Saturday we went 1-1 on our MLB plays for +.51 units. We won our 1 unit play on Seattle +101 6-0 with Miley pitching a 5 hit shutout. We lost our 1/2 unit play on Minn +111.
So we ended up April on the plus side just under 1 unit with very little volatility. It’s a bit early to draw any conclusions but we should get a good idea by the end of May how my tinkering has affected baseball handicapping.
I asked for suggestions and I received quite a few. I am going to sort through them all and implement what I consider the best of the bunch. If anyone has anything to add please send me an email.
One question I did get was regarding the NHL and why no plays postseason. My methods of handicapping the NHL do not show many bettable edges postseason. Unlike the NBA where the post season plays have been spot on the NHL at least to me does not provide that kind of opportunity.
As all of you by now know for me no edge no wager. It’s no fun working hard on handicapping and then blowing money just for the sake of gambling. That part of me has been long gone years ago:) So when I put out a play you will know that I at least feel I have a significant edge on the wager.
Handicapping services typically are very misleading as they post results that are curve fitted as opposed to real-time validation. Every once in awhile you run into a service that does it the right way but there is so much collusion going around now between tracking sites and handicappers that you have to take everything you read with healthy skepticism.
Myself I do the testing and validation myself as I will not rely on anyone else doing it. Its only after real time results have validated back testing that I will put plays as being positive EV. And as most of you know even then it’s no cake walk! Its a never ending process if you’re a serious handicapper. Nothing stays static for long.
Enough rambling this morning its back to work for me. Games are going off in 2 hours!
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
