Rickjs Handicapping Picks - Sports Betting at its finest
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A 2-0 day in college hoops Wednesday, free week free access to my slack trading account, Short put option sale. My thoughts for a Thursday morning

On Wedn we had two Ncaa BB plays and both were easy winners.

VMI +6 only lost by 2 and Mass +3 won the game outright.

Today I have a full slate of NCAA BB, NHL and NBA games to handicap along with the upcoming NFL games this weekend.

On the trading side of things, we put on 3 short put sales this morning that will expire at the close tomorrow. These are income trades with a very high margin of safety and a high annual rate of return.

Since posting these 2-day short put trades I have had 246 trades. 229 winners and 17 losers with a win rate of 93.09%. The profit factor is 4.27. That is a solid performance so far out of a method I came up with while sports was offline.

I put all my trades out on slack along with my sports picks.

If you have an interest in the trading side of things feel free to email me and I will sign you up for a 1 week free trial to the trading side of slack.

Subscribers for only $49.00 a month get access to both sides, trading and sports picks.

To give you  an idea of my morning message to subscribers, here is the one I sent out this morning:

If you wish to join us for the next 30 days I have made it easy for you:

https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/Rickjsports/49

Sign up now and I will have you signed on within minutes.

 

RickJ

https://www.rickjshandicappingpicks.com

https://www.rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing

Slack: Rickjinvest

Twitter: rickjsportplays

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Sports handicapping Season to date records, a unique opportunity selling put options, a review of some of my trading techniques. My thoughts for a Tuesday morning

College football is over this season with a high scoring championship game Alabama 52 Ohio State 24.

I put the game out at a pass at -9 as I could see no edge on the game. A lot of people loved Alabama here, even my great contrarian indicators were right on this one:)

Our Record in NCAA FB this season was:

Season to Date Sides: 21-24

Season to Date Totals: 9-4

Combined Season to date: 30-28

We started out strong in college football, withered in midseason, and picked up a few units toward the end with a 3 or 4 game win streak. Overall an uneventful college football season.

We are also winding down in NFL Football.

We had one play last weekend on Washington +8 and it was a push. So far I have not sent out any plays to Subscribers for the upcoming games.

The NFL this season has been solid. 

Season to Date Sides: 17-7-2 or 70.1%

Season to Date Totals: 7-7

Combined Season to date: 24-14-2 or 63.15%

I will take that every year:)

We are in the heart of college hoops right now and we have been hovering around the even mark so far this season. No swings either way.

Season to Date Sides: 11-14

Season to Date Totals: 5-5

Combined Season to Date: 16-19

Still, a lot more college hoops left, including March Madness.

For subscribers, I break down every college game that includes a top 25 team. This is a road map using some of the

various things I look at when handicapping games. Some of the things I include are model projections, Variables, and public %

numbers. In addition on some games, I give comments on anything I see that I think is interesting on the game.

Also as a subscriber, you are free to ask me about any game, as I handicap them all. Most of the communications are now on my slack channels.

If you wish to join us for the next 30 days I have made it easy for you:

https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/Rickjsports/49

Sign up now and I will have you signed on within minutes.

A new feature of my handicapping service is I post my stock and option trades to subscribers. This is what I trade during the day. I put it out there to give subscribers ideas as opposed to suggesting they take these trades. Everyone has to invest how they see fit based upon their analysis. But hopefully, you get to take some ideas away and learn some investing techniques.

My trades are broken down into 1. Income trades that typically are closed-end fund trades trading at a substantial discount to NAV and also have an annual income of between 5 and 10 percent a year. These tend to be longer-term trades as I am trading for income as a primary goal, and capital appreciation secondary.

2. #Meanreversion: These consist of buying in an oversold market under very strict parameters. Some of the features of these trades are they have no stop and tend to have rather large swings. But overall they tend to have a positive EV. Enough to put them in my investment routine. I have been trading these for years.

