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Markets dropping, Short put trades, Hydroxychoroquine links, media weakens immune system, updated political odds , My thoughts for a Friday

A monster rally the last few days but this morning the markets are gapping down almost 3%. This is normal, and now we will see if the last few days was a bull rally in a bear market or not.

Eyes are on the House, and of course, it’s going to be a bumpy road. A voice vote which they planned on doing was so much in doubt that members are flying into DC this morning to get enough votes to pass the bill.

Our system is broken beyond repair at this point. You could do away with the legislative branch, stick with the executive branch, judiciary and the states and have a better run government at this point.

I think a lot of this early drop in the markets is reflective of the uncertainty of what is occurring in the House. Right now you can get 4 to 1 that the bill does not pass today. I think for a long shot it would not be a bad wager. You cannot even consider laying the 4 to 1.

Yesterday I placed 5 short put trades, all 5 expire today and all 5 have enough protection it would take a much larger downdraft to have to adjust any of these. All of the trades had a 30% downside protection. All had an annualized return of over 200%.

I will be looking this morning for a few more trades. With the markets gaping down like this, I might be able to find several more decent short put sales that expire at the close today.

I am sending these out to all of my sports handicapping subscribers. In as much as their subscriptions are on hold, everyone is getting them for free that wants them. If you have an interest just send me an email and I will tell you how to get them, [email protected]

One of the most concerning things that has come up lately is a few Democrat Governors signing emergency orders precluding Hydroxychoroquine to be prescribed for coronavirus treatment, off label?

This flys in the face of overwhelming evidence that this in combination with Azithromycin is the treatment of first choice at this time for treatment of coronavirus:

https://www.mediterranee-infection.com/hydroxychloroquine-and-azithromycin-as-a-treatment-of-covid-19/

https://www.stabroeknews.com/2020/03/21/news/guyana/new-gpc-touts-anti-malaria-drug-as-treatment-for-coronavirus/

https://pagesix.com/2020/03/22/daniel-dae-kim-anti-malarial-drug-secret-weapon-in-my-coronavirus-recovery/
https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/03/23/indonesia-produces-chloroquine-anti-malaria-drug-tested-as-possible-treatment-for-covid-19.html

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2020/03/12/South-Korea-experts-recommend-anti-HIV-anti-malaria-drugs-for-COVID-19/6961584012321/

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/australian-researchers-claim-to-have-found-two-drugs-to-fight-coronavirus/articleshow/74660999.cms

https://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/2020/mar/18/delhi-doctor-using-anti-hiv-drug-combo-for-high-risk-covid-19-patients-2118391.html

https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/03/18/bayer-is-donating-its-malaria-drug-that-could-help.aspx

So, there MAY be an effective treatment for coronavirus after all, according three studies

https://techstartups.com/2020/03/16/new-academic-study-reveals-counter-anti-malaria-pill-chloroquine-may-highly-effective-treating-coronavirus/

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/world/2020/03/18/Sanofi-says-anti-malarial-medication-promising-on-coronavirus-patients

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/gulf/2020/03/26/Bahrain-one-of-the-first-countries-to-use-Hydroxychloroquine-to-treat-coronavirus

When this is said and done, these Governors should be prosecuted for negligent homicide. This is unacceptable to interfere with doctors’ ability to prescribe off label medications.

In addition to all the whining from these governors about the overcrowding of hospitals, what better way to alleviate this problem than the use of drugs that have been shown to have worked. The only thing missing is a large scientific double-blind study. But consider the time and also the low risk of these drugs it is a no brainer.

My suggestion also is to take Zinc every day. It has been proven to boost the immune system. I am taking 30 MG daily. Again a no-risk method, that may have some benefit. Keeping your immune system strong is very important.

