3:55 Update

Sat NCAA FB Play
Florida +7

3:40 Update

Thats most likely it for today. Lot of big moves that take the game out of consideration for me.

3:20 Update

Hilton NFL Picks for tomorrow in the order I liked them at the time

Washington +3
San Fran +8
Tampa Bay +3
Bears +3
Cleveland +7.5

Those were the only 5 that I narrowed it down to. The top two are the best by far. Tampa not bad. Bears and Cleveland better then the rest. I will update with plays tomorrow.

3:15 Update

Not much at 4 although I did find a game I could bet on. I took Florida +7. Its not widley available and is 6 to 6.5 at most books. Number had to be 7 for me to bet it.

12:20 Update

Not much else until 4:00 games. Not a lot that looks very good today. Wake forest was a game I was hoping to uncover a good bias in. There are certain numbers as in the NFL that if you just took the side automatically you would beat most by the end of the season. Wake forest is one of those as long as the public number stays under 23. Its a 22 right now. The problem is my models point to the other side.

11:40 Update

Bet or Pass

Florida International +3

9:40 Update

MLB Weightings:

933 NYY – I NOVA 0
934 BAL – W CHEN 0
923 KC – Y Ventura
924 MIN – T Milone 1+
925 LAA – H Santiago 0+
926 TEX – C Lewis
901 COL – C Rusin
902 SF – J Peavy 1
915 TOR – M Estrada
916 TB – C Archer 1
903 CIN – B Finnegan 0
904 PIT – A Burnett 0
919 BOS – C Breslow
920 CLE – C Kluber 1
907 STL – J Lackey
908 ATL – S Miller 1+
911 CHC – K Hendricks 0
912 MIL – T Wagner 0
909 WAS – M Scherzer 1
910 NYM – M Harvey
921 DET – J Verlander
922 CHW – E Johnson 0+
929 HOU – C McHugh 0
930 ARI – J Hellickson 0
927 OAK – S Nolin 0
928 SEA – R Elias 0
913 SD – R Erlin 1
914 LAD – Z Greinke

We get a break now until the 12:30 games. I have been asked quite a bit what kind of self control do you need to play poker, trade stocks , or bet on sports. This photo says it clearer then what I can say in words!


Not much else is showing up in the 9:00 games so let me give you my breakdown of S. Carolina

Betting is 58% on Missouri with the line moving against the betting from -3.5 -106 to -3+107. Models favor S. Carolina Variables strongly favor S. Carolina. If the betting numbers were less the 35% on S. Carolina I would consider them as a play. If less then 30% I would definitely play them . The only thing keeping me away from betting the game is the 42%.

First I have been receiving emails regarding posting the same breakdown and opinions I give on football when there is only a few games. I really do not have the time to do that. Remember this is a free site for sports handicapping. My main focus right now is Trading and always has been. Handicapping is more of a hobby for me. So I will continue to post breakdowns on slow days but days like today is next to time consuming.

Looking at the 9:00 games no plays but a few setups:

Bet or Pass
S. Carolina +3

Good Luck Today

I will update as updates and plays become clear

twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade
Private Twitter: Rickjswings ( send me an email for a 2week free trial)

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