Saturday was a busy day for me despite not many plays. A full slate of college football is a time-consuming process, especially as many of the things I look at when I handicap a game move around until game time.
We had 3 plays on Sunday.
Our first 1 unit college football play was an easy winning with W. Michigan +28 31-49. The game was much closer then the score as W. Michigan had the lead mid way through the 3rd quarter!
We also had a 1/2 unit play with Bowling Green +17 losing 10-35.
We had an overnight play in MLB winning with San Diego +138 winning 6-5.
Today so far I have sent out 3 plays.
The NFL begins for real this weekend. I have entered the Westgate(Hilton) NFL super contest and have already started handicapping for this weekend.
Now, let me give everyone this caveat in the NFL. This is a RickJ given, so take heed.
Every season bettors begin the NFL season wagering far more than they should be wagering.
Humans are a strange species. They have a very short memory. Each year bettors go dusted after the first 3 weeks of the NFL and give it up. Not because they have a bad methodology(many do, however) but because they start pounding away at the books betting more than they typically wager.
It’s very similar to the world series of poker 6 weeks when the cash games are great in Vegas. Every year you see local Omaha 8 or better plays who you could not convince to jump from 8 -16 to 20-40 sit down at the 75-150 game.
It’s a very strange phenomenon. Then after the 6 weeks is over they are back playing 8-16 for the rest of the year. Never considering moving up a level.
Now back to the NFL.
Every wager should be considered the same regardless of the where in the season you are and also even if its the Superbowl. In most instances, there is no EV betting on the Superbowl. Yet bettors feel that it is imperative they have a wager down.
The lesson in all of this is stick to your bankroll management along with a solid methodology for bet sizing and stick with it. If you do that you will be surprised how your results improve.
Now you may miss the thrill or as Axel Freed says “juice” but successful handicappers have gotten rid of that weight long ago.
To digress, if you have not seen the movie I am referring to it ranks right up there as the best gambling movie of all time.
I have had quite a few signups this last week. Those of you that are now on board please take a look at the “Must Read” section and the “FAQ” section. It will answer many questions you might have.
If you still have questions feel free to send me an email.
If you have not joined us yet, consider it. The subscription cost is nominal and you will be joining one of the most successful handicapping groups ever:) In my humble opinion of course.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks