Sunday we had no plays and had 5 Big Move Games.
The big move games were 4-0-1 in predicting the line moves. In addition, if you would have wagered on each of the games you would have gone 4-1.
I bring this up as “Big Line Move” games for the month of April were 58-49 for +6.87 units. That is an ROI of 6.42%.
The plays, on the other hand, were -1.96 units for April on 15 one unit, 14 1/2 unit and 4 1/2 unit totals.
So at least for April not only were the Big Move Games successful in predicting the line move 70.09% of the time but also profitable if you wagered on every game without regard for anything else.
It should be very interesting to see how the war between plays and Big Move Games plays out for the entire season.
Perhaps a strategy might be that is viable is wagering 1/2 units on big move games while adding the other 1/2 unit if they become a play. Just thinking out loud:)
These big move games are sent out the night before. So if you have access to early lines you can take advantage of these. And again if you have a matchbook account middles are a definite consideration.
Today so far I have sent out no plays and 6 big move games.
I will also say that every subscriber should be asking me to add their email address to the group that I send out my breakdown on every game. There are no leans anymore but it will give you where each game stands as to my models, variables and public %.
I plan on doing this for every sport except college Hoops.
Every day I think about what value to add to this site for subscribers. If anyone has any suggestions please send me an email and I will consider it.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
