Monday NCAA bb play
The public inner on Washington is now 25%. I am going to pass on the game completely. 25% is an important threshold for me.
Might be one more college hoop game at 7.
Monday NCAA BB Play
771 IUPUI +20.5
1st Half IUPUE +12
Monday NCAA BB Play
721 Cleveland St +24
1st half Cleve st +14
One game tonight in the NFL. San Fran has 78% of the public on them. The line opened at -4.5 even to -5 -104 on Pinnacle. On Cris -4 to -5. Bovada is right in step at -6.
My models show the game to be fairly valued. Variables however favor Washington although they are not one sided. Its very unlikely this will be a play or a tracking setup. But depending on the final numbers I am considering it as a lean. For me it would be washington or a pass.
Washington is my last pick in the hilton contest this week at +5.5. I need that game for a 4-1 weekend that will put me over 56%.
I will update if its a lean shortly before game time.
Sunday another good day. Our 1 unit play on N. Carolina in College Hoops won easily as they lead wire to wire to win the game easily.
Also our tracking setup with NE +2.5 in the NFL was a cake walk:) You have to hand it to Brady. Spotting Denver a 24-0 half time lead. He really enjoys pressure!
In My Hilton picks I am 3-1 so far this weekend with the Jets letting me down Sunday. I have Washington tonight in the contest. I will have some comments on this game a bit later today.
You might of noticed I have changed my college hoops to 1 unit plays. After reviewing the last 3 to 4 years I am still convinced the 2 years we kicked ass in early season baskets was a fluke. I would really like to say its a result of my high intellect….but my high intellect prevents me from doing that:) I was always suspect of the method even though for two years the results were incredible. So…..my final word…a fluke.
So I am back to handicapping hoops based upon what I consider a very solid method which will result in less plays. But hopefully solid returns. We will see. North Carolina was a nice start.
Too early for any plays. I will update a bit later as things become clear.