10:45 update
Its been a crazy morning for me up at 3:00 working away on todays games. I spent about 40 min on my writeup for today discussing a variety of subjects including the streak we are on the last few days and also the San Fran game coming up in a few hours. But then when I was about finished my browser crashed and the content was lost completely. I than spent the better part of an hour trying to figure out how to get it back and got as desparate as a hex search through live memory to no avail.
Oh well…but let me discuss the San Fran game and we will get to human nature and our slight drawdown another day.
San Fran
Arizona
Betting is 67% on the home favorite with the line moving from -13 to -13.5+102. Models are neutral, Variables strongly favor San Fran, Public betting favors San Fran. Normally I would at least be putting San Fran into the contest and even considering them as a play. The strongest variables I look at are on them today.
However there is another consideration. Does the Quarterback for San Fran have his head in the game? This is a rare situation that I cannot recall ever coming up before. From all indications it appears likely that he is not 100% on the field. In professional sports now adays you have to be 100% focused to compete. No distractions, leave you issues at home. That does not appear to be the case here.
Aside from that he has put a lot of pressure on him as a result of the media attention and also the bitterness now that has come up as a result of the election. I have no idea what to expect of him today but if the last 3 outings are any indication it does not bode well for him.
Perhaps I have it read wrong or perhaps its because I have included San Fran the last 3 weeks into my contest picks and was not even close with San Fran any of the weeks. We will see. It should be interesting to see human nature at work today in that game:)
Good Luck Whichever side you choose. I will have nothing invested in the outcome of the game today!
A rough morning for me as I had my post finished with my browser crashing losing everything. I will have to fix this sometime soon.
A 1-4 day yesterday. Going 1-1 in college football, 0-2 in the NHL and 0-1 in the NBA.
My Hilton picks this morning:
Minn +3
Seattle +7.5
Tenn +2.5
Denver +2.5
Pitt -2.5
Hilton top 5
Pit
NO
Atl
GB
Car
I am with them on Pit and fading two of them.
The Hilton top 5 went 1-3-1 last week and his at a dismal 15-28-2
Today I have sent out a 1 unit play.
I am cutting this very short this morning as I am trying to recover from the crash and do not have the
time to post a detailed post this morning. Got to get back to handicapping
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
