NCAA Hoops is now in full swing! I had forgotten what a full Saturday looked like:)

We have been floundering the last few months, so it was nice to see a 3-0 day yesterday.

Our 1 unit play in the NBA with Orlando +12.5 won 100-110. In college hoops we had two 1/2 unit plays winning with Montana +3 83-78 and S Carolina U 139  78-60.

I have added a new category called leans new. Its based on some variables I have been tracking for some time and backtests out very well.

So far the leans new record is:


Sides 0-1

Totals 3-2


Sides 1-6-1

Totals 3-3


Sides 2-0 -.08

totals 3-2  +.75


Totals 1-1

The sample size is very small so far for real-time, so its a bit early to draw any conclusions. But I suspect these will pick up soon. Also, remember that backtesting does in no way guarantee success. You need ideally 1000 games for a decent sample size.

It’s hard to get that in sports betting, especially when you have new methods. So I use the 1 and 2-year rule for real-time testing.

1 year for 1/2 unit plays

2 years for 1 unit plays

That seems to work out well. However, I adjust that based on the sample size.

So let’s see how they do, it should be interesting.

In football, after getting a good start we are sitting at +.95 units in college football and -.65 units in the NFL. So we are hovering around even in football. Nothing to write home about but nothing unusual either.

I can assure you that if something happens that I feel is unusual and causes a concern in the validity of my plays my subscribers will be the first to know:)

Good Luck Today


RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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