Sunday

Final Update

Sunday NCAA Hoop PLay
1 Unit
Washington St +11

1:00 Update

One more NFL Game today. 60% of the betting is on San Fran. Pinnacle the line opened at pick -110 to -3-123. Crise -2.5 to -3-120 and Bovada -3-120

My models say San Fran is undervalued…but my variable say Green Bay is the side to be on. One other consideration is the move to 3. I do not think you want to go with the move to 3. 3 is a number that once it gets there you either have to fade or pass. I am passing. At +3.5 it would be hard to stay away from green bay…..hopefully I will not have that decision to make as it still is not clear cut to me that the ev is enough to make it a play. Again at +3 or higher its Green bay or pass. I am passing on the game.

Should be a hoop play a bit later.

Some Comments

Rick I am curious as to how a road team traveling across the country after playing a grueling game last week and now playing a team with arguably the best home field advantage in the league with betting split just about even on the game

makes it as a play. Seems out of character compared to your normal approach. Thanks

I’m not getting the San Diego play either. I’d bet my roll on Cincy to cover.

Saturday we went 2-0 on 1 unit college hoops plays and 2-0 on college hoop leans. Our 1 unit nba play lost and my for fun pick in the bowl game lost.

Well my San diego pick is not very popular today. In the playoffs the % number under 50% is significant as opposed to more stringent numbers in regular season. In addition as we get closer to game time there is a clear cut reverse line move on both pinnacle and Cris.

Of course every one looks at games a bit differently. And who am I to say that Cinci for the reasons above will not blow out San Diego….anything of course can happen. My money today will be on San Diego.

Today I am going to make it quick on the football games.

Sunday NFL Play
1 Unit
San Diego +6.5

Models and variables strongly favor san diego today

San Fran models favor San Fran but variables favor Green Bay. A pass

In the bowl game Models favor Ball st and variables favor Ball st. My for fun pick is Ball st -7

I will update a bit later with any nba college hoop or nhl plays

Good LUck Today

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Rickj's Handicapping Picks