How do you handle a draw-down in sports betting???

Saturday we had 4 plays and went 0-4. A rough 0-6 start to the MLB season but I suspect we will win a game before the end of the season, hopefully:)

This last 6 weeks has played out very similar to last season at this time, except the drawdown was much more severe. It started almost exactly the same time last year with about 4 weeks to go in college hoops.

So, no reason to panic, unless you’re playing it by ear on your bet size! I wish there was a way to avoid drawdowns but so far in positive ev gambling I have not found a way to avoid them. The idea is to bet size so you can weather them both as to your bankroll and your mind. Both are equally as important for a sports bettor or a poker player.

Anguish is not part of the equation in gambling. If it has come to causing you that, then it is time to take a break and reevaluate. I have done that a number of times in the past. Not recently, but when I was a member of the punters:)

On Saturday we lost with Cinci in MLB, Buffalo, and Calgary in the NHL and Phil in the NBA.

The bright spot was the predictive ability in the Big Move Games.

Texas -170    -164   -.06

Dodgers -183  -206  +.23

Milw  +174  +214   +.40

Detroit -107  -117   +.10

Houston -155  -174  +.19

Tampa -104   -115  +.11

5-1 on line moves for Saturday.

But so far betting the big move games would should a bigger loss than the plays. Right now this all means nothing as to comparing profit and loss. But when we get up to 100 BMG than we can evaluate. But the predictive ability is solid in my opinion.

So far today I have sent out no plays. I have sent out 5 big move games.

Also of note on 20 big move games, the predictive ability is 16-3-1  with the average move +.125

If I had an account on matchbook I would be playing middles on every one of these!

If anyone has any questions I am just an email away.

Good Luck Today


RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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