There are no guarantees or representations of success. You will find no locks or 99% plays here.
Handicapping is a tough grind with small edges.
The best way to determine what to expect is to read the "Must Read" page of this site and review the prior years' results.
Again, if your looking for easy money this is not the place to look. However, if your looking for most likely the best value in a handicapping service anywhere this is the place to look.
The cost of the service is:
Yearly 499 a year
Monthly 49.00 a month
Weekly 24.00 a week
Payments are taken via PayPal on the front page of the website
There are many pieces of information you get as a Subscriber:
- Plays on all active sports covered by RickJ. (NFL, NBA, NHL, WNBA,CFB, MLB, CBB)
- A breakdown of every game on the schedule by Model, Variable, %public
- Overnight plays
- Access to RickJ via email for any questions regarding anything related to handicapping
- Overnight plays also predict the direction of the movement of the line which has been over 70% accurate in their prediction
Overnight plays are sent out the day before the game between 2 and 3 pm PST.
Regular plays both 1 unit and 1/2 unit are sent out from early morning up until game time during the day of the game
Breakdown of the games is sent out 30 to 60 min before game time
Questions are answered usually within minutes of when they are sent. On occasion within 24 hours.
RickJ's Handicapping Picks has been around for over 10 years in Las Vegas, Nv. He has been publishing his plays as a winning handicapper daily on this site. Records are kept going back from the beginning and broken down by year and sport.
There are two things you must decide.
First is the amount of your betting bankroll. What I recommend is to set aside an amount for wagering that if you lose it all it will not be a concern for you.
Secondly, you then need to decide whether you wish to take a conservative approach or a more aggressive one. The range of amounts to wager should be from 2% to 3% of your wagering bankroll.
From experience, I can tell you 3% produces some wild swings that unless your experienced might cause you concern. In addition, the higher the % the greater the risk of ruin.
2%, on the other hand, is a good number to use. Your swings will be much tamer and your exposure to negative variance will be a lot less.
Your bet size will rise and fall depending on the amount that is in your wagering bankroll. I adjust my bet size daily.
These are the 3 things I look at primarily in handicapping sports.
Models are my own generated ratings for all sports. These you will find will be the sharpest in the business.
Variables are my basket of situations that historically have produced positive EV when they occur. Variables are a handicapper's most guarded possession!!!
Public % is a cornerstone of handicapping sports. It provides a basic structure to begin determining value. It is the rock of handicapping sports.
These are sent out daily on all games played for the day except for college hoops. College hoops will be ranked team matchups only.
Most of my followers do some handicapping on their own. Many are very proficient at this as I know many personally.
The most common use of the big three is as filters. Myself I need all 3 to align before I even begin to think about playing a game. But, I am very conservative in my approach as I am very versed in both the positive and negative effects of variance in gambling.
So, if you yourself are interested in a particular game, you can look at my breakdown. If any of the big 3 is on the other side of the game, filter it out. If none are present on either side, then it depends on your handicapping. But the best is when they coincide with your picks.
The "Big Three" is something I have developed extensively over the years. This information while appearing simple in appearance has years of development behind it.
All three have passed extensive backtesting and real-time testing. I will wager to say you will not find a betting informational breakdown of the games to give you an excellent head start to find value or in many instances save you lost value!!!
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Thanks Rick! Just want to also say that I really enjoy following along with your plays and swing trades. Also really enjoy the blog, I read it every day.
I have been following you for years and been paying down my mortgage with your plays year after year. There is services out there that are 10x more expensive with nowhere near the data and thought that you put into your plays (not that I want you to raise your price!:)) and most of them are losing bettors (trust me I have been thru them all) I will say that this year too is the first year I have had a book quit me because I beat them so bad, not many services can say that.
NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD
Over an 8 year period:
1 unit plays
121-95 56.02% with a 7.64% ROI
48-28 63.15% 22.63 ROI
8 years beginning 2007
103-65 61.3% 18.75%ROI
See sportswatchmonitor.com for documented 2016 in all sports.
#4 of all handicappers for all results for 2016!!!
THE SPORTS MONITOR LAST SEASON DOCUMENTED RESULTS
33-21 61.11% 18.33% ROI