4:30 update

Friday NBA play
1/2 unit
Minn -2

Friday NBA lean ( I do not bet these)

Sac +3.5

4:00 update

Friday NHL play
1/2 unit
Islanders +140

Thursday no plays but our two Ncaa Fb leans were both easy wins. N Texas -2.5 won by 12 and Arizona St -11 won by 34.

Tonight looks like there most likely will be an nhl play and perhaps something in the NBA.

One football game tonight

The public is on Oregon St 84% and the the line has moved with the public on Cris -3 to -4 but on Pinnacle -4.5 to -4. I like to see both moving the same way to draw any conclusions. So the reverse line move on Pinnacle to me is not that significant.

The variables point to USC tonight but the Models point to fairly valued to slightly undervalued on Oregon St. So looks to me like a coin flip tonight…a clear pass.

I will update closer to game time on the NBA and NHL

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

  • J

    Rick i love everything you’ve been doing and had a few questions about your response to a question Monday:

    “I do a lot of things that I do not post on here. This site is strictly my handicapping techniques.”

    I assume this means you are making plays beyond what you post on your website(which is completely reasonable). Do you feel that you, by having a website that gives picks, need to produce picks that are well above the 52.4% in order to keep up a reputation as someone who gives out good picks instead of several that are just barely +EV?

    Do you have other systems that are independent of the public betting %?(i only look at football) I ask because i am a very inexperienced handicapper and am experimenting with other systems that don’t use public%. I just wanted to know if you believe pub% is the “backbone” of football handicapping or if this blog is just strictly about using your public% system and you have several other systems that you use?


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