I have decided to move my political odds commentary to the sports betting forum. From time to time I will comment on the stock portion as to the significance of events and how they relate to the markets.
But as far as the odds I will post them here. I will post the current odds along with my estimation of what they should be.
Moore over Strange in Alabama special election:
7 to 3 in favor of Moore. I recommended Moore when he was a dog. The line is getting about where it should be. I would say it should be close to 4 to 1.
Party winning the White House in 2020:
5 to 4 in favor of the Democrats. My estimation is 2 to 1 in favor of the Republicans, maybe higher.
Flake 6 to 4 to win Arizona Primary. I think the odds should be close to 5 to 1 against. This is the best political wager I see so far on the board.
Ryan 7.5 to 1 to win the Wisc Primary. My prediction is the odds should be no more than 3 to 1, perhaps a bit less.
Kasich to run in 2020 is even money. My prediction is 5 to 2 in favor of him running.
Control of the house after 2018 elections: Republicans 11 to 10. I think it should be around 3 to 1 in favor of the Republicans.
I will post odds as they come up that I feel have EV.
My estimations are not based upon any political beliefs I may have but only upon my observations of the political chaos that the U.S. is engulfed in at present.
If anyone has any questions send me an email. Always enjoy reading peoples thoughts on this interesting topic.
Saturday we had 4 plays and went 3-1.
Our 1 unit play lost with Detroit +126 0-3. All three of our overnights won with Mets -109 8-1, Cinci +127 11-8 and Phil +119 12-9.
In addition, we had a lean for NFL preseason with Green Bay +3. They won the game outright by 7.
Today so far I have sent out 4 plays.
Not much to add this morning. Except College football starts next week. If you’re on the fence joining us for this football season, take a 3-day free trial and see how we deliver our plays.
Just follow @rick_sports. It is our private twitter feed. Then if you have any questions just send me an email.
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Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks