Monday lightened up a bit with 4 plays and we went 2-2.
We had 3 one unit plays that went 1-2. San Diego +132 lost 7-9, Mets +106 lost 0-5 and Min under 10.5 won 6-3. We originally had 3 overnights. One became 1 unit plays, the other had a pitching change which left us with 1 and Det +105 won 9-3.
So a 2-2 day but with both losses being 1 unit we ended up down about a half unit for the day.
Today so far I have sent out two plays.
One thing to note is the predictive nature of the overnight totals. So far the moves have been huge as far as total moves go. Six overnights and 5-1 on the moves. While on the sides for the season the overnight is almost 70% picking the moves.
If I could find an indicator that predicted line moves with the accuracy that we have here it would be a big boon just as a filter for the serious handicapper.
I have spent years researching models. Finding predictive models is like finding a needle in a haystack. This alone is worth much more than the low cost of the subscription for joining our group.
Enough bragging:) Plays lighten up a bit today. So perhaps we get a breather from six to seven play days for awhile. We will see.
A few bets I like on the political front. McCaskill reelection is even money. I like the don’t in that one right now. I think regardless of what happens to Trump his voters are still going to be heard in 2018 and the Dems and never Trumpers will most likely go down the tubes. The only caveat is there is still a lot of time for the political landscape to change. But at even money, I think there is value there.
In addition, I like the don’t on Wray confirmation by 7/31st. You can get 2 to 1.
These are interesting to evaluate and in no way is it an easy go. But If you’re up on politics and can keep whatever inherent bias out of the equation there is money to be made. The 2nd part is what most will find hard to do.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
