On Saturday we had 1 play and it lost for -1.15 Units sports betting MLB.
That brings us to +12.69 Units Season to Date in MLB.
We also had 2 Bet or Pass games. Our Bet or Pass Total in MLB lost, but our Bet or Pass in NCAA FB on Prairie View +21.5 won 28-31 in an easy win.
And with that we have started off the College football 2018 Season.
I noted yesterday that the models showed Wyoming but such a large margin over the line that it might fall into a rare situation where you should consider New Mexico State. Guess the models had the game pegged as Wyoming won 29-7 covering by 17 Pts.
I plan on giving a breakdown of all games that include a top 10 team, and a breakdown of all games that have top 25 matchups in College football. Otherwise, I plan on putting out something similar to what I did yesterday, with some observations of a few games of interest.
Today is a busy day with 3 plays pending and 2 Bet or Pass Totals.
Looking over the early numbers the two best of the day look to me to be Kansas City and Baltimore. Both are big dogs, so they are unlikely to be regular plays.
Our free MLB Breakdown for today is:
Houston 76% -139/+128 -120/+111
Angels 24% 9U-116 9U-121
Models: Houston: 50+
Variables: No Edge
Public %: Angels: Strong Edge
This game is not a play. However, if your thinking about being with the 76% and taking Houston my suggestion would be to think again. For me, the game is a clear pass. The models are pretty strong in MLB and they have Houston undervalued by a lot. But even with that, you have to respect a team that only has 24% of the betting on them.
In the long run, you get taken to the cleaners wagering on games that have a high % of the public on them.
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RickJ
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks
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Skype: riccja
