2:40 Update

Sat college Hoops

1 Unit
627 Rice +12.5

NFL Update:

Not much has changed for todays games and it looks like -2.5 on San Fran is not going to be an option today. At least that is the way it looks now. I still think if you can get -2.5 its the best wager for today.

One setup that does look pretty good today is the over on the denver game. The public is split equally on the total and the line opened at 45.5 on Cris and is now down to 43.5 at many books. The % play is on the over in this game and it back tests out at around 60%. I would monitor the total up until game time…and consider the over …who knows how far down they will move it based upon the weather….17 degrees with 5mph winds out of the NE.

Typically the public tends to overdo it betting the under on the weather games and you can pick up some nice positive EV plays.

Its officially not a play…..but just something to keep in mind.

9:30 Update

1/2 Unit
503 Orlando +12.5

A full slate of games today…college hoops, NBA and NFL.

We had no plays on Friday.

Saturday College Hoop Plays

1 Unit:
663 Cal Riverside +14.5
613 TCU +19

I will update later with any other college hoop plays and NBA.

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Showing 2 comments
  • Daniel

    GB SF under? Public on Over, reverse line move?

    • RickJ

      Yes it looks like it….but much of what I apply to sides has no predictive value on
      the totals. So It most likely does not mean much. Might however be enough to keep you from the over.
      Also ideally on these reverse line moves you like to see a 1/2 pt move..once it gets to 2.5 the value may
      be gone if there is any.


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