This leads me to the next topic the media-induced hysteria. This has caused untold stress among the population. And as stress increases the immune system becomes weakened. In reality, the Fake news media is harming the immune systems of an entire nation when it needs a strong immune system the most. My thought is that it should be a crime to disseminate false information about the conditions on the ground by the media. Penalties should be a minimum of 10 years in prison.

That would stop this, and force journalist to double-check their sources. And if it’s made up, like much is, they are toast.

Markets are opening soon so let’s get to the political odds then I have to go:

Dem Nominee:

Biden 77/23 – 7 Pts (dropping fast)
Sanders 6/94 +2 Pts
Clinton 4/96 -1 Pt
Cuomo 6/94 +1 Pt

Biden is dropping. I told a friend that getting over 4 to 1 looked good a few days ago, and now we are down to 7 to 2. I still think fading Biden has some value.

Dem VP Nomination:

Harris 29/71 No Change
Klobuchar 27/73 No Change
Abrams 9/91 -3 Pt
Warren 7/93 -2 Pt
Masto 15/85 New Entrant
Whitmer: 8/92 +3 Pts

I do not have any opinion at all on these. Harris, however, would be a mistake. Biden already has California. It would be a waste of a VP pick. Also when a new name pops on the list, you should pay attention.

Presidential winner:

Trump 49/51 + 2 Pt ( Right where I made my wager on Trump)
Biden 41/59 – 3 Pts

Trump pulling back ahead as he should be right now.

Control of the Presidency: Dems 50/50 -3 Pts

Again I believe the value is in the Republicans

Control of the House:

70/30 Democrats: -5 Pts( I took 3 to 1)

I like the Republicans here. I rate it a tossup whether they regain the House.
Although the better wager is to bet against each of the “dirty 30”

Control of the Senate:

61/39 in favor of the Republicans + 6 Pts

Republicans back on the move here.

Odds of a recession during Trump’s first term: 85/15 +1 Pts my wager taking 4 to 1

Then numbers I see this weekend still to me make it close whether the U.S. will fall into a recession. Getting 4 to 1 gives me a nice cushion on the wager.

One wager I am watching for is Collins vs Loeffler. I want to get down on Collins. I liked him before Loeffler imploded with her stock trades, but now the price might be too high. Anything close to even money would be a gift.

A new one I am watching that just popped up:

When will the House pass the CARES Act:

March 27th 84/16 +74 Pts

Getting over 4 to 1 seems reasonable. But the value is slim.

That’s it for today, Let’s see if this rally can continue tomorrow.

RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing
Skype:riccja

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Monster Stock Rally, Coronavirus fears, media induced panic, A real experts thoughts, Updated political odds. My thoughts for Wednesday

The Stock Market is blasting off today with the indexes up somewhere between 7 and 8 percent. They liked The President’s messaging, The Feds response, and the likelihood the Congress is going to finally pass some kind of bill.

That will be an influx of money into the country unseen before. In addition, the Treatment the President has been talking about for over a week is working in many different countries. So much so, both drugs are being mass-produced and should be available shortly.

The only thing that has not changed is the media. But that will never change. I just do not listen to them. A friend called me up to tell me what he heard on CNN this morning, and I politely told him I had no interest in anything cable news outlets had to say. And that includes most of the people at Fox.

Hysteria generated fear is going to be here to stay. The last thing they want is for Trump to get this country moving again. They know it’s their last hope at beating him in November. The media has been hijacked, it has ceased being the media.

As far as this rally, my thought is the downside is still a big risk. This euphoria we are seeing most likely will not last for more then a few days if that. But I think we may have seen the worst of the slide. We will see.

The new CDC numbers are out:

Deaths as of today: 544

This is nothing. It’s not even worth talking about. But do not take my word for it. I just listened to an interview with one of the leading Microbiologists in the world:

https://youtu.be/JBB9bA-gXL4

It’s worth your time to listen to it, as it gives a clear-eyed view of the coronavirus. This is what you should be listening to, not cable news pundits.

