18-10-2 heading into week 7 of the Westgate NFL Super-contest! My picks this week and the Westgate top 5 now up.
On Saturday we had 5 plays going 3-2 for +1.34 Units.
In College football, we went 2-2 winning with Old Dominion +4 and Clemson -17.5. We lost with Miss St +5.5 and Minn +5
In the NHL we won with St Louis +144.
We also had 3 Bet or Pass games in college football and lost all 3:(
Now onto the NFL!
I sit at 18-10-2 heading into week 7 or around 64%. That is a good spot to be in.
I just missed a 3-1-1 week last week instead of 2-2-1. Tampa had the 3 covered with only 2 min to go. It was 3 and 2 on Tampa’s 38 yrd line. A first down and I get a run the clock out situation. A miss and it goes down to a 58 yrd field goal.
Not a bad spot to be in heading into the end game. However, the 58-yard field goal was made and it was 2-2-1:)
Today my Westgate NFL Super Contest picks are :
Except 1 or 2 games, they all looked much better when I put the picks in.
The Westgate top 5 last week went 1-4 bring their record to 12-18-0 or 40%. That is more in line with what they have done historically the first half of the season.
The Westgate Top 5 this week are :
I am fading the top 2 picks in the contest and am with the 4th pick.
Not a bad spot to be, but I like to be on none of the top 5 picks.
My free NFL Road Map for today is:
Rams 66% -11+101 -8.5 -10 -9.5-101
Model Edge: Slight Edge Rams
Variable Edge: No Edge
Public % Edge Avg Edge San Fran
This is an interesting game more from the standpoint I passed on the game both as to a play and also in the Westgate Contest. Usually big home dogs have very good chances at having a positive EV. But here not only do the models lean toward the Rams but there are intangibles that point to the rams also. The problem with taking the Rams here is that you will be with 61% of the public. If there is one rule that will increase your handicapping results it is to use the public % numbers as a filter.
So if you handicap a game. Take a look at where the public is on the game. If it is over 50% thrown the game out. You will be amazed at how much better you will start doing.
Of course its a bit more complicated than that, but as a simple filter, there is few that are better.
A few things to note. We are off to a 4-0 start in the NBA. Also in the NHL, we are off about 1 UNIT. We are having a very good season in football this year also.
I have also started sending out the trades I make during the trading day via VIBER. So far it is working well. This is only available to subscribers of the handicapping site.
As long as this does not become too time consuming for me I will continue to do it. So far, I have had no problems getting the trades out shortly after I make them.
Note, these are not recommendations to make a trade. But merely to show what I am trading.
If you are a subscriber and have an interest in receiving these send me an email to [email protected]
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks