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I received an email that I would like to share with everyone that might give some answers to some of questions you might have.


My name is xxxx and I am student of xxxx xxxx. I found your blog and this looks very interesting to me.

Would you be so kind to say something more about this: /My methods are the use of 2 neural net models along with a set of screens to find Value in the betting lines. /? I have to admit I dont understand this bit.

Also is it exactly the same method you use from October 2006 till now? No changes at all?

As I said it is very interesting and I will have a closer look at it. Congratulations for what you already achieved!

Thanks in advance for your reply

Best regards

My Response:

Thanks for the email.

A little more about my methods. I use two neural net models to provide some sort of baseline to work with in evaluating betting lines for value. That alone will not produce positive results. Sports betting is so situational that there are other variables that have to be taken into consideration that cannot be introduced into the neural net models.

I use about 6 other variable that I introduce manually into my analysis. For most sports I can do this the night before the game with the exception of 1 or 2 variables. These last two depend on betting volume and in the instance of ncaa baskets often decisions are not made until 20 min before the game.

The neural models have not changed at all since I started. They are very solid in providing a baseline for me to begin. My screens have changed and still change. As you can see from the number of plays the 2nd year compared to the first. Also my change has produced both early and late plays something I didnt do when I first started.

Hope this clarifies it a bit.


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