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1:00 Update:

I have decided to move my political odds commentary to the sports betting forum. From time to time I will comment on the stock portion as to the significance of events and how they relate to the markets.

But as far as the odds I will post them here. I will post the current odds along with my estimation of what they should be.

Political odds:

Moore over Strange in Alabama special election:

7 to 3 in favor of Moore. I recommended Moore when he was a dog. The line is getting about where it should be. I would say it should be close to 4 to 1.

Party winning the White House in 2020:

5 to 4 in favor of the Democrats. My estimation is 2 to 1 in favor of the Republicans, maybe higher.

Flake 6 to 4 to win Arizona Primary. I think the odds should be close to 5 to 1 against. This is the best political wager I see so far on the board.

Ryan 7.5 to 1 to win the Wisc Primary.  My prediction is the odds should be no more than 3 to 1, perhaps a bit less.

Kasich to run in 2020 is even money. My prediction is 5 to 2 in favor of him running.

Control of the house after 2018 elections: Republicans 11 to 10. I think it should be around 3 to 1 in favor of the Republicans.

I will post odds as they come up that I feel have EV.

My estimations are not based upon any political beliefs I may have but only upon my observations of the political chaos that the U.S. is engulfed in at present.

If anyone has any questions send me an email. Always enjoy reading peoples thoughts on this interesting topic.

 

Saturday we had 4 plays and went 3-1.

Our 1 unit play lost with Detroit +126 0-3. All three of our overnights won with  Mets -109 8-1, Cinci +127 11-8 and Phil +119 12-9.

In addition, we had a lean for NFL preseason with Green Bay +3. They won the game outright by 7.

Today so far I have sent out 4 plays.

Not much to add this morning. Except College football starts next week. If you’re on the fence joining us for this football season, take a 3-day free trial and see how we deliver our plays.

Just follow @rick_sports. It is our private twitter feed. Then if you have any questions just send me an email.

Otherwise, you can sign up through the PayPal menu and pick the subscription option of your choice.

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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College football starts in 1 week! Care to join us for an exciting football season:)

On Friday we had 3 plays and went 0-3.

We had a 1 unit play on Oakland +183 1-3. We had 2 overnights with Yankees +124 losing 6-9 and Angels +127 losing 7-9.

Today so far I have sent out 3 plays.

It did not take long. I bragged about the lack of volatility and we have a 16 unit upswing and now almost a 10 unit downswing. This is more like what MLB is supposed to be like.

We still have about a month left so plenty of time to finish with a good season. We will see.

Football is almost here with college starting a week from now. Yes only 1 week away. Football will be like a vacation compared to the daily grind of MLB.

I even started jumping the gun and handicapping the football games over  1 week away:)

Back to baseball, let’s see if we can get another nice run to the upside to finish the season. Stranger things have happened!

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

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Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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SINCE 2007 1 UNIT PLAYS in the NFL are 103-65. 61.3% +31.5 Units ROI 18.75%!!!SUBSCRIBE HERE!!!