One more bowl game tonight


Betting is 74%on USC and the line has moved with the action from -6 to -7. Variables point to Nebraska. Models favor Nebraska public betting very slight edge to Nebraska.

Slight edge
Ncaa football
Nebraska +7

4:00 update

Slight edge
Dallas +147
Edmonton +171

3:45 update

Sat ncaa hoop play
1/2 unit
Ohio state U 141.5

1:30 update

After being tied for 15th three weeks ago 7-8 the last three weeks have slipped me down to around 65th.

My record right now is 49-31 or 61.25%. A 5-0 day might get me in but probably not.

This week I really did not like much. But I narrowed it down to what looks to me like the best of the bunch.

In no particular order

1. Cini +3.5
2. Phil +3
3. Cleveland +13.5
4. Detroit +7.5
5. Tampa Bay +5

I considered buffalo +5 and as I sit here now playing poker if I were choosing today I would put them in and take Cleveland out.

As you can tell there was nothing very clear cut to me this week

1:10 update

Sat NCAA Hoop play
1/2 unit
Maryland U145


Good hoop game staring soon. Betting is even on Kentucky Louisville. With line moving from -4.5 to -5 Kentucky. The line has bounced around the last hour. Variables are neutral but models show quite a bit of value on Louisville. My only problem with the game is the number 1 team in the country only getting 50% of the betting. So I am passing on the game.

Friday our setup in college football was an easy winner with Rutgers +3 winning the game.

A full schedule of game today in all sports.

The first bowl game today:

Virgina Tech

Betting is 62% on Cinci the home favorite with the line moving contrary to the betting from -3-112 to -1-108. Variables favor Virginia Tech. Models are neutral. Public betting slightly favors virginia Tech. I am passing on this game.

Arizona St

Betting is 64% on Arizona St with the line staying steady…-7.5-102 -7.5-104. Variables favor Duke. Models Favor Duke. Public betting is Neutral.

Bet or Pass
Duke +7.5

S. Carolina

Betting is 52% on S. Carolina the dog with the line moving contrary to the betting from Miami -1.5 to -3-102. Models favor S. Carolina Models are neutral Public betting slightly favors Miami. A Pass

Penn St
Boston College

Betting is 63% on BC with the line moving from -2.5-106 to -2.5-121. Variables slightly favor Penn St. Models are neutral. No edge I can see in public betting A pass

One late game I will comment a bit later on.

I will update on college hoops shortly before game times.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays

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