This is going to be short today as I have a number of things to do to get ready for tomorrows stock market.
On Saturday we had a 1/2 unit play on KC -4 and it was an easy winner. As I explained to subscribers KC was the best of the bunch for the weekend. And I reinforced that this morning.
Its rare to find a play in the playoffs as the lines are typically pretty solid. But KC was one of them.
My free NFL Road Map for today:
46% PHIL 52.5
54% NO -10+111 -8.5-103 -7.5 -8-113
These are the pinnacle and Cris opening and current lines on the games. I have found taking a look at both give you a better picture of the moves in relation to the public % betting.
Model Edge: No Edge
Variable Edge: Phil No Edge +
Public % Edge: No Edge
There is not much here to go on in this game. Historically dogs of a touchdown or greater in the first round of the playoffs tend to have value. Dallas was one of those last night and lost by a 1/2 a point:)
So you have the same situation with Phil tonight. But that is it as I see it. Certainly not enough to consider wagering your hard earned money on. Or even if your money comes easy, I would wait for a better spot.
Sometimes, you just have to watch a game when there is no action on it. I know its tough, I have been there and done that. But in the long run, when everyone else is dusted and sworn off betting, you will still be around having a good time wagering.
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks