2:45 update

Sunday NBA play
1 unit
Washington +13


Sunday nfl tracking setups

Tampa +15.5
Pitt +6

9:40 Update

Sunday NFL Tracking Setup ( I do not bet these)

Minn +9

Sunday NFL Lean ( I do not bet these)

Jets +5.5

8:30 Update

A comment:

“Can you talk about the Jets game? That seems like a perfect play for your system.”

Right now 81% of the public is on NO. The line opened at -4.5 and is now -6 on Pinnacle and on cris -3.5 to -5.5. Dogs under 20% is one of the best setups in the NFL home or away. But a bit better these days away. In Addition its the #2 play in the hilton contest and Looking at Bovada they have No up to 7. My models tell me the line should be around 3.5 which just happens to be what Cris put the game out at last week.

The only negative I can see is we are not looking at any key numbers 3 and to a lesser degree 7. I like to see key numbers taken out before betting on the game. But I am a bit conservative in my approach. That is why I am putting out leans and tracking setups

This game right now is a lean for me. I would never consider betting on NO under any circumstance.

No plays on Saturday. We had 2 ncaa fb leans that went 1-1. Virginia +17.5 never had a chance losing 59-10. Colorado +29.5 was an easy cover only losing by 21.

Today in the NFL:

Public Numbers
Carolina 54%
Dallas 74%
NO 80%
Tenn 68%
KC 68%
San Diego 59%
Oakland 75%
Seattle 77%
Balt 76%
New Eng 72 %
Indi 74%
GB 68%

Hilton top 5

Houston +2.5
NO -6
Balt -2.5
KC -3
Oakl -2.5

The top 5 went 2-3 last week bring the record this season to 10-29-1!

Too early for nba and nhl.

Right now not much stands out for a play today. But that might change in a few hours. I will update a bit later.

Good Luck today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

  • josh

    hi rick. can you put the handicaps for the hilton top 5? just wondering if the hilton lines they take and lose with are any different to the lines at start time. thanks

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