Tuesday we had one play. A 1/2 UNIT play on Washington Under 5.5-110 in the NHL. It won with the final score 3-1.
Sometimes back to basics is good:)
I posted a breakdown yesterday of the Georgetown game. As you can see these breakdowns do not always come out as planned. That is why before I wager I need quite a bit to line up on the play.
But overall they give you a good roadmap to use, especially if you’re doing your own handicapping.
Subscribers get these breakdowns on all NFL games, Top 25 matchups in all college sports.
Last night I sent out the following to subscribers:
“29% Texas Tech
71% Oklahoma -3.2 -2.5 -3.2 -2.5
Models favor Texas Tech, Variables are neutral, public % slightly favor Texas Tech
A top 10 matchup tonight that looks like a very good game coming up.
I wish I had more clues on the game, but the slight edge it looks like Texas Tech has is not enough to bet the game.
The plays now will not be as frequent as they had been, and in NCAA Hoops we are in conference play. So plays tend to tighten up anyway until tournament time.
But one never knows what each day will bring. In this game A pretty clear pass.
Rick”
I received the following email last night:
“Glad you’re back to posting on the blog. I’ll sign up for the new 1/2u plays if you end up sending those out to subscribers again.
Got some intel from another sharp that Oprah at 15/1 is value. Is it too early to speculate on 2020 futures? Completely understand if you think this take is a complete dart throw. I was surprised to hear this take so I wanted to double check with you.”
My response:
“It depends on how the bet is structured. If the bet is 15/1 even if she does not run than I would pass on that. My guess is that the odds of Oprah running for president are at the very least 100 to 1 against.
If the 15 to 1 is only if she runs then the odds look like a nice wager. Although, I think she would still be a big dog in a presidential race versus Trump. Other Republicans not so much of a dog.
A better bet is taking 3 to 2 that the Republicans keep control of the house. Its a nice overlay as I think it should be no more than even money or perhaps 3 to 2 in favor.
Also, fading establishment republicans is not a bad way to go in the primaries. Although many have decided not to seek reelection.
There are some other pretty good wagers I can see, I will update the political odds page soon. But Oprah taking 15 to 1 regardless of whether she runs to me is a very poor wager.”
It’s an interesting wager but I think Oprah most likely has no desire to get into the political arena as a candidate. She has fans on both the right and the left, but in the political arena, things are a bit different. And I am positive she is aware of that.
But one never knows for certain:)
So far today I have sent out no plays.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Skype: riccja