Essentially he says the biggest tragedy is the way the countries are dealing with it rather than the virus itself. But he gives his logic and some very good insight.

Now, I cannot say this enough, the hysteria surrounding this is media-induced. They have an agenda. Truth is the furthest thing in their mind. As an example, one of the big stories yesterday is that a lady died yesterday taking the drug that President Trump had recommended at home.

But with just a little investigation it turns out what she took was an aquarium cleaner. Now, the press knew that was true, but they tried to go with the story anyway. I do not think I have ever seen it this bad.

Another example is when the President suggested it the press all in unison said how crazy he was, but, Cuomo in NY start trials using the exact same drug Trump had suggested. The press: How great Cuomo was for trying this.

Now I do not care whether you are a Republican or a Democrat.I could care less who you support for President. But the media in this country is reprehensible. And if you support what they are doing, you have gone off the deep end. That is what I call a given:)

Back to the markets, I have not made any new trades, but Thursday is rapidly approaching. I plan on putting on my 5 or 6 short put sales on Thursday. I have had quite a few people sign up. If you have not, just look back to the last post and it explains how you can get these.

Lastly the update on the political odds:

Dem Nominee:

Biden 84/16 – 3 Pts
Sanders 4/96 +1 Pts
Clinton 5/95 Unchanged
Cuomo 5/95 New entry

Nothing has changed. Cuomo is on the radar now. Will be interesting to see how they pull that one off:)

Dem VP Nomination:

Harris 29/71 – 1 Pt
Klobuchar 27/73 -1 Pts
Abrams 12/88 -1 Pt
Warren 9/91 -1 Pt
Whitmer: 5/95 New entrant

I do not have any opinion at all on these. Harris, however, would be a mistake. Biden already has California. It would be a waste of a VP pick. Also when a new name pops on the list, you should pay attention.

Presidential winner:

Trump 47/53 + 1 Pt ( Right where I made my wager on Trump)
Biden 44/56 – 3 Pts

Right now a tossup. I like Trump at a tossup.

Control of the Presidency: Dems 54/46 -1 Pt

Again I believe the value is in the Republicans

Control of the House:

75/25 Democrats: No Change ( I took the 3 to 1 this morning)

I like the Republicans here. I rate it a tossup whether they regain the House.
Although the better wager is to bet against each of the “dirty 30”

Control of the Senate:

55/45 in favor of the Republicans No Change

That is a large drop in this category. I still am laying off this wager. The Senate Republicans seem to be trying to lose. Collins, Graham are both taking positions that could cost them in November. But the line is getting to an area that is attractive.

Odds of a recession during Trump’s first term: 84/16 – 4 Pts my wager taking 4 to 1

Then numbers I see this weekend still to me make it close whether the U.S. will fall into a recession. Getting 4 to 1 gives me a nice cushion on the wager.

One wager I am watching for is Collins vs Loeffler. I want to get down on Collins. I liked him before Loeffler imploded with her stock trades, but now the price might be too high. Anything close to even money would be a gift.

A new one I am watching that just popped up:

When will the Senate pass the CARES Act:

March 24th 31/69
March 25th 56/44
March 26th 15/85
March 27th 10/90
After: 9/91

I have not been following it that close, but if I had to choose without knowing anything I would take 9 to 1 on March 27th. Just because typically they drag it out as long as they possibly can. I doubt they will let it go into next week

That’s it for today, Let’s see if this rally can continue tomorrow.

RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing
Skype:riccja

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Weekly recap of the markets, Trish Regan, Panic, Promising corona virus treatment, Updated political odds. My thoughts for a Sunday

The stock market took a nose dive last week:

For a good perspective on the market its always a good idea to take a look at the stock chart from last week:

As you can see the market closed on the lows for the week.

In addition the total drawdown since 2009:

We are at a 32% drawdown from the highs and in record time. It seems like it was just yesterday that the markets were making new highs every day. The problem is the Coronavirus is still here, but there are encouraging signs if you get past the media hysteria.

