11:00 Update
Getting ready to leave the house so lets go through the remainder of the games keeping in mind that the numbers are subject to change.
St Louis has 23% of the public on them. In addition my models point strongly to St. Louis. I am going to put St Louis out as a play today
Cleveland has 23% of the public on them with a reverse line move. My models do not come into play because of Cleveland;s pitcher. However everything else
points to cleveland….for me today Cleveland or pass. I am passing.
One night game. Yankees have 47% of the public on them and is a pick game. Variables and models point slightly to Yankees. A pass for me tonight
Sunday MLB PLay
1 Unit
St Louis +184
10:00 Update
In the 11:00 games
Colorado has 37% of the public on them with a reverse line move. Everything I use points to Colorado today. If the public was <30 it would be a clear cut 1 unit play. I am going to put the game out as a half unit play. Houston has only 18% of the public with them and a reverse line move. See my comments on the Miami game. My models however point to Detroit so a pass for me. In the 12:00 Games Texas has 44% of the public on them as a home Favorite. No reverse line move. My models point to the other side. My models have been the strongest on Road dogs. A Pass Sunday MLB Play 1 Unit Colorado +146 Saturday nothing developed for plays and our slight edge on Phil in the 2nd game lost. I have decided putting up the Models, variables and public criteria early in the morning is a waste of time. Things change quite a bit by game time to make my early morning criteria very suspect. If I have the time I will post these shortly before game time. However with a few more weeks to go before the World Series of Poker action dying off It will most likely have to be after that. Today in the 10:00 games of interest Pitt has less then 40% of the public with a reverse line move...they are the home favorite. My models show Pitt to be slightly undervalued. The reverse line move should lead you to consider pitt. This game is a pass for me. The White Sox has <20% of the public on them as a road dog. In addition there is a significant reverse line move on them . My models however show Toronto to be undervalued. A Pass Tampa Bay as a road fav has 36% of the public on them with a reverse line move. My models show Tampa Bay to be slightly undervalued. However there is a variable that points to Baltimore as a home dog. A Pass Miami has 24% of the public on them with a reverse line move. Historically this is a positive EV play. If you bet only on these setups throughout the season you should be money ahead by the end of the year. Even as bad as home dogs have been doing year to date this setup is positive. Variables also point to Miami. My Models however have not kicked in yet on the pitcher for Miami. So a Pass. Miami looks like the best of the 10:00 games. I think this analysis is going to be much more helpful then what I posted Saturday. I will update shortly before game times. Good Luck Today RickJ Rickjshandicappingpicks.com Twitter: rickjsportplays Twitter: rickjswingtrade
