It was bound to happen…a bad week in football. Ncaa football went 2-3 and although there were no picks(except carolina +7 if you unlucky enough to find it) I went 1-3-1 in the Hilton and 1-4 in Leroys. My top pick got blown out the second week in a row. Although that is not unusual since it happened 4 or 5 times last year.
Both Miami and Carlina never really had a chance to cover. Detroit hung on to cover..and Buffalo and Phil could of gone either way at the end…just happened to go against us in both games. I had been getting all the breaks..but this weekend it just didnt happen that way.
The good news is I am just past the half way mark in the Nfl and at 60% in both contests. Still not a bad spot to be…..but the cushion i had is now gone.
I had to laugh a bit..but the run before this weekend was so good in football it reminded me of the 12-0 run in baseball betting the dogs last may. After that streak a good handicapper I know brought in an article entitled “reversion to the mean”…Believe me when I tell you…thats a concept all should be aware of:) its just a question of where the mean is…..and I can assure you its not at 65% on football:)
Now onto today……nothing in the nhl or nba…but the game tonight in the nfl is getting close to a play.
The line started out at -3.5 -108 and is now at -6 -114. Its at 7 at a few places. There are no injuries I know of for the line to have moved this far. If we get a widely available number of 7 Cinci is a play.
I will update if that happens.
Good Luck Today