We had no early plays friday and none today again.
The split between early and late plays is about 50-50 and I would expect that to continue through the rest of the season. These late plays are FREE. Just send me your email address and I will add you to the group receiving late plays.
Poker Comments:
Betting Patterns
Most players have reliable betting patterns that allow you to get a good idea of where you are at in a hand. It takes steady observation to be able to discern these but its well worth the effort in dollars won and saved.
Ideally against top players you should have some sort of randomization scheme to randomize your play. It would really be tough if every player at the table was looking for patterns in your betting. But the reality is at the mid to lower limits many of the players are only playing there own hand or there analysis is so rudimentary it dosnt come into play.
Some of the patterns you look for:
1. When you raise before flop and get called by 1 player. Then get check raised on the turn with a low flop in holdem…….there are some holdem players that the check raise on a low flop is automatic…ie every time.
2. If you get raised on the flop…does this player raise for value in this spot or raise for a free card. Many players dont mix it up.
3. If you get raised on the turn…could it be a semi bluff..or a big hand….again many players never semi bluff. And many always do it..and manytimes there hands area stretch even for a semi bluff.
4 In omaha 8…when a person raises before the flop….do they always do it with aa…and nothing else. Many players play the game that way. And if they raise with only AA….is it any AA.
5. A few examples of some patterns I have picked up on for a few players…in omaha 8 there is an agressive player that when ever he lead into the flop….if it was a low flop…he had a questionable hand..and if it was a high flop he had nothing. But if he checked a high flop…look out….he always went for the check raises with a big hit on the flop.
Only your imagination will limit you in determining betting patterns. But next time you play make it a goal to determine at least one betting pattern per regular player you play with during your session. Once you get in the habit of doing this…you will be amazed at how much easier some of your decisions can become.
On the upper right hand corner of my blog I have a link to all previous posts of poker comments
Late Plays.
We had no late plays on Friday
Late Play Record:
MLB 08 season
Sides: 5-8 -1.63
Total: 3-1 +2.00
Arena football
Sides 0-1 -1.05
Total0-1-1 0.00
NHL
Sides 6-6 +1.15
Total 0-1-2 -1.00
NBA
Sides 25-16 +8.20
total 10-12-1 – 1.65
NFL
Sides: 1-0 +1.00
Total: 0-1 -1.05
NCAA fb
sides:
totals: 7-5-1 + 1.75
mlb
sides: 8-23 -11.19
Total: 7-12 – 5.65
Wnba
Sides: 1-1 0.00
Total: 0-2 -2.15
Good Luck
RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com
Record to date:
MLB (08 season)
Sides: 8-5 +4.96
Total: 1.0 +1.00
MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 71-93 +3.79
O/U: 24-21-1 + 2.40
mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
NFL (07-08)completed
Sides 18-10 +7.50
Total 0-1 -1.05
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
Ncaafb(07-08)
Sides: 19-10-1 +8.50
Totals: 33-15-2 +17.15
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
NBA 07-08
Sides 11-14 -3.60
Total 6-8 -2.35
Nba 06-07 completed
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98
NHL (07 Season)
Sides: 4-12 -6.75
totals:
nhl06-07 completed
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10
Arena Football
Sides:
Total: 1-0 +1.00
WNBA
Sides: 5-1 +3.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05
Oct06: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov06: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec06: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan07: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb07: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar07: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April07: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May07: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne07: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July07: 45 bets -7.26 units -16.13%
Aug07: 37 bets +2.63 units +7.10%
Sep07t 65 bets +11.29 units +17.37%
Oct07: 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Nov07: 40 bet +2.00 units +5.39%
Dec07: 18 bets 0.05 units +2.78%
Jan08: 12 bets -3.60
Feb 08 5 bet +0.80
Mar 08 17 bets -5.10
April 08 12 bets +5.91
May 08 2 bets 0.0
Year2 136 bet +17.96 +13.40%
Year1 734 Bets + 50.70units +6.91%
Total: 870 bets +66.66 +7.68%