3. Short term swing trades: These are typically 3 or 4-day trades where I feel the stock is ripe for a bounce. The stock does not have to be oversold for me to make this trade, as in mean reversion.

4. #Shortput and #coveredcall: These are techniques I researched when sports betting was down completely. The covered calls tend to be used primarily to manage short put stocks where I have taken delivery of the stock. The short puts on the other hand consist of two types of trades:

A. for income, made on Thursday and expire at the close the next day. They usually have the following characteristics. A High annual rate of return, at least 20% from the strike price, no earnings announcements coming up for the two days of the trade.  I have a screen I use for these and it is very strict in how I come up with my basket to trade on Thursday morning. Here is a chart of my trades since I started posting the short put sales:

As you can see these have been solid trades. 246 trades to date with 229 winners and 17 losers with a win rate of 93.09% and a profit factor of 4.27.

One thing to note is the drawdowns. We had one drawdown around trade 136 but quickly recovered. That is the mark of a good trading methodology.

All my subscribers can get access to these trades as part of the handicapping service.

If you wish to join us for the next 30 days I have made it easy for you:

https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/Rickjsports/49

Sign up now and I will have you signed on within minutes.

In addition each morning on slack I give a premarket rundown on what I expect in the trading for the day, along with a review of the trades we have outstanding.

I have come a long way from 15 years ago when I started this site:) I have many subscribers that have been with me from the start.  I still have ideas for improving the site and slack has helped a lot allowing interaction between subscribers during the ball games.

My goal is not only to produce positive EV plays but to keep subscribers out of trouble. I have been doing this online for over 20 years now!!!

As you know gamblers have a propensity to get in trouble, I was once one of them:)  That is why I try to educate as much as I try to produce winning plays.

Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com
rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing
Slack: Rickjsports

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Testimonials

RickJ's 1

NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Over an 8 year period:

1 unit plays

Sides

121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI

Totals:

48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI

NFL

8 years beginning 2007

103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI

#4 OVERALL for 2016!!!

See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!

THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS

NFL

33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI

http://www.thesportsmonitor.com/15nfl.html

Categories

Letter From a Long Time Follower

“Rick,I am still amazed how you do it. I have followed you almost from the beginning not only from your posting on your website but also you time at 2+2 forums.

I have noticed a continuous improvement year to year in your methods. But the more remarkable thing to me is your persistence in educating and putting out your picks. Almost every site I am familiar with has gone by the wayside. Yet yours keeps getting stronger and stronger.

I have to ask “Where do you get your focus and energy” to keep this up?

You have taught me a lot over the years and I have gone from a “punter” to a reasonable handicapper. Whereas before I was a typical undisciplined sports bettor I am now very aware of the necessity of a disciplined approach. It has done wonders.

In addition, you’re going from a free site to a subscription based site was long overdue. I appreciate your keeping the membership fee low and not trying to “milk” money out of the sports bettors. I know there are many that would pay substantially more to follow your site.

But that goes hand in hand with your persona that you have established in the sports betting world. You most likely do not know it but your name “RickJ” is very well-respected as one of the leading handicappers in sports betting. In addition, your reputation for integrity is as high.

There are very few real things out there but you are definitely the real thing.

Again thank you for all you have done over the years.”

My Response:

It’s hard for me to respond to that as humble a person as I am:) But it’s emails like this that I get from time to time that help keep me motivated.

I have always said in the past that I approach sports handicapping the way crossword puzzle addicts approach their morning routine. I can not think of anything more challenging than trying to figure out EV on sports games.

As far as the subscription cost I have mentioned before my goal was to defer my expenses that keep rising every year as I get more advanced in my techniques. I look at subscribers as partners in this handicapping endeavor rather than customers. Subscribers help me defer my costs and allow me to justify keeping my expensive hobby going.

Thanks for the mail. It’s nice to know I am appreciated!

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