College Football starts in only 2 days!!! Time to join us!!!

Finally, we have college football starting. It’s been a long wait but we will be starting the fun time of the year with both college and pro football.

In addition, I will be in the Hilton NFL contest again this season. I am looking forward to hopefully putting on a strong performance this year. It’s always interesting to see the ups and downs of the NFL season.

On Monday we finally cooled off going 0-3 all on 1/2 unit plays. Baltimore +123 lost 1-5, Milwaukee +128 lost 5-6 and Colorado O10 -119 lost 8-1.

We also had 6 big move games:

Mets +153(middle)

Phil +190

Tampa +182

Balt +114

Yankees -111

Pit +228

The closing lines:

Mets +146(middle)

Phil +174

Tampa +160

Balt +133

Yankees -127

Pit +216

5 our of 6 went our way!

I received an email regard Big move games that should be instructive:

“Hi Rick,

Could you quickly explain to me what “big move” games are, and how they differ from plays? How would I bet on them?

Thank you,”

My Response:

“These are games I feel have the potential to move substantially. I do not bet these but are for people who handicap on their own a bit.

The best way to use these in handicapping would be as a filter. As an example, the first big move game is the Mets +153.
Let’s say your handicapping takes you to the Mets. Then you would want to bet them right away as what I look at tells me the line move likely will get lower on the game. However, if you’re handicapping leads you to the other side of the game you could wait as you most likely will get a better price later on the favorite.
I do not bet these as a stand alone as I consider much more than predictive moves in deciding whether to make a play.
Hope that explains it. If not just ask whatever questions you have.”
Response 2:
“One more thing…when I put middle opposite the number like in the Mets game I think the chances are very high that you could take +153 and at some time later be able to middle the game. I rarely put that designation out. Already on the game its down to +143.

Also, you need to member that we are only talking about probability and not certainty:)”
Back to the markets for me as another 45 min left.
I have sent out a 1/2 unit play so far this morning and 5 big move games.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks


Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Sign up now for our  newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

MLB Is free for the 2024 Season
See details on

RickJ's Handicapping Picks  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques Overnight Plays in MLB are sent out around 3 to 4 PM PST the day before Come join us for a fun and profitable Pro Sports season!!!  
Sign up now  for a fun and exciting football season

Positive EV Handicapping

Do you know the important clues that help determine which side has +EV?
  • Learn about Reverse Line Moves and how they apply to each sport
  • Learn about being a contrarian and using public % numbers to get an edge
  • Learn about the seasons within a season that all sports have
  • Learn key numbers in all sports

Sign up to get updates that will help you with your sports handicapping!