I will say this again as it is important. Do not get your information from the mainstream media. Most of it is false, including now Fox News who oftentimes repeats stories without independent verification.

So, many times you have a story begin with an anonymous source. And everyone else picks it up to where it’s repeated so many times people think it is true. When in reality most of the time it is not. The best recent example was the Bolton transcript. Now no one had read the transcript even the NYT reporter that wrote the article. But then every other news agency picked it up and before you know it, Bolton has the goods on Trump:)

See how that goes. Then later Bolton comes forward and says much of what he said regarding his book was just hype to get it sold. So, in reality, all we had was fake news.

The same thing is happening with the corona virus.

Lets take a look at what Trish Regan said in early march:

http://https://youtu.be/WoR6zzufprg

That was her last broadcast. She was taken off the air. That it what the mainstream media is doing now. If you do not go with their narrative you are off the air. One by one the commentators at Fox are falling into line.

This is dangerous because many in America rely on the media. I learned long ago this was a big mistake.

This also can be seen in the fake news indicating that Trump’s messaging about hope is dangerous and that he should be taken off the air. Since when did the press determine what the President should do or not do? But more importantly, we see that Trump is spot on as to the various drugs he is suggest has promise.

Hydroxycholoroquine is a derivative of chloroquine and they give that for a week along with the drug Azithromicin.

Both have been around forever, and both studied to the nth degree. 600 MG and 200 MG, respectively.

The cure rate in the studies: 100% how long: 3 to 6 days.

In addition, countries that still have malaria to deal with, who take an antimalaria drug, are doing better than other countries that are not. The thought is the Anti-malaria drug is helping control the outbreak of the virus.

But even with that many Drs. in the U.S. are using these two drugs with success. So, Trump is correct it is promising. Why would anyone want to push an agenda that might kill people and convince them not to take these drugs if the Dr. suggests it???

Its time to go back to Trish Regan’s last broadcast. She explains it all.

And it goes on and on. Every issue that comes up is turned around against the President. From the naming of the virus (even the Chinese at first called it the Wuhan virus) to every little fact. Most of which have been twisted and are false.

As Trish said it is not different than the Russia Russa Russia hoax, or the Ukraine hoax. It is all part and parcel orchestrated to try to beat Trump in 2020.

This is very damaging to the country both in terms of the psychological health of Americans and the stock market. Much of the market’s losses are because of the false reporting by the media. They have created a climate of hysteria and panic.

Panic is the ultimate destroyer. It takes away your ability to reason, to think clearly. Panic has to be avoided at all costs regardless of the situation. Panic never helps.

You learn that during flight training. Every pilot at one time or another gets into some dicey situations. Some by pilot error and some just by random chance.

What is taught over and over, if you find yourself in one of these situations, the last thing you want to do is panic. Chances of survival go down geometrically if you lose it.

On the internet, you hear many people say what if this or what if that. You deal with it. It is that simple. However, The total deaths according to the CDC is 201 as of Friday’s reporting. The hysteria level we are seeing now you would think it was well over 100,000.

With the death total so low in the U.S. and the promising drugs ready to treat it the future is very encouraging. My guess is everyone is back to work no later than 30 days from now. If not much sooner. These medications are widely available and are cheap. In addition, the stats show that those that catch the virus have very mild symptoms. Some do not even know they have it.

The only reason this has become such a hysterical event is the media as the facts do not support anything to worry about. Over 60,000 people in the U.S. are expected to die of the ordinary flu. Yet no one gives it a thought. Not only that much of the population does not take flu shots.

So tough it up, and let’s get things going again. Forget this fake hysteria in the media. 99.9% of what you are hearing from them is false. Just like almost 100% of what they reported on Russia and Ukraine was false. The U.S. media has become hijacked!!!

If you are itching to trade, I would forgo swing trading right now. There is no way you can keep trades on overnight when you have gaps of 500 pts staring at you. Day trading is fine if you have an established record.

