An interesting game going off in 20 min:
23% St. Johns -6.5 -6.5-103 -6.5 -6.5-105
Models point to St. Johns, Variables are neutral and Public % Strongly favors St. Johns.
A usual game where you find over 70% on the road dog! Typically the public like the favorite. So when you see something like this, to me its either St. Johns or pass. Also while on occasion you see <50% of the betting on the favorite, it’s very rare to see less than 25% on the favorite.
But that is what we have here. On this game, if you’re temped to take Georgetown you might want to give it a 2nd thought. Either hold your nose and take the favorite or pass on the game. I am passing.
Monday in sports betting we had 1 play in the NBA on Atlanta +4.5 which covered Atlanta lost by 1 pt on the road.
The play was a 1 unit play.
So far today no plays have been sent out.
This back to the basics has given me a lot of time to start going back over the 1/2 unit new plays. And I have to say they still look very good.
But, I am going to get a little more data analyzed before I reach any final conclusions on these.
Its sort of like the overnights in MLB. I came across those doing some MLB research and they, of course, panned out even beyond my expectations. So we will see how they go this coming season.
I still have been getting some questions on the 1/2 unit plays and whether I could still send them out. My thought has always been that I typically do not send out games unless I bet them. You will know that the ups and downs are experienced by all of us:)
If enough subscribers want these I can send them out separately. Just send me an email and I will get you on the List.Although I do not plan on betting them until I finish going over the data.
In the College football game last night it looks like they had the line about as close as could be.
For those of you interested in the analysis I put out on these games to subscribers, here is last nights email:
“63% Alabama -4.5 -3.5-108 -4.5 -3.5
Models slightly favor Alabama, Variables favor Georgia, public % slightly favors Georgia
So far there is nothing I can see in this game that would make me want to wager on it. It is still early, so I will keep a watch on the game
to see if anything changes. So far a pass for me.”
I sent these out all season on every NFL game along with ranking matchups in College football and College Hoops.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks