One game tonight in the NFL:
Betting is 58% on Cleveland with the line moving with the betting from -1 to -4.5. That is quite a move for only 58% of the betting. Models show quite a bit of value on Baltimore. Variables are split on the game but favor Baltimore also. I have Baltimore +2.5 in the hilton contest and need this game to have a 4-1 week. At +2.5 this game was my 3rd pick behind Washington and San Fran. I won both of those and split on my 4th and 5th pick. I am passing on the game tonight but will be pulling for Baltimore. With the betting at 43% on Baltimore it would take the game away from consideration as a play for me. I have to say however if you like Cleveland the line really has moved too far to consider them for tonight. -1 to -4.5 is just too much of a move to now take the favorite. Best to stand aside if you like Cleveland…my humble advice!
For subscribers I have already gave an opinion on a game next weekend as the best so far for the day. This is one of the many benefits you have in subscribing. Advance insights in the coming NFL games along with my being available for an opinion on any game your looking at in any sport. Just hit the paypal button and pick the subscription you wish. Look at the paragraph below and see how subscribers have done the first month of college hoops!
Good Luck Tonight which ever side you pick.
Another good day on Sunday. Plays went 2-1. College hoops were 2-0 and NFL 0-1. We had two setups in the NFL and both were good. In addition my Hilton NFL contest picks went 3-1 this weekend. Baltimore +2.5 is my last pick. It will take some doing as the line is now +4 in many spots:(
Its been a great first month for college hoops. Sides went 8-4 or 66.6% and totals 26-16 or 61.9%. So we picked up a nice 14 units the first month of the 2015 college hoop season.
Its not too late to get on board as college hoops has just begun! All you need to do is push the paypal button and pick the subscription that your interested in. If you have any interest at all in swing trades you should consider adding that as this month closed trades have shown a $6230.72 profit!!!
There is a nice discount if you subscribe to both sports and stocks. As always if you have any questions all you need do is drop me an email. In addition this service is 100% transparent. I post my results daily on sports plays and update my google doc spreadsheet as trades are closed.
I will update a bit later with some comments on tonights NFL game. Also for subscribers I will be sending out plays 1 to 10 min before game time.
Good Luck Today!
The market is up about 1/5% 50 min before the open. The market is slightly over sold and we are in a period of very positive seasonality. This will last until year end. The only thing that tends to hold down the market is tax loss selling but that is only in individual stocks that have a loss. And it is only temporary.
I am long a portfolio of stocks and also have on 11 swing trades. So I am very well positioned to take advantage of seasonality if it comes:) I also am planning on adding stocks to my swing trade list if they trigger.
One thing however I do not think the geopolitical risk has been much higher as it is right now for quite awhile. Terrorism is out of control all over the world. Another event like the one we saw in France certainly would effect the markets. In addition we are staring at an interest rate hike in December. And finally with Congress is starting to talk tough so a government shutdown scare is not out of the question. Any one of these would be a reason to be cautious but all three even more so.
If your swing trading you want to respect your stops. And position trading you want to manage the size of your account appropriately. Now is not the time to through caution to the winds!
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