Right now almost all I am doing is selling short puts on Thursday for Friday expiration. The premiums are so high right now you can get annualized returns of almost 1000 % with very little risk. But it requires some very stringent rules.

I outlined them in my last post. If you have an interest go over that post again. The key is in the options screener you use. I have several but my parameters are ones that I have come up with myself.

I took six trades on Thursday, all six were winners, and 5 of the six stocks actually closed up on the day when the market was off almost 5%:)

My trades on Thursday: 1. Sold 20 CZR 3/20 3.00 Puts @.11 for a $200.00 gain
2. Sold 10 AAL 3/20 7.00 Puts @.14 for a $130.00 gain
3. Sold 10 MGM 3/20 5.00 Puts @.16 for a $150.00 Gain
4. Sold 10 HA 3/20 5.00 Puts @.16 for a $150.00 Gain
5. Sold 10 HTZ 3/20 3.00 Puts @.15 for a $140.00 Gain

Then on Friday morning: Sold 5 TSLA 3/20 360 Puts @.30 for a $145.00 Gain

That was an easy 6-0 for about a $1,000 profit. All but one had a 30% difference between the strike price and the price of the stock. The other 22%.

That is what I am concentrating on until volatility settles down. I send these out to my sports subscribers. All of their subscriptions are on pause until MLB starts but they still get the trades as I make them as part of my service.

You can Take advantage of this by:

1. Go to rickjshandicappingpicks.com
2. Use the Paypal dropdown menu and pick the monthly subscription (they have 3 day free trials)
3. I will add you to the lists and then pause your subscription until MLB starts. But you will get these trades.

Then when the subscription starts you will have the 3-day trial and can decide if you wish to continue. In reality, it’s free for now.

Now let’s take a look at the political odds:

Dem Nominee:

Biden 87/13 – 2 Pts
Sanders 3/97 +1 Pts
Clinton 5/95 Unchanged

Nothing has changed. But I am still skeptical Biden will be the nominee.

Dem VP Nomination:

Harris 30/70 Unchanged
Klobuchar 28/72 -1 Pts
Abrams 13/87 +1 Pt
Warren 10/90 Unchanged
I do not have any opinion at all on these. Harris, however, would be a mistake. Biden already has California. It would be a waste of a VP pick.

Presidential winner:

Trump 46/54 Unchanged ( Right where I made my wager on Trump)
Biden 47/53 Unchanged

Right now a tossup. I like Trump at a tossup.

Control of the Presidency: Dems 54/46 -1 Pt

Again I believe the value is in the Republicans

Control of the House:

75/25 Democrats: +1 Pt ( I took the 3 to 1 this morning)

I like the Republicans here. I rate it a tossup whether they regain the House.
Although the better wager is to bet against each of the “dirty 30”

Control of the Senate:

55/45 in favor of the Republicans +3 Pts

That is a large drop in this category. I still am laying off this wager. The Senate Republicans seem to be trying to lose. Collins, Graham are both taking positions that could cost them in November. But the line is getting to an area that is attractive.

Odds of a recession during Trump’s first term: 89/11 +1 Pts my wager taking 4 to 1

Then numbers I see this weekend still to me make it close whether the U.S. will fall into a recession. Getting 4 to 1 gives me a nice cushion on the wager.

One wager I am watching for is Collins vs Loeffler. I want to get down on Collins. I liked him before Loeffler imploded with her stock trades, but now the price might be too high. Anything close to even money would be a gift.

RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing
Skype:riccja

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Stock market hanging tough, my short put trades, lawmakers do the unthinkable, coronavirus treatment, Updated political odds My thoughts for a Friday

The stock market today has had a narrow range compared to recent days. Right now the Nasdaq is about even with the dow down 1.3%.

