2:15 Update

Several games tonight with ranked teams in College Football:

#10 Baylor
#6 Oklahoma State

Betting is 68% on the Home Dog with the line moving from -1 OKL State to -2.5 Baylor. Thats quite a move considering only 32% of the betting is on Baylor. At some books the line has moved to -3! Models show -3 to be about the right line on the game and variables are split equally on both sides. The game is a Pass for me.

#18 TCU
#7 Oklahoma

Betting is 66% on the home favorite with the line moving from -10 to now -17.5. Boykin is most likely out for the game which accounts for the move. Myself I like to stay away from games in college football where the starting quarterback is out. Its not like the NFL where they usually have someone competent to put in . And its not like the NBA where usually the first game with a significant injury you want to bet on the injured team. Unless you have some good in formation on the quarterback for TCU its really too random to start guessing on the outcome. So I am passing.

One more for good Measure

#4 Notre Dame
Boston College

Betting is 69% on Notre Dame with the line moving from -17 to -14 away from the betting . Models show the move to be overdone slightly while variables strongly point to Boston College. But this is a good example as to what I discussed in yesterday’s post. The “sharps” have jumped all over this one and its tough to get in now 3 pts from the opening line. So a pass. A number of years ago you might have gotten Boston college +20 by game time. But things certainly have changed!

If you want to simplify your decision making in your sports betting endeavors just subscribe to my service by pushing the paypal button on the top right. You get model differences, setups, and plays all delivered to your twitter feed daily. You can have them sent to your cell phone or email. I usually send out from my private twitter feed from 1 to 10 min before game times.

Good Luck Tonight!

Friday we went 3-2 on our College basketball plays with sides going 2-0 and totals 1-2.

Today is going to be a busy day with a full slate of games in all sports. To top it off I have slept in this morning so not much time to post comments on games. Although I will try to get some games posted after I get caught up this morning.

Plays have done very well since I started my subscription service. The NHL and College baskets have been solid. And of course the NFL and College football are steady performers. Take advantage of a full schedule of different sports and sign up on the upper right through paypal!

For subscribers plays will be sent out as always 1 to 10 min before game time.

twitter: rickjsportplays
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