Another Comment

“So on your MLB plays obviously you are only considering home dogs (usually facing a good pitcher on the road). On your daily updates you’ll usually indicate that the other home dogs don’t meet your criteria and therefore you are passing.

I was wondering in these games which you don’t see the home dog as a good enough play, does that mean that the road favorite is then an option? I wonder what the winning % is on road favorite games where you didn’t bet the home dog?

My thinking was that if there were enough variables on a game to steer you away from one side, is that enough to steer you towards the other.”

I doubt that idea would work out. What I do in handicapping a sport is attempt to find a subset or subsets of the games that are historically profitable. Once I identify that subset I then handicap that subset. So in Baseball the subset is home dogs where the public is less then a certain percent on the home dog.

As you can see even with this method its no cakewalk. Trying to beat the books is a very tough process. Nothing easy about it. Now if you wanted to track something it would be the subset that I handicap. In other words how does the subset do overall compared to my methods. If I were doing this full time I would track this. But since this is primarily a hobby I don’t expend the time.

RickJ

Leave a Comment

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!
Sign up now for our daily newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

We are now +26.77 Units in MLB!!!

RickJ's Handicapping PicksĀ  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques
Sign up now for our daily newsletter with handicapping tipsĀ 
Close
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Assign a menu in the Left Menu options.
Assign a menu in the Right Menu options.