My westgate 5 NFL picks, Westgate 5 top contest picks. Season to date in all sports, comments on political odds My thoughts for a Sunday morning.
In College Football on Sat we went 2-1 on Sides and 0-1 on totals for a 2-2 day. That brings my record in College football season to date at
Combined: 25-21 54.34%
In The NFL Season to date:
Combined 10-7 58.8%
I have sent out 1 play to subscribers for this weekend so far in the NFL
In the All spread contest where I pick every game against the spread I sit at 87-76 Season to date or 53.37%. I have been slipping in this contest:) Last season I was over 55%.
I send all my all spread contest picks to subscribers the day of the game along with my analysis of each game.
College Hoops has started and we are off to a reasonable start after just a few days of games:
Season to date we are 4-2 on Totals in College Hoops.
In The Westgate NFL Contest Picks, My 5 picks based upon their lines this week are:
Detroit +3 (L)
NO -6 ( in the westgate they put the lines out early)
Last week The Top 5 contest picks went 0-5 bringing their record to 25-20-1
The Westgate Top 5 contest picks this week are:
I am with NO and fading LV.
The bottom 5 picks this week are:
I am on one of the bottom 5 this week and it has already lost.
All of my election bets have settled and fading the House races where Trump won in 2016 turned out to be very profitable. Unfortunately, I could only find lines on about 16 out of 30. I will post the results of these soon in the political odds section
My three biggest wagers this election were: 1. Florida to Trump 2. the 30 House races and 3. Trump’s final result vs the poll predictions.
I had also wagered on Trump to win at 45/55 and on election night laid it off at 80/20 for a nice profit. I bet on Florida twice. I laid off the first wager for a profit, then bet it again when it became clear to me Florida was a cinch for Trump. It was never in doubt. On the wager regarding the final result vs the polls I had wagered 850 to win 8500. I laid that wager off for an 850.00 profit.
The advantage of wagering with predictit is you can lay wagers off easily. The disadvantage is you pay a % of your win and then when you cash out they take an additional 5%. It’s a steep price, but considering the spread is often close you are not giving up the automatic 5% you give up in sports betting. In addition, the markets are usually influenced by the polls and the public even more than in sports betting. There are not as many sharp bettors as there now seems to be in the sports betting markets.
That does not mean political betting is over. There are some interesting lines coming out now and I will talk about these soon.
As many of you know I have added slack to my method of sending out plays. There are two parts to my slack account. One for my investment side where I share all my stock and option trades. The other is the sports side where you get my plays, analysis, and have the ability to chat with me in real-time during the day.
I have sub-boards where subscribers can interact with each other also on a variety of topics.
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My goal is not only to produce positive EV plays but to keep subscribers out of trouble. I have been doing this online for over 20 years now!!!
As you know gamblers have a propensity to get in trouble, I was once one of them:) That is why I try to educate as much as I try to produce winning plays.
I had an excellent Political Betting election season this year. I had mentioned that I laid off my Trump to win wager and received a rather rude email essentially accusing me of not telling the truth:)
I proceeded to send the person my tickets from Predict it along with the dates and times of the wagers. Essentially I got 45/55 on Trump when I made the wager and then the evening of Nov 3rd laid it off at a tad over 80/20.
Now unless you were wagering on Predictit you would not have had that opportunity. Which despite the high cost of wagering there, the flexibility makes up for it, rather than going through traditional books.
I have been handicapping online for over 20 years now successfully, and I challenge anyone to point out where I have been anything but transparent:) I can say over the 20 years I have not misrepresented anything on my wagers.