0

NFL Season to date subscriber plays and contest picks, A 2022 Analysis and what to expect in 2023. All Posted

2022 Season
Plays
Wk 1      3-0
Wk 2      2-0
Wk 3      2-1
Wk 4      1-1-1
Wk 5      3-0
Wk 6      2-1
Wk 7      1-0
Wk 8       1-1
Wk 9       1-0
Wk 10    2-1
Wk 11    1-0
Wk 12    2-0
Wk 13   1-0
Wk 14    1-0
Wk 15    1-1
Wk 16    0-1

Combined Side Plays       24-7-1  77.41%

PIck 5 contest:

Wk 1       4-1
Wk 2       4-1
Wk 3       3-2
Wk 4       1-2-2
Wk 5       4-1
Wk 6       3-2
Wk 7       4-1
Wk 8       3-2
Wk 9       2-2-1
Wk 10     4-1
Wk 11     2-3
Wk  12     2-3
Wk 13      2-3
Wk 14     4-1
Wk 15      3-2
Wk 16      4-1

Combined Side Plays     49-28-3   63.63%

All spread picks contest:

Wk 1          10-6
Wk 2           10-6
Wk 3            8-8
Wk 4            6-10
Wk 5           10-6
Wk 6            8 -6
Wk 7           9-5
Wk 8           9-6
Wk 9            6-7
Wk 10         9-5
Wk 11         9-5
Wk 12         9-7
Wk 13         7-8
Wk 14        8-5
Wk 15       10-6
Wk 16       8-7

Combined  All spread picks 136-103   56.90%

Rolling along in the top 5 contest with a 4-1 week. Of course the one I lost was a play:(  

But 63.63% is a great number. 

Would I have gotten that number in the Westgate Contest?  No.  My ability to change my picks on Sunday morning is worth  about 3 to 5 wins I would not have had in the Westgate.  But I still might have  cashed this year.

The contest I am in has thousands of entrants. I sit at tied for 48th  with  two weeks left. They pay the top 10,  My score there is 50.5. 10th is 53, while 1st is 57. With  two weeks left I have a shot at the top 10 if I can keep up the 4-1 pace. In the All spread contest I sit all by myself in 4th place. at 136-103.  First is 141, Second 140 and 3rd 137.


There   are 127 entrants in this contest. Considering you pick every game against the spread 1st is  obtainable with a  solid run the last two weeks.

Now, These results are substantially better then the past years. 

I attribute that  to a change I have made in my handicapping methods on all sports.  My  models have become better then they have ever been by a long way.

In addition, I have added several more variables to my bag of tricks. They come into play quite often in the NFL.  Other sports not so much. Not only do these flag games to pick, but they also exclude games to stay away from. 

That is why     you are seeing so few picks in the other sports. 

But I assure you I am handicapping every game in every  sport, even the NHL.

There is not supposed to be a lot of picks.  But my purpose is at the end of the year to have a plus year. And each year I improve on the year before with my methods.

Since day 1 the NFL has always been the easiest for me to handicap. The volume is  crazy high, the public goes all in on these games, so no where is the public tracks more visible and reliable. 

When you go to the other sports, typically you do not have the volume to work with. Nor the high public interest.

But that does not mean you cannot find a way to profit.

For instance, next season, in MLB, we will stick to overnight sides.

The totals let us down this season , so I am going to take another look at them. But the overnight sides have been profitable since I introduced them.

With a little tweaking we  had a banner year last season producing something like +16.4 units. 

Not many  handicappers can do that in MLB. 

We found our niche:)

In college hoops I expect a winning year. Not many plays, but right now we are  + around  4.5 Units.  I will bring that up to date today

In the NBA  we are at 2-0        +2 Units. 

This reflects my  additional variables and models. A lot less plays

In the NHL we have not had a play yet.  Like baseball the day of the game plays tend to be break even at best. You have to get a jump on the money line with overnight plays in these money line games. I am working on that this season, 

I expect to roll that out soon. 

That is my breakdown as we approach year end. 

My goal for 2023 is to pick up 40+ units for the year.  Lets see how close I get:)

Wish you all a great New Year!

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

https://rickjshandicappingpicks.com

0

NFL PLAYS now 22-5-1 81.48% for the season! NFL Top 5 contest picks, Westgate top 5 and other season to date results now posted

We are having a spectacular season in the NFL. With plays sent to subscriber 22-5-1 or 81.48%.   

The Top 5 contest picks are now 38-24-3 or 61.29%

And the contest where I pick every game against the spread sits at 110/85 or 56.41 %

About as solid an NFL season as you will see.

My top 5 contest picks this week are:

Denver +9

Carolina +3.5

Jacksonville +3.5

Houston +17

Cleveland +5.5

In the Westgate contest their top 5 picks are sliding fast:) Going 2-3 last week that brings them to 36-28-1

The top 5 picks in the Westgate this week are:

Cle

Det

Balt

Minn

Seattle

I am with them on Cleve and fading their Seattle pick. Typically I like to be fading them.

 

NBA we finally found 2 plays and are now 2-0 in the NBA

In college hoops for Sides we are 1-2 winning with Alabama the other day as they won the game outright as a big dog

and for totals we sit at 5-0. So season to date 6-2 for college hoops.

We have a long way to go in college hoops, and of course the College football bowl games are here. Finally the rest of

the NFL season.

So it is not too late to join us. Just go to rickjshandicappingpicks.com   and sign up via the paypal menu. I will have you up

and running right away

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

 

Subscribe Via Paypal


Subscription Options
Includes Free Trial



Testimonials

RickJ's 1

NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

Categories

Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
0
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Sign up now for our  newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

NFL Subscriber Plays are 24-7-1  77.41% !!!  2 day Stock Put sales  are making new equity highs weekly!!!

RickJ's Handicapping Picks  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques Overnight Plays in MLB are sent out around 3 to 4 PM PST the day before Come join us for a fun and profitable Pro Sports season!!!  
Subcribe  now. 2023 is shaping up to be a banner year for us.
Close

Positive EV Handicapping


Do you know the important clues that help determine which side has +EV?
 
  • Learn about Reverse Line Moves and how they apply to each sport
  • Learn about being a contrarian and using public % numbers to get an edge
  • Learn about the seasons within a season that all sports have
  • Learn key numbers in all sports

Sign up to get updates that will help you with your sports handicapping!
 
SUBSCRIBE
close-link