friday nba plays


1. This method I am using has been applied to less then 1000 bets. This is not conclusive to the long run profitablility of this method. Its encouraging but in no way a guarantee making money.

2. If you lose money betting these plays if you need to blame someone for your loss the only one you have to blame is yourself. You elected to make these bets.

3. If you dont have a good money management strategy in place you in all probability will lose all your money because of variance.

4. at some point I would expect a 15 to 20 unit drawdown…..if you are betting an amount that this would cause you a problem….you are betting too much.

and finally 5. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If your not a professional every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being a successful professional gambler.

If this discourages you from following these plays then I have accomplished what I have intended to accomplish. For those of you that understand all of the above…good luck!


Only 1 play today in the nba that I can see…also looks like no plays again in the nfl this weekend. Also I am now on my plays are all -105. If your laying -110 you can expect about 2 percent less return.

Washington/orlando under 205.5 -105

Record to date:

Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
sides 28-26 +7.31
Side 54-47-1 +4.72
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 33 bets + 8.52 units +25.82% Return
Total 364 Bets + 47.33 units +13.00% Return

Showing 15 comments
  • Greg

    Sorry you had to deal with that moron. He’ll be broke before too long.


  • Anonymous


    I can’t believe that someone would have the audacity to complain about your plays.
    First, I have been following you for about a month now and out of all the things I read and all the knowledge I have acquired on the subject of sports betting or gambling in general for that matter, you are as grounded an individual that I have ever read anything from.
    Your insight and knowledge into making a living as a professional “gambler” are top notch in my opinion. I don’t even like to call it “gambling” because in my opinion it is a long-term investment.
    I want you to know that I deeply appreciate the fact that you are willing to share your plays with others so that they can benefit as a result of your hard wrok.
    There are not many people in the world that can say they would be willing to do the same or even do it.
    Thanks again, and the next time I am in Vegas I will look you up at the Bellagio. Thanks again and please don’t pay any attention to the morons in the world.

  • Anonymous

    Well said Rick …

    I have no complaints about the few losers that you have … that is all part of the game.

    With your strike rate and profitable return of around 13% I just can’t see how anyone could have the audacity to complain! The picks are posted free after all!

    Thanks for sharing …

    Good Luck

  • Anonymous

    Rick I for one really appreciate the picks you post. Keep up the great work.

  • Dave B (1BigDave)

    Hey Rick,

    Thanks for your efforts, from Seattle!

    As the others said too bad you had to deal with this clown.

    your sharing of your work and insights are awesome.

    I admit I’m still trying to figure out just what all “info” and stats, historical etc. go into your nueral net analysis.

    I did google it as you suggested and after 2 fairly short,aborted attempts I’m still pretty clueless.

    I enjoyed your #1-5 “lecture”. As somone who ground out a living playing poker here in Seattle for
    about a 12 year period I agree with your feelings. To succeeed you must be honest with yourself and hold your self accountable.

    I’m still playing a lot, but at 52 years young I’m dealing poker here to take the heat off and not “HAVE TO” play.

    Carry on Rick and Thanks again !!

    Dave B

  • Anonymous


    Thanks for the picks. Some of us understand probability and standard deviation, and apparently, some do not. Keep up the great work. Gee, since you went 0-3 on Wed., does that mean you’re “due” for a 2-0 night? Okay, I’m kidding.

  • Benko

    Totaly support you Rick.
    And thanx for the picks.

    Benko (from Slovenia,Europe)

  • john22345

    Thanks for the great year Rick! I am an awesome 34-21 overall on the year thanks to your picks!

  • Abe


    Great gambling and betting advice. Why didn’t you tell me this stuff in high school?

    Last week in Tunica, I met Barry Greenstein. Told him he was a famous man — because he was YOUR bridge partner.

    He told me an interesting story about how you took him to a sleazy pool hall in Springfield, you won all the peoples money, and then had to call a cab to get out alive.

    See you next July.


  • Anonymous

    Rick that is so ridiculous that you even have to respond to such nonsense. Please don’t waste your energy. It’s all about the energy levels and staying positive! I hi five your discipline and overall mental approach. I have made coin following you and agree with your assessment that if you don’t have the mental toughness or stones this is not the arena for you. Keep up the good work.

  • shaun

    rick,,,,,i’m ‘PLAYER’ on the talksport site and been in this ‘Biz over 45+ years and living in Vegas 17 years now,,,,,12%+ return is VERRRRY=VERRRRY goooood,,,,how does one E-M you?

  • Anonymous

    thank you rick for being there.
    always check you out.

    i am vegaslay on

    have a nice day, sir.

  • Anonymous


    Well said. The greatest thing about sports is that you do not have to sit at the table and grind it out in any way. You place your bet and go home or to work. Hopefully, you have something to do that will occupy your mind so that you do not watch any of the games that you bet on. Betting 1-3% of your bankroll should keep you safe as long as you follow good plays and handicapping. Vegas-you live here too, eh? This is a great town!



    Thanks for the hard work Bud

  • Silver Eagle

    I'm curious as to what your opinion is of Betcascade. There are a lot of negative reports about them on the net, but I also know that those reports aren't always reliable. Have you tried to make any withdrawls yet?

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