We won our late play on e tenn st +4 in ncaa baskets on Sunday. Also I went 2-2 in the Hilton contest with my 5th play cleveland going tonight. However I am not wagering on Cleveland.
2 plays today in ncaa baskets
Fordham +20.5
Cornell +4.5
A note about the NHL and the NBA. There will be no early posts on these but only late plays. With the decreased betting numbers on these games the variables I look at only become relevant shortly before the game.
As to ncaa baskets I will be putting these out again this year. I turned in a 10 unit profit for the season last year.
If you want on the email or text messaging list for early and late plays just drop me an email. I will still post both on this blog.
These late plays are FREE. Just send me your email address and I will add you to the group receiving late plays.
Sports Comments:
I received the following email:
“It seems as if there have been (up until this week) a significant reduction in the number of plays this year versus the last couple. Any reason you can see or guess as to why this is. Particularly in the college game. I don’t know enough about net neutral analysis.”
My Answer:
There are a few reasons:
1. As to ncaa fb totals the rule change this year has eliminated the overlays that were available last year..or so it seems to me
2. Nfl sides it seems have become tougher this year since there is less value given in games such as Seattle yesterday +3. Two years ago I am convinced the linemakers would of had that number at +7…but they seem to have adjusted for the the sharp bettors this year making it much harder to find overlays in the nfl.
3. ncaa fb seems to be on par with the last few years although not as profitable this year.
4. The rest is still a work in process. I have come to the conclusion in the nba, mlb, and nhl that to find overlays you almost always have to wait until game time to see what the variables say.
5. As to ncaa baskets…still too early to tell.
Late Plays.
We had 1 on sunday in ncaa baskets….e tenn st +4 and it won.
Late play record
Ncaa baskets 08-09 season
Sides 2-1 +0.95
Totals 0-1 -1.05
08-09 season
NFL
Sides 1-0 +1.00
NBA
Sides: 5-2 +2.90
NCAA FB 08-09
Sides 7-6 +0.85
totals 0-1 -1.05
NHL 08-09
Sides: 6-6 +2.55
MLB 08 season
Sides: 27-34 +0.71
Total: 9-6-1 +2.75
Wnba 08
Sides 4-4 -0.20
Arena football
Sides 0-1 -1.05
Total0-1-1 0.00
NHL 07-08
Sides 6-6 +1.15
Total 0-1-2 -1.00
NBA 07-08
Sides 25-16 +8.20
total 10-12-1 – 1.65
NFL
Sides: 1-0 +1.00
Total: 0-1 -1.05
NCAA fb
sides:
totals: 7-5-1 + 1.75
mlb
sides: 8-23 -11.19
Total: 7-12 – 5.65
Wnba 07
Sides: 1-1 0.00
Total: 0-2 -2.15
Good Luck
RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com
Record to date:
NFL 08-09
Sides: 4-4 -0.20
Ncaa fb 08-09 Season
Sides 10-8 +1.60
Total 1-1 -0.05
Ncaafb(07-08)
Sides: 19-10-1 +8.50
Totals: 33-15-2 +17.15
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
MLB (08 season)
Sides: 28-41 -4.69
Total: 2-1-1 +0.90
MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 71-94 +2.79
O/U: 24-21-1 + 2.40
mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
NFL (07-08)completed
Sides 18-10 +7.50
Total 0-1 -1.05
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
NBA 07-08
Sides 11-14 -3.60
Total 6-8 -2.35
Nba 06-07 completed
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98
NHL (07 Season)
Sides: 4-12 -6.75
totals:
nhl06-07 completed
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10
Arena Football
Sides:
Total: 1-0 +1.00
WNBA
Sides: 5-1 +3.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05
Oct06: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov06: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec06: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan07: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb07: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar07: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April07: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May07: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne07: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July07: 45 bets -7.26 units -16.13%
Aug07: 37 bets +2.63 units +7.10%
Sep07t 65 bets +11.29 units +17.37%
Oct07: 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Nov07: 40 bet +2.00 units +5.39%
Dec07: 18 bets 0.05 units +2.78%
Jan08: 12 bets -3.60
Feb 08 5 bet +0.80
Mar 08 17 bets -5.10
April 08 12 bets +5.91
May 08 9 bets +2.33
June 08 11 bet +1.08
july 08 19 bets -5.22
Aug 08 20 bet -5.88
Sept 08 14 bet -0.25
Oct 08 17 bets -1.55
Year 3 17 bets -1.55
Year2 206 bets +8.06 +4.79%
Year1 734 Bets + 50.70 units +6.91%
Total: 958 bets +57.30 +6.51%
