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MLB April Season to date results is in! Come join is for the rest of the season……It is FREE to join!!!

April is now behind us so its time to see how my new database is working out in MLB.

April numbers are:

MLB 2022
Overnights
Sides: 28-22 +9.02 (Top to bottom swing has been -4.5 to +9.02)
Totals 1-5 -4.40        (Top to bottom swing ….not enough games)
MLB Regular Plays started 4/29
Sides : 0-2   -2.00
Season to date combined: +2.62
Sides line bet to closing line : 31-17    241 +5.02  better than closing line per game
Totals line bet to closing line: 4-0-2

A lot to digest here but lets go through this and see what we can figure out:)

First after the smoke cleared we were +2.62 units for the month of April.

That included:  Overnight Sides 28-22   +9.02 Units

Overnight Totals  1-5   -4.40 Units

Regular plays( Plays made during the day of the game) 0-2   -2.0 Units

 

Some things to note of significance:

  1. Top to bottom swings on the overnight sides was -4.5 to +9.02 Units. We finished on the high side of this range.
  2. While overnight totals were 1-5 the number beat the closing number  4-0-2  
  3. Overnight Sides beat the closing number 31-17 or 64.5%. As long as we keep this up I suspect these overnight sides will be 

profitable for the season.

 

I received some emails regarding the lack of NBA plays. There has not been anything I could see worth betting on. As you know I need three things to line up to consider a game a play. 1. Model Edge   2. Variable Edge 3. Public % Edge

The new MLB models are looking fine. There is reason to be optimistic this season as you never know when you switch up things with entirely new models.

But so far with these hitting almost 65% beating the closing line, and a nice 9 unit gain on overnight sides, it appears we are on the right track

But it is only the end of April. MLB is a grueling season.  Top to bottom swings can be 30 or 40 units in a typical season. So we will see:)

That is why I have made MLB free for everyone this season.   

Sign up by sending me an email to [email protected] I will add you to the email list, and also add you to my two 

slack channels.

The first Channel is     Rickjsports and the second channel is RickJInvest

The invest channel gives you access to my daily pre market comments, along with my intra day comments. In addition, I post many of my trades as I make them. The most popular is the two day short put sales. I make these on Thursday morning for friday expiration. These have been as solid a method as I have run into.

It is something I developed in all sports was halted during the pandemic. I worked on this for months, and then came up with something I felt was a viable short term method of picking up  income. I trade every one of these myself.

Typically I trade in 10 or 20 lots. But depending on your bankroll size you can adjust up or down.

Over the last 20+ years I have been constantly improving this site and my service. For 49.00 a month the value is the best out there. But now, its free:) Until College football starts. Then all the subscriptions I have placed on pause will be reactivated, and those that want to join are free to subscribe if they with to continue.

It is all monthly so you are no locked in to a large one season fee per sport like many services.

Again, just send me an email to [email protected] and I will have you signed up right away.

Come join us for a fun and FREE MLB season.

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

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17 Sides and 3 totals to date with new database in MLB- Season date 2022

MLB has started the the response to my free service for MLB has been overwhelming. I am glad so many are taking advantage of it to see all the work and effort I put in every day to not only educate my subscribers, but also bring them the very best in handicapping.

 

We have had 17 Sides to date in MLB:

 

They have all been overnight plays. Our record on the first 17 is 8-9 for +.07 units

 

We have beat the closing line 12-5 with an average gain over the closing line of 9.294

 

There have only been 3 total plays so far. we went 1-2 for -1.25 units

But we beat the closing line 2-0-1. 

 

So as long as we continue to beat the closing line on these overnights the profits should take care of themselves.

 

As I explained to my subscribers, the top to bottom swing will be 30 to 40 units over a course of a season. Expect it. So you bet sizing should take the volatility into consideration. There is no way to avoid variance, so accept it and consider it when you try to determine how much to wager on a game!

 

I welcome you to come join us for the season. The Slack channels are quite active, and if you are a trader, its a bonus to you as I give morning premarket comments along with most of the trades I make  for my own personal brokerage account.

 

 

Starting April 1st, RickJ’s Handicapping Picks is a free service. This will last until the 1st NCAA FB Game

 

All you need to do is send me an email requesting that I add you to the service. I will then add you to my email list where I send out my roadmaps and plays. And also add you to my Slack channels where I post my plays, investment trades and also discussions regarding a variety of subjects.

 

I am doing this as I am using an entire different Database for MLB. It backtests well, but until we get a season of Real Time results behind it I will not charge for MLB.

 

To join us just send me an email to [email protected] I will add you when I get your email.

 

MLB will go the usual way as it has in the past. Overnights sent out the day before and also regular plays sent out the day of the game. You will also get all plays on other sports I handicap during this time period.

 

This is the first time I have done this since starting my service some 20+ years ago.

 

Remember, all you need do is send me an email to [email protected] to become a subscriber. IT IS FREE!!!

 

If anyone has any questions feel free to ask.

 

RickJ

 

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

 

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

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Testimonials

RickJ's 1

NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

Categories

Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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