Westgate NHL Supercontest Picks and Seattle/Oakland NFL Roadmap are now posted!

For the college football weekend, we had 3 plays and went 1-2. 1-1 in College Football and 0-1 in MLB.
UL Monroe +6.5 was an easy winner as they won the game outright. S. Carolina +2.5 lost by 3.
We had a very good day in our bet or pass games. 3-0 on Bet or Pass totals and 4-1 for Bet or Pass Sides.
We had buffalo under 54, Rice Under 52 and Texas under 58.5 all easy winners.
For bet or pass sides we won with
Tulsa +9.5
Liberty +10.5
UL Monroe +6.5
BYU -10.5
We lost with Georgia Tech -2.
So 7-1 for Bet or Pass game this college football weekend!
In MLB we had Milwaukee which we lost as they blew a 3-0 lead heading into the 7th losing 4-3:(
As we head into week 6 in the Westgate NFL Supercontest I sit at 16-8-1 or 66%. That puts me just out of the top 100 spots in a field of almost 3,000.
This week was the toughest yet by far:( 3-2 would be a nice surprise:)
My Westgate picks this week are:
San Fran +9.5
Oakland +3
Arizona +10
Washington -1
Tampa Bay +3.5
The Westgate top 5 went 1-4 last week and is sitting at 11-14. This is one of the best starts for the top 5 I can remember being at 44%:)
This week the top 5 in the contest are:
New England
I am neither with the top 5 or fading any of the top 5. However, SF Arizona and Oakland are in the bottom 5 picked teams. I do not mind that at all:)
My free NFL Road Map for today is:
Seattle 61% -2.5-112 -3-101 -3-105 -3
Oakland 39%
Model edge: Strong Edge Oakland
Variable edge: No Edge
Pub % Edge: Slight Edge Oakland
The wildcard in this game is it is being played in London. This adds another dimension to the game having to take into consideration Jet Lag. Hard to quantify that one:)
But assuming it has the same effect on both teams Oakland gets the nod here. But not enough for it to be a play. Without variables, I do not wager on a game. In addition, public % is 39%. Just under the threshold, I use to infer any kind of edge.
For me, the game was a pass.
For subscribers, I send out a more detailed breakdown of every NFL and College football game played. Still, time to join us:)
New subscribers can join us risk-free. If within 14 days you do not wish to continue I will refund your monthly subscription.
If you wish to join us, go to the PayPal menu on the website and I will have you signed on within minutes.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
Skype: riccja

Weekend football Recap along with road-map for tonight’s NO-Wash NFL game posted

A good weekend for football.
2-1 for NCAA FB Plays and 1-0 for our NFL play yesterday.
Also in the Westgate NFL Supercontest, I went 4-1 bringing my record to 16-8-1 or 66.66%. Off to a good start heading into week 6.
Still, a long way to go:)
Tonight the game looks to me like a coin toss. Betting is balanced, no variables and an ever so slight bias for the models toward New Orleans. This game is a clear Pass. No clues at all.
Tonights Road Map in the NFL:
8-Oct Pinn Open Pinn Cur Cris Open Cris current Model Edge Variable Edge Public % Edge
8:15 PM
477 WAS-A Smith 52 51u-101 51 51u-105 47%
478 NO-D Brees -7+105 -6-104 -6.5 -6 No Edge + No Edge No Edge 53%

This is the kind of breakdown I give on every football game for the weekend along with comments.  It’s still not to late to join us, just head to the PayPal menu and subscribe. For new subscribers, if at any time within the first 14 days you wish to cancel I will give you a 100% refund.

Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
Skype: riccja

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I have been following you for years and been paying down my mortgage with your plays year after year. There is services out there that are 10x more expensive with nowhere near the data and thought that you put into your plays (not that I want you to raise your price!:)) and most of them are losing bettors (trust me I have been thru them all) I will say that this year too is the first year I have had a book quit me because I beat them so bad, not many services can say that.




Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays


121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI


48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI


8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!



33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI



Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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