1:20 Update:
Next game in the NFL:
Giants
Green Bay
Betting is 53% on the Road dog with the line moving from -4-100 to -5. Models favor the Giants, Variables favor the Giants slightly and public betting slightly favors Green Bay. Again nothing really to go on with the betting split evenly between the two games. A pass for me today.
Not a very good day on Saturday. 8 plays going 2-6 for -4.5 Units.
In College Hoops, we won with Missouri and Colorado and lost with St Johns, Oregon St, Illinois, Marquette and Dartmouth.
In the NHL we lost with Dallas +139 3-4.
Today we get some relief from the hectic Saturday schedule but looking over the games there should be a few plays.
So far today there have been no plays sent out.
The first game today in the NFL today:
Miami
Pitt
Betting is 53% on the Home Favorite with the line moving from -7.5+106 to -11.5-110. Models favor Miami, Variables favor Miami and public betting is neutral.
I doubt that Tannehill being out has anything to do with the line move. He has been out over a month now with Moore as the QB. Moore has performed fine as a replacement QB.
I am tempted to wager on Miami but at 47% on Miami, I am going to pass. For me, in most situations, the % number does not get significant until you get below 40%. Of course, it’s different depending on the sport and what part of the season you are in. But as a general rule that is a threshold I look at.
So I am passing today on the first game of the day.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