Some news came out yesterday that some of our lawmakers when they received classified info regarding the virus went out and sold all their stock. Some names came out both Republican and Democrat. I expect a large backlash on this. Americans are suffering and our lawmakers make money off it. Trading is a 0 sum game. When they win others lose. I put their actions in the same category as looters.

I talked at some length yesterday regarding the short put sales I make beginning on Thursday for expiration on Friday. My six trades this week look very likely to go an easy 6-0 for some pretty easy money.

All had a 30% cushion from the strike price and every stock is on the plus side today. Even with the Dow negative. That means to me my scanner is working great:)

You can get onboard for these trades and its free.

I reserved these for subscribers to my sports service, but since all my members are on pause, you can sign up, your membership paused, and then when baseball begins you have 3 days to decide if you want to continue.

Just go to the website, pull down the PayPal menu, and subscribe to the monthly option. You will not be charged as it has a 3-day free trial. Then I will put your membership on pause.

Everything right now is coronavirus related. The news is driving the markets and most of the news is being given in its worst light possible.

It appears to me that a treatment is in the works and could be available within a week or two at the latest.

The breaking news is as follows:

https://t.co/HgHyLWxpBl?amp=1

Essentially a combination of two drugs that have been around for a very long time has had a 100% cure rate for coronavirus in 3 to 6 days with no deaths. These are drugs that could be available to every medical outlet within a week if the government gets on it. That is something to watch.

Meanwhile, the CDC numbers are out this morning and total deaths in the U.S. are now 201. That is 44 more from yesterday.

So far the death rates are pretty tame for the degree of panic we are seeing. Especially with treatment weeks away. I assure you President Trump is on top of this and will be pushing the FDA to allow these drugs to be used en masse. Otherwise, we will be seeing off label treatment. Many Drs. now are using this combination in the treatment of their patients.

I still do not think its safe to think about long term trades in the market. I would wait and see how quickly Trump can get the government to start recognizing these treatments as standard and get them in gear. If there is an effective treatment, that means everything will change very quickly. Trump will not waist and time.

Now, let’s take a look at the updated political odds:

Dem Nominee:
Biden 89/11 Unchanged
Sanders 2/98 +1 Pts
Clinton 5/95 Unchanged

Nothing has changed. But I am still skeptical Biden will be the nominee.

Dem VP Nomination:

Harris 30/70 Unchanged
Klobuchar 29/71 +2 Pts
Abrams 12/88 Unchanged
Warren 10/90 +2 Pts

I do not have any opinion at all on these. Harris, however, would be a mistake. Biden already has California. It would be a waste of a VP pick.

Presidential winner:

Trump 46/54 +1 Pt ( Right where I made my wager on Trump)
Biden 47/53 -1 Pt

Right now a tossup. I like Trump at a tossup.

Control of the Presidency: Dems 55/45 -1 Pt

Again I believe the value is in the Republicans

Control of the House:

74/26 Democrats: -1 Pt ( I took the 3 to 1 this morning)

I like the Republicans here. I rate it a tossup whether they regain the House.
Although the better wager is to bet against each of the “dirty 30”

Control of the Senate:

52/48 in favor of the Republicans -6 Pts

That is a large drop in this category. I still am laying off this wager. The Senate Republicans seem to be trying to lose. Collins, Graham are both taking positions that could cost them in November. But the line is getting to an area that is attractive.

Odds of a recession during Trump’s first term: 88/12 +5 Pts my wager taking 4 to 1

I still like my 4 to 1. Although it will be close. It will all depend on when they reopen everything.

That is where we are now. MLB is still set to start on May 1st. I will keep everyone updated. By then perhaps the death toll will hit 300. This is the most destruction the media has done since it has been in existence if you ask me.

But, I am not an expert, I only observe and draw my own conclusions.

RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing
Skype: riccja

0

Markets strong today (so far), A very High % option sale trade for Thusdays, CDC corona virus update, good news for treatment, updated political odds+ new wager. My thoughts for a Thursday.

