has always been the strongest sport for me to handicap. And I stay on top if it most likely more than any other sport. The NFL also lends itself to contrarian thinking more than any other sport.

The public’s footprints on the wagering are the easiest to see and rarely hidden.

Now at 64% in the Westgate NFL Supercontest, you would think I just might be in the top 10 or near at this point. Not a chance:)

With over 2,000 entrants I need to get up to around 67 % to make it even to cash in the top 50. To win, over 70%. A tough assignment to say the least but we will see when the smoke clears:)

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

Rickjshandicappingpicks.com

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RickJ’s Westgate NFL supercontest picks now posted along with the Westgate top 5 NFL picks

A tough day for us on Saturday going 0-4. 0-2 in MLB and 0-2 in College Football.

The only positive, if you want to call it that, is that they were all 1/2 unit plays.

But it was one of those days as I also put out 2 leans that both lost in college football!

So rather than dwelling on a bad day, let’s get on to the NFL.

I am sitting at 15-10 going into week 6 of the Westgate NFL Supercontest. 60% is not a bad spot to be but with 2000 entrants I need to get moving to have a shot at the top 10:)

First, you will need around 67% or even a bit higher. And to get the money I suspect over 62% by the final week.

First right now is at 80% and 10th is 76%!!!

My picks this week for the Westgate NFL Supercontest are(in the order I liked them at the time)

Minn +3

Giants +11.5

Chicago +6.5

Jacksonville -2.5

Chargers +3.5

I had a tough time on pick 5. It was between 3 games. New Orleans, Cleveland, and the Chargers.

I spent a lot of time mulling over which of the 3 to pick. I finally decided on Cleveland despite the public % was sitting at 42% at the time.

Then I got to the Westgate, went up to place my picks, and changed my mind at the last second picking the Chargers, At that time the line had not come out yet and I thought it would be closer to a pick game. I guessed wrong, but the line is now +3 in most spots so the pick is not that bad getting the hook.

The Westgate NFL Supercontest top 5 went back to form last week going 1-4 bring their record to 10-15, the exact opposite of mine:)

The top 5 in the Westgate NFL Supercontest picks are:

Pitt

GB

Det

Den

Rams

I am fading 3 of these top 5 picks. Just where I like it unless of course, I am fading them all:)

The bottom 5 this week is:

Tenn

Miami

Oakland

Carolina

Giants

I am on 1 of the bottom 5. I suspect Oakland is here because of the late line on the game. Many bettors like to see some kind of history of the line and movement before turning in their plays.

So far today I have sent out 2 plays in the NFL. A one unit play and a 1/2 unit play.

Let me also mention the NHL is in full swing now. Plays there start picking up toward the end of October. We have had a smattering of plays but for the most part, we should get daily plays in about a week or so.

And then the NBA is finally here beginning in a few days. Typically again it takes a week or so before plays pick up there. The NBA, however, is the least volume of plays of all the sports I handicap in direct contrast to College hoops that is the biggest volume and for the last several years the most profitable by far.

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

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Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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