One more game today involving matchups of top 25 teams:
#23 Florida State
#10 Miami Fl
Betting is 53% on the home Fav with the line moving from -2-106 to -1.5-106. Models favor Miami slightly, Variables favor Miami and public betting is neutral. If the public betting was heavy on Florida St I would most like bet Miami. Without that, however, I have no interest in the game. So for me a pass.
Number 1 team in the country plays at 4:
Betting is 57% on the Home Dob with the line moving from -13.5-106 to -14.5-108. Models slightly favor Alabama. Variables slightly favor Alabama and public betting slightly favors Alabama. So what does 3 slightly favors mean as to whether its a play or not? It means slightly!!! I need at least 1 of the many things I look at point strongly to a team. Here you do not have that. So for me its a Pass. But remember whenever the public is on the dog its time to take a 2nd look at the favorite.
Finally, have some time to post as its been a hectic morning along with keeping up on the football line changes.
Friday we had a 1 unit play on San Fran +163 in MLB and it lost 0-1. Cueto did his job with a complete game 3 hitter. But that was not enough:(
So far for this weekend I have sent out 3 one unit plays along with a suggested play for tomorrow if the line was available.
I’ve been handicapping almost non-stop this morning and not much is showing up for college football. But the lines keep changing and that is a good thing. So a few plays might develop before long.
With our San Fran loss yesterday for the playoff in MLB we are now 2-1 for +1.53 Units.
I’ve been getting some emails regarding my NFL contest picks. I usually post these on Sunday morning with all of the rest of the NFL information for the day. Subscribers get the picks around noon. Which is right now? So I will be sending out my contest picks shortly.
Also for those of you that are into excitement the presidential debate, Sunday night has the potential to get completely out of control. I cannot recall a presidential election like the one we are having this year. So it should make for interesting viewing tomorrow night no matter which side of the isle your on.
We have a top 10 match up starting in about 30 min:
Betting is 56% on the home favorite with the line moving from -5 to -7.5-106. Models slightly favor Tenn. Variables are neutral. Public betting no edge I can see. For a game with only 56% of the betting on them the line has moved quite a bit. How significant that is I am not sure. But if you still are thinking about betting Texas A&M your a little late to the party. So you might want to look it over a 2nd time:) I am passing on the game.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks