4:00 Update
Georgia Southern
#12 Auburn
Betting is 58% on the Home favorite with the line moving from -35 to -34-111. Variables favor Auburn while models are split on the game. The more accurate model points to Georgia Southern. This game is a clear pass for me.
#16 Louisville
Purdue
Betting is 56% on the favorite with the line moving from -26.5 to -25.5. Variables favor Louisville while Models favor Purdue. Nothing to see here, the game is a clear cut pass.
2:30 Update
App State
#12 Georgia
Betting is 76% on the home favorite Georgia with the line moving from -14.5 to -12.5-108. A clear reverse line move favoring App. State. Variables slightly favor App State and Models slightly favor App State. As I mentioned yesterday week 1 of college football in many instances favors the home favorite regardless of the public betting. Not always but in this matchup, that variable does exist.
I would be Betting App State if it were any other week but week 1. But I am going to respect the first week of the season in this instance and pass on the game.
12:15 Update
UTEP
#7 Oklahoma
Betting is 65% on Oklahoma with the line moving from -44 to -42. Variables favor Oklahoma and Models also favor Oklahoma. if the public betting was on the dog I would consider UTEP but it favors the favorite and I am passing. I use the public % as an absolute screen 95% of the time. It has served me well over the years!
8:40 Update
Several top 25 teams playing at 9:
Kent St
#5 Clemson
Betting is 69% on Clemson with the line moving from -38.5 to -38. Variables are split and models point to Clemson. A pass
Akron
#6 Penn State
Betting is 80% on Penn State with the line moving from -33 to -29.5. That would be a reverse line move pointing to Akron. Variables favor Penn State and models also favor Penn State. A Pass
Maryland
#23 Texas
Betting is 65% on Texas with the line moving from -17 to -18. Variables are neutral while Models strongly favor Maryland. This is a game if variables pointed to Maryland it would be an easy wager for me. But without Variables, the game is a pass.
We have slowed down a bit from the 6 or 7 plays a day. I expect things to pick up quite a bit next weekend when the opening game of college hoops is behind us.
We did have a lean in NCAA FB with Northern Illinois +3.5 covering 20 to 23.
We also had 1 overnight that won with Arizona +100 winning 9-5.
So far today I have sent out 1 play.
There is a full slate of college football games today. What I do is break them down by starting time so I can stay organized. So, the first games begin at 9 PST.
Plays are typically sent out 5 to 20 min before game time. The Comments on the Top 25 teams playing are posted when I have time about an hour before game time.
Top 25 matchups are sent out only to subscribers. These are detailed matchups almost identical to what I sent out on MLB.
There are 2 games today. #11 Michigan at # 17 Florida and the game of the day #3 Florida State at #1 Alabama.
These are sent out only to subscribers. If you want to receive these today pick the subscription of your choice under the PayPal menu. All have a 3-day free trial.
And of course, Subscribers also get plays sent out via a private twitter account, email and SMS.
There is no risk to take a look with a 3-day free trial. If you like what you see you need do nothing and if you want to pass just cancel the subscription.
I am around for questions most of the day via email. Also, the FAQ section should answer many questions.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
