Monday we had 2 plays and went 1-1.
In the NBA we won with Denver +12 132-110 and in College Hoops lost with Arkansas-Little Rock +12 55-71.
So our 7-0-2 streak ended:) Let’s see we can get another going.
Today so far I have sent out 3 plays.
I received some emails on my political wager I suggested had positive EV. Some were confused which side I thought had value.
First, the odds are:
Betting on Trump not completing his first term you get 6/4 odds. If you wish to wager on Trump completing his first term you lay 2/1.
My thought is the value is to lay the 2/1 that he will complete his first term. The odds to me are way out of skew based upon the incessant negative media 24/7. Now I am not saying this is a sure bet by a long shot. But I am saying I feel if you can make the bet it has substantial value.
The idea in making a wager like this is not to let your political leanings interfere with your good judgment. It’s like saying I am a big Yankee fan and never bet against the Yankees:)
We have a ranked team playing tonight at 4
Tennessee
#13 Kentucky
Betting is 52% on the home favorite with the line moving from -14 to -15-110. My models point to Tenn. Variables slightly to Tenn and public betting nothing there.
So not enough for me to consider Tenn despite models and variable slightly agree. I am passing
Good Luck Tonight
RickJ
Rick’Js Handicapping Picks