The Stock market is 300+ and the Nasdaq 200+ three hours before the close this today.

I placed 5 short put sale trades on this morning that expire at tomorrow’s close.

All have a 30% cushion from the strike price.

This is a trade I have been working on for a while now. It seems that Thursday is the best day to put it on. As you only have two days of exposure. Ideally, you want a 20% cushion. All of my trades today had a 30% cushion between the price and the strike price. So that means the stock would have to fall 30% before tomorrow’s close for me to be at risk of losing money.

There are several things you have to have for this:

1. A good option screener, I have two I use
2.A good method of evaluating the support zones for the stock
3.An account that allows you to trade these on margin. Typically you only need at most 20% of the full price if exercised.
4.An ability to think fast if you need to adjust the trade, typically at noon on Friday.
5. A broker where the commissions are no more than $10.00 on a 10 lot.
So far I have been almost 100% on these trades. And usually send out 5 or so to my handicapping subscribers as part of the package.

You can generate $500 to %1000 a week being conservative with these. The reason is the option premiums are very high, which allows you to be the casino. The annualized returns can be amazing.

All my subscribers have their subscription on pause right now until the start of the MLB season. Which by all accounts right now is May 1. If you sign up now, consider the monthly with the 3-day free trial. I will immediately put your subscription on pause, and you will get these trades for free until MLB baseball starts. Then you can either continue or quit. It will be your choice.

The new CDC death number came out through 4:00 on the 18 this morning and the total is 150. That is a 53 jump from yesterday. The numbers are still very low considering the hype. But another few weeks should give everyone a little more idea. I still stick with my thought that this is nothing near what it is portrayed to be. Considering, 100+ people a day die of the flu and nobody bats an eye.

One of the encouraging things that came out of the press conference this morning is that a common Malaria drug is most likely effective in treating the coronavirus. Assuming they have any numbers at all to support this, this should be the first line of treatment for anyone that has this illness. It has been studied and around for many years. The risks of taking it are minimal. And there is little to no downside as I see it. If it were me I would automatically go on a regime of this if I caught it.

If this does work out that way expect this emergency to be over rather quickly. The malaria drug is easy to produce and easy to distribute. The only risk is the pharmaceutical companies putting up roadblocks to sell new products. I know that is machiavellian thinking but considering the history of these companies, it is something you have to consider. They have the most powerful lobby in DC.

Updated political odds:

Political odds:

Dem Nominee:
Biden 89/11 Unchanged
Sanders 1/99 -2 Pts
Clinton 5/95 -1 Pt

Clinton is right where I got in on the wager. Who would of thought a few weeks ago that Clinton would be 4x as likely to get the nomination than Sanders:)

Dem VP Nomination:

Harris 30/70 Unchanged
Klobuchar 27/73 -3 Pts
Abrams 12/88 -1 Pts
Warren 8/92 -2 Pts

I do not have any opinion at all on these. Harris, however, would be a mistake. Biden already has California. It would be a waste of a VP pick.

Presidential winner:

Trump 45/55 ( Right where I made my wager on Trump)
Biden 48/52

Right now a tossup. I like Trump at a tossup.

Control of the Presidency: Dems 56/44 +1 Pt

Again I believe the value is in the Republicans

Control of the House:

75/25 Democrats: Unchanged ( I took the 3 to 1 this morning)

I like the Republicans here. I rate it a tossup whether they regain the House.
Although the better wager is to bet against each of the “dirty 30”

Control of the Senate:

59/41 in favor of the Republicans +3 Pts

Odds of a recession during Trump’s first term: 83/17 +3 Pts my wager taking 4 to 1

That is where we are now. MLB is still set to start on May 1st. I will keep everyone updated. By then perhaps the death toll will hit 300. This is the most destruction the media has done since it has been in existence if you ask me.

But, I am not an expert, I only observe and draw my own conclusions.

RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com/investing
Skype: riccja

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