3:30 Update

SLight Edge
Ottawa +138

3:00 Update

Two NFL Games tonight:


Betting is 66% on Buffalo and the line has moved from -2 to -2.5-113. Its -3 at a few books.
Variables favor the Jets…Models favor Buffalo Public betting shows no edge. This game is a pass for me. I did not consider either side in the hilton contest.

New Orleans

Betting is 64% on New Orleans and the line has moved from -3.5 -108 to -2.5-113. Thats a pretty big move. crossing the -3 barrier…the most important number in nfl handicapping. Variables slightly favor Baltimore…Models strongly favor Baltimore….Public betting slightly favors baltimore. The problem is now that its a bit late to be betting baltimore as the line has moved too much to consider betting the dog. You really have to respect the opener in the NFL more then any other sport. If you can find a book that still has -3.5 Baltimore is worth a wager….however since its not available at most books I am not putting the game out as a play.

I need the game for a 4-1 week in the Hilton contest to put me closer to cashing. So its an important game for me …and I have +3.5. We will see…I do not know if I can stand anymore first and goals to cover any more this weekend. The Jaguars couldnt get it in…but miami scored on the first play….of course a big difference between the two teams.

Good luck tonight no matter what you decide to do.
2:20 Update

Monday NCAA BB Play
1/2 Unit
Austin Peay +12

A good day for my Hilton NFL picks going 3-1. With Baltimore +3.5 left tonight. I really need a 4-1 week to get back into the hunt to cash…we will see.

Hoop totals went 2-3. As far as setups…..I have updated the records…and do not have a lot of time to go through them right now. A busy morning. Also I am heading out of town thursday morning and not sure right now what I will be able to keep up on while I am gone. For sure NFL but that might be the extent of it.

I will post comments on tonights NFL games a bit later. I am watching the numbers in college hoops this morning and will update with plays as they become clear.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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