Nfl Week 16: Westgate NFL Picks, Westgate Top 5, Road Map for NO/Pitt Game now posted

On Saturday we had 1 play in college football, and as it turns out if was the blow out of the day, which we were on the wrong side of:) Houston. In College hoops I could only find on game out of the entire slate of games, S Carolina +3.5 and they lost by 10. But all was not lost as in the NHL we had Montreal +155 bringing the game to a tie in the 3rd and winning in OT.

Heading into this weeks Westgate NFL Supercontest I am sitting at 41-32-2 or a tad over 56%. Respectable considering you have to pick 5 games against the spread each week, but far out of the top 100.

My Westgate picks this week are: (in the order I liked them at the time)

jacks +4
giants +9.5
tb +7.5
cinci +8.5
det +5.5

The Westgate top 5 again went 2-3 bringing its record to 38-37-2. This is a good number historically for the contest top 5.

The Westgate top 5 picks this week:






I am fading their 5th pick and am not with any of the 5.

My free NFL Road map for today is:

Pitt 47% 53

NO 53% -6-108 -6-108 -5.5 -6.5

Models: Slight Edge NO

Variables: Avg Edge Pitt

Public %: No edge

First when the betting is even like it is in this game, I take it out of consideration for a play. But even with that the models and the Variables diverge in this game. Models show NO to be undervalued here and Variables point to pitt.

The reason most likely is the public perception that Pitt needs to win this game more than NO who has the 1 seed virtually locked up. So the public is correct about that. The problem is the books have adjust the line taking that into consideration. Not that it will affect the results (unless NO rests players) but because they know there will be betting on Pitt for that reason.

I am surprised Pitt is not getting more public support in this spot. In any event, this game is one of those you stay away from. There were much better spots today to place your money.

For subscribers, I break down every NFL game this way along with every College Football Game.  

We are coming into the year end bowl games and the NFL playoffs will be here before you know it. Would be a great time to give us a try if you have been on the fence:)

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Hope to see you join us for a fun NCAA FB Bowl Season 

Good Luck Today 

RickJ RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

Skype: riccja

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