Saturday NBA lean ( I do not bet these)
San Antonio -13
The arizona game is right now is at the point where the game is a complete toss up for me. On the one hand you have +3 or +3.5 at some books. But you have the betting coming in on the dog at 60%. So on Pinnacle you have a 40% reverse line move at this point. And in the Ncaa tournament these numbers are significant.
So……rather then pass or Wisconsin….for me right now its a complete pass on the game…No edge
Friday we lost on 1/2 unit play on the total. Slight edge side went 1-0 slight edge total went 1-0
Today we get to round 4 and the considerations in round 4 is simply to handicap dog of 3 or more. Historically they have done well in this round.
Both games today qualify for that.
My handicapping points to Dayton +10. Its not a play as the public is split on the game ….53% on Dayton.
Saturday College Hoop Lean ( I do not bet these)
The second game is not as clear cut. But it would be either the dog or pass for me. I am passing completely on the game.
Looking at the totals the only game the public gives some direction is Arizona. 82% of the public is on the over this morning. In addition the line has stayed steady at 130 on Cris. The under would certainly be a consideration for me …however I have variables pointing to the over in that game….a clear cut pass.
All my variables point to the under in the florida game. And with 32% of the betting on the under its under or pass. I am passing completely on this total.
We are winding down in college Hoops and I am back to looking at the nba and giving baseball some considerations.
Right now its my thought not to bet nba for the rest of the season…and still not sure what I am going to do with baseball. I will though be putting out leans in the NBA as there are some strong setups for the end of the season games in the NBA.
Good LUck Today