Not much has changed on tonight football game. However I took another look at the numbers and it looks like I undervalued a bit Ohio State tonight. So…..
Bet or Pass
Ohio State +6
If I had variables on my side or even public sentiment I would pull the trigger and bet ohio state. But neither are there. Ohio state now has 40% of the betting on them.
A good day Sunday with our 1/2 Unit NFL play on Indy +9.5 winning the game by 11! Also our 1/2 unit play in college hoops on Illinois st -2 was an easy winner as they won by 14.
I was asked why these were not 1 unit plays as I have been on quite a streak lately. For me to make them one unit plays the public betting would half to line up with the game. Almost all of these 1/2 unit plays are missing that.
On football game tonight:
Betting is 62% on Oregon and the line has moved contrary to the action from -7-108 to -6-102. As you recall last week ohio state +7 is the poker player fade. If you missed that post just scroll back to the entries last week.
Variables are neutral. Models are mixed with a slight edge to Ohio state. Public betting slight edge to Ohio State. For me I am passing on this game. The negative is the move off of 7. And nothing compelling to point to Ohio State. I am passing completely on this game.
I will update later this afternoon if anything changes or if anything develops in the one college hoop game tonight.
Good Luck Today