We now have several months of sports betting behind us in MLB, so at this point lets go through how our first few months of handicapping MLB for 2018 went.
March: +1.34 UNITS
April: +12.85 UNITS
May: +10.36 UNITS
So through the end of May, we were +24 Units.
On Average, we are having anywhere from 2 to 6 plays a day. With that type of action, it’s reasonable to expect some kind of drawdown.
During the above period, we had several 5.5 Unit drawdowns. And as I write this, including the first day of June are in a drawdown of around 10 Units.
The overnights have been the solid performer of the Plays, with Regular totals right behind it.
We have had 137 overnight plays going 72-65 for +23.74 Units. The overnights have been predictive of the line moves 68.89% of the time with the avg move off the opener at 4.5.
The % number of the overnights is in line with last season. The move off the opener is a bit lower then what we saw last season.
But the fact remains that these overnights have become the strongest in my handicapping arsenal.
They are producing a high number of plays with consistent gains.
Last season they remained very strong until the end of August. So let’s see if they will continue.
I sent out some comments with my MLB breakdown this morning about betting teams when it seems like you always lose on a particular team.
This is a very common phenomenon with sports bettors. How often have you heard a sports bettor say I can never win with this team so I do not bet them?
The only approach to this is to forget the names of the teams. Treat each team as a blank name. You will have to do this mentally as you will need the name of the team to make the wager.
But this mental approach will lessen the bias you have. These bias’ do nothing but cost you money in the long run. Even if you have lost 10 straight on a particular team it makes no difference. If it qualifies as a wager you take it.
Let me also point out that in MLB by now most of the bettors have given up the ship. They quit and wait for the NFL in September.
MLB is a tough grind. Lots of plays, small edges and high variance. Few sports bettors have the mental psyche to deal with this every day.
But if you follow my betting techniques and have followed my plays you will be on the plus side almost 20 units right now!
And you will not be worrying about everything as your bet sizing will adjust as your bankroll adjusts.
It’s not as stimulating as having your entire bankroll on the line in a “must win” game. But that type of betting is for the losers. Not for serious sports bettors that want to stay in the game.
It’s not too late to join us for the rest of the season. The cost is only 49.00$ a month. And for 1st time members, if you’re not satisfied at the end of 14 days you can ask for a refund, no questions asked.
I am that confident of the value in what I give to subscribers every day.
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Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks