5:45 update

Sat hoop play
1/2 unit
Florida +8

4:45 update

Sat hoop play
1/2 unit
California +4

Bet or pass
SMU even
Missouri st +19

4:00 update

Slight edge
Edmonton +144

2:45 update

Sat hoop play

1/2 unit
San Jose st +10

1:20 update

Bet or pass

Montana st +8

12:50 update

Sat ncaa hoop play
1/2 unit
George mason +6

12:45 update

Bet or pass
Fordham -1

11:55 update

1/2 unit
BC +9.5

9:10 Update

An interesting game at 10. #4 Duke is playing #10 Notre Dame. The betting is 71% on the road dog Notre dame with the line moving from -9.5-106 to -9.5-102. My models are split on the game but lean towards Duke. If you looking at the game and are thinking Notre Dame +9.5 my recommendation would be to take a pass on the game. You are not going to make money betting on Dogs where 71% of the betting is on them. For me its a big red flag to stay away. Its not a setup for me as my models are neutral on the game. However one other thing I look at could change and that is the line moves in relation to the betting. This season that has been the most significant variable in being predictive.

8:50 Update

Bet or Pass
Illinois +10
Delaware +10.5

Friday we won our 1/2 unit play on Brown +9.5. They had their chances at the end to win the game but lost by 3.

Today a busy day but we still have a few hours before game time. I will post any plays or setups shortly before game time.

I received these questions yesterday.

Hello Rick, when you post bet or pass what exactly do you mean. Is it a lean not an official play. Thank you

Rick,one more question if I could, what are college setup plays and are they listed on your site? Thanks

Setups are games I feel have some kind of edge but not enough for me to bet on the game. Its the same with Bet or Pass. These are setups.

These are probably best used as filters if your doing your own handicapping although so far this season they have been very solid in the NBA and college hoops. NHL is another story. But I have always had difficulty with the moneyline sports. Seems my methods do not work out as well in MLB and NHL. But I have not given up yet.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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