3:10 Update

Sat NCAA FB Play
Texas State +2

Sat NHL plays
Arizona +152
Florida +157

Bet or Pass
San Jose St -7.5

12:10 Update

Saturday NCAA FB Play
Hawaii +7.5

11:20 Update

This weeks Hilton NFL Picks in the order I liked them at the time:

Tenn +4.5
Oakland +4
Baltimore +7.5
Cleveland +5.5
San Fran -6.5 (L)

San fran was a loser on Thursday.

Its really a tough slate this weekend with nothing obvious except Tenn. But the line has now moved to +6. I may end up betting Tenn but at 10% of the betting on Tenn who knows where the line might end up before game time. So I am going to wait it out.

10:40 Update

Bet or Pass
Western Mich -24

9:55 Update

One game looks interesting. Kent is getting +13 and has gone down from -13.5. The public is 86% on BG so this is a reverse line move with at a very low public number. Normally I would be betting kent buy the models point to BG. So a pass

8:50 Update

A little movement in the line is going to put the baylor game as a setup

Bet or Pass
Baylor -35.5

Friday we went 2-1 on our Preseason NBA Plays and our Play on Boston +152 was also a winner. Our setup in MLB on KC +124 was also good. Nice to turn it around immediately after a down day.

Ive looked through the 9:00 games and really see nothing I would bet on.

The biggest model differences are
Miami FL +9.5
NC State -7.5
Syracuse +9.5

The only thing is there are no variables that support that side. But on the other hand non against.

The biggest variable game is Baylor -36.5 Models are neutral on the game.

I am passing on the games. But let me add the models in college football are the strongest of all sports. Usually I have indicated in the past that the models are the weakest of what I attempt to analyse but in college football alone that has not been the case. So I am going to post the big model difference from now on to help as a handicapping guide.

More to come a bit later

Good Luck Today

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Twitter: rickjswingtrade
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